Lazio vs Monza Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 6
Stadio Olimpico, Rome·Guiseppe Collu 11/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-6.9%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.71
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+6.0%
Lazio Rest
8 days
Monza Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
153%1.73
X24%3.90
223%4.72
Double Chance
1X77%1.19
X247%2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.70
No48%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.74 + 0.83 = 2.57
Over 1.574%1.22
Over 2.551%1.76
Over 3.529%2.85
Under 1.526%4.00
Under 2.549%2.09
Under 3.571%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.5 = 10.1
Over 8.562%1.77
Over 9.555%2.25
Over 10.546%3.04
Under 8.538%1.98
Under 9.545%1.60
Under 10.554%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.556%1.62
Over 4.536%2.08
Under 3.544%2.20
Under 4.564%1.71
Match Events
3'Nuno TavaresAssist: Tijjani Noslin
13'Andrea CarboniFoul
23'Gustav IsaksenAssist: Tijjani Noslin
35'Lorenzo Lucchesi
36'Cyril Ngonge INSaba Goglichidze out
45'Michael Folorunsho INFoe Ondoa out
45'Exequiel Zeballos INDany Mota out
45'Andrea Carboni INYvan Maye out
45+2'Danilho DoekhiFoul
46'Saba GoglichidzeAssist: Dany Mota
53'Danilho Doekhi INDiogo Leite out
55'Oliver ProvstgaardFoul
60'Davide Frattesi INFisayo Dele-Bashiru out
60'Oliver Provstgaard INJosip Šutalo out
68'Diogo LeiteFoul
70'Ricardo Mangas INAdam Bakoune out
75'Tijjani Noslin INAndrea Pinamonti out
75'Nuno Tavares INAlfonso Pedraza out
79'Ivan JuricDissent
88'Andrea PinamontiAssist: Alfonso Pedraza
Lineups
LazioMonza
3-4-2-1Coach: I. JuricAvg ratingAvg rating
35C. Mandas
15R. Floriani Mussolini
5D. Doekhi
25O. Provstgaard
17N. Tavares
16D. Frattesi
21R. Belahyane
24K. Taylor
11G. Isaksen
14T. Noslin
10M. Zaccagni
1N. Törnqvist
60E. Kouadio
3L. Lucchesi
44A. Carboni
19S. Birindelli
90M. Folorunsho
14E. Akinsanmiro
7R. Mangas
16C. Ngonge
22E. Zeballos
9G. VarelaLazio Substitutes
37J. Šutalo60'for Oliver Provstgaard
63F. Serra
47D. Renzetti
28A. Przyborek
9A. Pinamonti75'for Tijjani Noslin88'
23Pedraza75'for Nuno Tavares
40E. Motta
2Diogo Leite53'for Danilho Doekhi68'
29M. Lazzari
71V. Farcomeni
7F. Dele-Bashiru60'for Davide Frattesi
32D. Cataldi
Monza Substitutes
21L. Colombo
20D. Thiam
28A. Colpani
10P. Cutrone
2S. Goglichidze36'for Cyril Ngonge46'
5Y. Maye45'for Andrea Carboni
47Dany Mota45'for Exequiel Zeballos
80M. Mout
8M. Ondoa45'for Michael Folorunsho
46Jay Robinson
43A. Strajnar
24A. Bakoune70'for Ricardo Mangas
6V. Antov
Match Stats
LazioMonza 65%Ball Possession35%
7Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
17Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box10
9Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots5
10Fouls9
0Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves4
596Total Passes300
517Passes Accurate225
87%Pass Accuracy75%
Team Comparison
LazioMonza1871Elo Rating 1698
2.42Attack 2.26
2.25Defense 1.02
86%Hit Rate 39%
14.2Shots per Game 13.0
4.3Shots on Target 5.9
5.7Corners per Game 4.7
1.6Cards per Game 1.3
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+173 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Lazio- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Monza- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Lazio4Wins · 67%Draws233%
Monza0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.7Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
33%3+ goals2 of 6
Previous meetings
09/02/2025LazioMonza51
10/11/2024MonzaLazio01
04/05/2024MonzaLazio22
23/09/2023LazioMonza11
02/04/2023MonzaLazio02
10/11/2022LazioMonza10
Recent Form
Lazio7W2D1L
03/10/2026Lazio
Juve Stabia
19/09/2026LazioJuve Stabia33
D
VeneziaLazio02
W12/09/2026Lazio
AC Milan22
D07/09/2026
UdineseLazio12
W30/08/2026Lazio
Genoa10
W24/08/2026
BolognaLazio01
W16/08/2026Lazio
Mantova02
L09/08/2026
FrosinoneLazio
FrosinoneLazio12
W05/08/2026Lazio
Ostia Mare
LazioOstia Mare40
W02/08/2026
AscoliLazio
AscoliLazio12
WMonza3W3D4L
03/10/2026
Stade Brestois 29Monza
18/09/2026Stade Brestois 29Monza22
DMonza
Sassuolo21
W13/09/2026
LecceMonza32
L06/09/2026
ParmaMonza11
D01/09/2026
TorinoMonza01
W29/08/2026MonzaUdinese23
L22/08/2026
InterMonza41
L14/08/2026Monza
Avellino30
W07/08/2026Monza
Padova
MonzaPadova33
D30/07/2026Monza
Aris Thessalonikis
MonzaAris Thessalonikis13
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:10 | +15 | 25 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | +15 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | +15 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 4 |  Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | +9 | 20 | WWWDL |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 6 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 7 |  Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 14 | WLDWL |
| 8 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 13 | LLLDW |
| 10 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 11 | DLWDW |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 | WWLWD |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 | DLWLL |
| 13 | Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 15 | Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 16 | Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 19 |  Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 3 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 25:10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 22:7 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 23:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 8 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 7 | Juventus | 8 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Torino | 9 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 9 | 8:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Napoli | 8 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 13 | Lecce | 8 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 9 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 15 | Monza | 8 | 15:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Genoa | 8 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 9:18 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 8 | 9:19 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 6:19 | 3 |
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About the Lazio vs Monza forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Lazio and Monza in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Lazio are 2nd and Monza 15th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Lazio 22-7, Monza 15-18. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Lazio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.