Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction
Italy · Regular Season - 6
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Genoa vs Fiorentina: the result in context
Genoa beat Fiorentina 2-1 in the Serie A on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Referee Fabio Maresca averages 5.58 cards a game, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Genoa
Avg ratingAvg rating
1J. Bijlow
34S. Otoa
5L. Østigård
22J. Vásquez
3K. Ehizibue
32M. Frendrup
25H. Traorè
77M. Ellertsson
10J. Messias
92S. El Shaarawy
18M. Osmajić
43D. de Gea
20Á. Jiménez
3R. Drăgușin
6L. Ranieri
21Valde
27C. Ndour
44N. Fagioli
30F. Mastantuono
42C. Inao Oulaï
29W. Gnonto
23BetoGenoa Substitutes
Fiorentina Substitutes
Match Stats
GenoaFiorentina Team Comparison
GenoaFiorentinaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Genoa- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Fiorentina- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Genoa0Wins · 0%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
10/05/2026FiorentinaGenoa09/11/2025GenoaFiorentina02/02/2025FiorentinaGenoa31/10/2024GenoaFiorentina15/04/2024FiorentinaGenoa19/08/2023GenoaFiorentina17/01/2022FiorentinaGenoa18/09/2021GenoaFiorentina03/04/2021GenoaFiorentina07/12/2020FiorentinaGenoaRecent Form
Genoa
RapidGenoa
ParmaGenoaGenoa
SudtirolGenoa
FrosinoneGenoa
Como
LazioGenoaGenoa
NapoliGenoa
AscoliGenoa
Deportivo La Coruna
BournemouthGenoaFiorentinaFiorentinaNapoliFiorentina
Pisa
VeneziaFiorentinaFiorentina
TorinoFiorentinaFrosinone
AS RomaFiorentinaFiorentina
BeneventoFiorentinaDeportivo La Coruna
Real MadridFiorentina
WatfordFiorentinaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.58 cards a match, 0.98 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.60).
Cards come from 129 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Inter | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:10 | +15 | 25 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22:7 | +15 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | +15 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:8 | +9 | 20 | WWWDL |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 6 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 7 |  Juventus | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | +3 | 14 | WLDWL |
| 8 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 | LWWWD |
| 9 |  Cagliari | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 13 | LLLDW |
| 10 | Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 11 | DLWDW |
| 11 |  Bologna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 | WWLWD |
| 12 |  Atalanta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 | DLWLL |
| 13 |  Lecce | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 | LWLLW |
| 14 |  Sassuolo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 7 | LWLWL |
| 16 | Genoa | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 17 |  Udinese | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 5 | DLLLL |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 3 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 9 | 25:10 | 25 |
| 2 | Lazio | 9 | 22:7 | 25 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 9 | 23:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Como | 9 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 9 | 18:11 | 18 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 8 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 7 | Juventus | 8 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 8 | Torino | 9 | 14:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Cagliari | 9 | 8:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Napoli | 8 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Bologna | 9 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Atalanta | 8 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 13 | Lecce | 8 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 9 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 15 | Monza | 8 | 15:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Genoa | 8 | 6:13 | 7 |
| 17 | Udinese | 9 | 9:18 | 5 |
| 18 | Parma | 9 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 19 | Fiorentina | 8 | 9:19 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 9 | 6:19 | 3 |
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This match
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About the Genoa vs Fiorentina forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Genoa and Fiorentina in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Genoa are 16th and Fiorentina 19th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Genoa 6-13, Fiorentina 9-19. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.