Napoli vs Frosinone Prediction

Napoli
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Frosinone
Maradona Stadium, Naples·Ermanno Feliciani 10/10/2026
NapoliNapoli
3-0
Finished
FrosinoneFrosinone

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Napoli Rest
20 days
Frosinone Rest
8 days

Napoli vs Frosinone: the result in context

Napoli beat Frosinone 3-0 in the Serie A on 10 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Frosinone had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Napoli.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.0 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2. Referee Ermanno Feliciani averages 3.48 cards a game, 1.06 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.47
X
21%4.75
2
16%6.38
Double Chance
1X
84%1.13
X2
37%2.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.55
No
46%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 0.93 = 2.56
Over 1.5
79%1.10
Over 2.5
58%1.43
Over 3.5
37%2.12
Under 1.5
21%5.85
Under 2.5
42%2.75
Under 3.5
63%1.74
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.5 = 10.5
Over 8.5
77%1.33
Over 9.5
70%1.60
Over 10.5
69%2.01
Under 8.5
23%2.88
Under 9.5
30%2.16
Under 10.5
31%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%2.30
Over 4.5
35%3.60
Under 3.5
45%1.57
Under 4.5
65%1.26

Match Events

28'Rasmus Hojlund
29'Kevin De Bruyne(Penalty)
32'Noa Lang
45'Patrizio Masini INAleksa Terzić out
61'David Neres INScott McTominay out
61'Rasmus Hojlund INLorenzo Lucca out
63'Farès Ghedjemis INSeydou Fini out
63'Antonio Raimondo INTomas Bobcek out
71'Stanislav Lobotka INBilly Gilmour out
72'Noa Lang INGiovane Santana Do Nascimento out
76'Gabriele Bracaglia INMatteo Cichella out
80'Amir RrahmaniFoul
81'Leonardo Spinazzola INMatteo Politano out
83'Romano Schmid INAlessio Zerbin out
85'Benoît BadiashileFoul
90+4'Kevin De BruyneAssist: Giovane Santana Do Nascimento

Lineups

Napoli
3-4-2-1Coach: M. Allegri
Frosinone
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Alvini
Avg rating7.00
Avg rating6.43
A. Meret6.41A. Meret
Rafa Marín7.516R. Marín
Amir Rrahmani7.413A. Rrahmani
B. Badiashile7.15B. Badiashile
G. Di Lorenzo6.222G. Di Lorenzo
K. De Bruyne8.211K. De Bruyne
S. Lobotka6.868S. Lobotka
L. Spinazzola6.537L. Spinazzola
David Neres6.67D. Neres
N. Lang8.270N. Lang
R. Højlund6.519R. Højlund
L. Palmisani7.122L. Palmisani
A. Oyono6.120A. Oyono
G. Calvani6.63G. Calvani
G. Cittadini6.72G. Cittadini
G. Bracaglia6.979G. Bracaglia
P. Masini5.873P. Masini
G. Calò6.514G. Calò
F. Ghedjemis6.37F. Ghedjemis
R. Schmid6.610R. Schmid
G. Kvernadze6.217G. Kvernadze
A. Raimondo6.89A. Raimondo

Napoli Substitutes

31S. Beukema
14N. Contini
6B. Gilmour71'for Stanislav Lobotka7.2
23Giovane72'for Noa Lang7.1
20L. Lucca61'for Rasmus Hojlund6.6
35Luca Marianucci
8S. McTominay61'for David Neres7.2
32V. Milinković-Savić
21M. Politano81'for Leonardo Spinazzola6.7
36Milton Agustín Pereyra

Frosinone Substitutes

16Matteo Cichella76'for Gabriele Bracaglia5.8
91S. Desplanches
74Omar Fayed
40S. Fini63'for Farès Ghedjemis6.4
30I. Monterisi
12M. Pisseri
90E. Tchato
71A. Terzić45'for Patrizio Masini6.7
24A. Zerbin83'for Romano Schmid6.0
25K. Akpoguma
89T. Bobček63'for Antonio Raimondo6.4
5W. Amey
70L. Hasa

Match Stats

NapoliFrosinone
51%Ball Possession49%
6Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards0
19Total Shots17
8Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal14
13Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots2
8Fouls12
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
456Total Passes425
364Passes Accurate355
11Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

NapoliNapoli
FrosinoneFrosinone
1831Elo Rating 1803
2.31Attack 2.06
0.81Defense 1.33
37%Hit Rate 61%
18.1Shots per Game 20.0
7.8Shots on Target 6.2
4.8Corners per Game 5.8
1.7Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

NapoliNapoli
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FrosinoneFrosinone
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

NapoliNapoli1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
FrosinoneFrosinone1Wins · 33%
4.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie A14/04/2024
NapoliFrosinone
22
Coppa Italia19/12/2023
NapoliFrosinone
04
Serie A19/08/2023
FrosinoneNapoli
13

Recent Form

NapoliNapoli
5W2D3L
20/09/2026
FiorentinaNapoli
11
D
13/09/2026
NapoliBologna
10
W
09/09/2026
NapoliArsenal
01
L
05/09/2026
InterNapoli
32
L
30/08/2026
NapoliComo
12
L
22/08/2026
GenoaNapoli
02
W
12/08/2026
NapoliAris Thessalonikis
62
W
08/08/2026
NapoliCelta Vigo
11
D
05/08/2026
NapoliOsasuna
21
W
26/07/2026
NapoliCarrarese
20
W

Referee Profile

Ermanno Feliciani111 matches

3.48Cards per match
3.37Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ermanno Feliciani3.48
Other referees4.54

3.48 cards a match, 1.06 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.54).

Cards come from 75 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1InterInter981025:10+1525WWWWD
2LazioLazio981022:7+1525WWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma963023:8+1521WDWDD
4ComoComo962117:8+920WWWDL
5AC MilanAC Milan953118:11+718LWWDW
6FrosinoneFrosinone842217:13+414DWLWD
7JuventusJuventus842211:8+314WLDWL
8TorinoTorino941414:14013LWWWD
9CagliariCagliari94148:13-513LLLDW
10NapoliNapoli832313:10+311DLWDW
11BolognaBologna932412:12011WWLWD
12AtalantaAtalanta831414:15-110DLWLL
13LecceLecce83059:14-59LWLLW
14SassuoloSassuolo922514:22-88LLLDL
15MonzaMonza821515:18-37LWLWL
16GenoaGenoa82156:13-77WLWLD
17UdineseUdinese91269:18-95DLLLL
18ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
19FiorentinaFiorentina81169:19-104LLLDW
20VeneziaVenezia91086:19-133LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1InterInter925:1025
2LazioLazio922:725
3AS RomaAS Roma923:821
4ComoComo917:820
5AC MilanAC Milan918:1118
6FrosinoneFrosinone817:1314
7JuventusJuventus811:814
8TorinoTorino914:1413
9CagliariCagliari98:1313
10NapoliNapoli813:1011
11BolognaBologna912:1211
12AtalantaAtalanta814:1510
13LecceLecce89:149
14SassuoloSassuolo914:228
15MonzaMonza815:187
16GenoaGenoa86:137
17UdineseUdinese99:185
18ParmaParma95:155
19FiorentinaFiorentina89:194
20VeneziaVenezia96:193
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Napoli vs Frosinone forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Napoli and Frosinone in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Frosinone are 6th and Napoli 10th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Napoli 13-10, Frosinone 17-13. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Napoli have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Frosinone have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.