Atlas vs Tigres UANL Prediction

Atlas
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Tigres UANL
Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara·César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico 16/08/2026
AtlasAtlas
2-1
Finished
Tigres UANLTigres UANL

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.34
SignalSTRONGModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+13.5%
Atlas Rest
4 days
Tigres UANL Rest
4 days

Atlas vs Tigres UANL: result, form and history

Atlas beat Tigres UANL 2-1 in the Liga MX on 16 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Tigres UANL have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%3.18
X
30%3.20
2
32%2.25
Double Chance
1X
67%1.62
X2
62%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.82
No
36%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 1.51 = 2.88
Over 1.5
82%1.34
Over 2.5
60%2.11
Over 3.5
34%3.77
Under 1.5
18%3.01
Under 2.5
40%1.69
Under 3.5
66%1.23
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.62
Over 9.5
45%2.03
Over 10.5
32%2.57
Under 8.5
44%2.15
Under 9.5
55%1.70
Under 10.5
68%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.5 = 5.3
Over 3.5
70%-
Over 4.5
57%-
Under 3.5
30%-
Under 4.5
43%-

Match Events

2'M. CapassoAssist: A. Gonzalez
21'J. BrunettaAssist: R. Aguirre
22'V. H. Rios De AlbaFoul
30'H. ElizondoUnsportsmanlike conduct
35'M. CapassoHandling
46'V. H. Rios De Alba INP. Ramirez out
56'J. GarzaFoul
65'A. Gonzalez INL. Esteves out
65'J. Martin INJ. Rodriguez out
70'J. SanchezFoul
71'Duk ING. Aguirre out
80'F. Reyes INV. Lorona out
80'A. Franco INJ. Vigon out
81'L. EstevesAssist: E. Zaldivar
85'J. Brunetta(Penalty missed)
88'Joaquim IND. Ramirez out
90'D. Lainez INI. Galvan out

Lineups

Atlas
3-1-4-2Coach: Hernan Crespo
Tigres UANL
4-2-3-1Coach: Hernan Elizondo
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.51
Camilo VargasC7.712C. Vargas
Juan José Purata6.344J. José Purata
Manuel Capasso7.928M. Capasso
Rodrigo Schlegel7.221R. Schlegel
Victor Rios6.327V. Rios
Duk6.011Duk
Edgar Zaldívar7.26E. Zaldívar
Arturo González7.558A. González
Gustavo Ferrareis6.32G. Ferrareis
Florián Monzón6.39F. Monzón
Jose Martin6.6203J. Martin
Nahuel Guzmán5.61N. Guzmán
Jesus Garza5.614J. Garza
Joaquim6.228Joaquim
Alan Javier Franco6.515A. Javier Franco
Francisco Reyes6.52F. Reyes
Fernando GorriaránC6.28F. Gorriarán
Rômulo Zwarg6.323R. Zwarg
Diego Lainez6.916D. Lainez
Juan Brunetta8.211J. Brunetta
Diego Sánchez7.230D. Sánchez
Rodrigo Aguirre6.517R. Aguirre

Atlas Substitutes

15Paulo Ramírez46'for V. H. Rios De Alba7.5
5Jorge Rodríguez65'for J. Martin6.9
10Luís Esteves65'for A. Gonzalez81'7.9
13Gaddi Aguirre71'for Duk7.3
22Antonio Sánchez
4Adrián Mora
17Jose Lozano
192Jesús Serrato
23Sergio Hernandez
251Luis Gamboa

Tigres UANL Substitutes

32Vladimir Loroña80'for F. Reyes6.2
6Juan Vigón80'for A. Franco6.7
200Diego Ramirez88'for Joaquim6.3
198Isac Galván90'for D. Lainez6.7
25Carlos Rodríguez
26Fernando Ordoñez
33Rafael Guerrero
34Henrique Simeone Koifman
19Mauro Laínez
205Antonio de María y Campos

Match Stats

AtlasTigres UANL
45%Ball Possession55%
2Corner Kicks16
2Yellow Cards1
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots25
3Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal9
4Shots Inside Box14
4Shots Outside Box11
1Blocked Shots9
15Fouls11
3Offsides1
6Goalkeeper Saves1
342Total Passes387
265Passes Accurate312
77%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

AtlasAtlas
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
1605Elo Rating 1634
1.83Attack 0.98
0.98Defense 1.56
39%Hit Rate 36%
17.3Shots per Game 14.7
4.8Shots on Target 5.9
8.1Corners per Game 8.8
1.9Cards per Game 0.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AtlasAtlas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AtlasAtlas1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
Tigres UANLTigres UANL6Wins · 60%
2.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX23/04/2026
AtlasTigres UANL
00
Liga MX25/09/2025
Tigres UANLAtlas
20
Liga MX09/02/2025
Tigres UANLAtlas
21
Liga MX13/07/2024
AtlasTigres UANL
11
Liga MX25/02/2024
Tigres UANLAtlas
11
Liga MX18/09/2023
AtlasTigres UANL
20
Liga MX19/02/2023
AtlasTigres UANL
01
Copa por México18/12/2022
Tigres UANLAtlas
10
Liga MX24/07/2022
Tigres UANLAtlas
20
Liga MX22/05/2022
Tigres UANLAtlas
42

Recent Form

AtlasAtlas
3W1D6L
12/08/2026
FC CincinnatiAtlas
12
W
08/08/2026
CharlotteAtlas
20
L
05/08/2026
Columbus CrewAtlas
31
L
02/08/2026
AtlasMonterrey
02
L
26/07/2026
Santos LagunaAtlas
01
W
18/07/2026
LeonAtlas
23
W
10/07/2026
AtlasPuebla
34
L
04/07/2026
AtlasNecaxa
00
D
01/07/2026
AtlasAtletico San Luis
01
L
10/05/2026
Cruz AzulAtlas
10
L
Tigres UANLTigres UANL
5W1D4L
12/08/2026
Tigres UANLVancouver Whitecaps
5141
W
08/08/2026
Tigres UANLMinnesota United FC
4020
W
05/08/2026
Tigres UANLReal Salt Lake
6151
W
02/08/2026
Club QueretaroTigres UANL
32
L
26/07/2026
Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis
22
D
17/07/2026
Club TijuanaTigres UANL
31
L
31/05/2026
TolucaTigres UANL
6050
L
10/05/2026
Guadalajara ChivasTigres UANL
20
L
06/05/2026
Tigres UANLNashville SC
10
W
03/05/2026
Tigres UANLGuadalajara Chivas
31
W

Referee Profile

César Ramos Palazuelos228 matches

4.61Cards per match
4.22Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

César Ramos Palazuelos4.61
Other referees4.47

4.61 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.47).

Cards come from 218 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Club AmericaClub America1484234:19+1528DLWWD
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1482432:23+926WWWDD
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1475221:12+926WWDDL
4AtlasAtlas1473425:26-124WLWDW
5TolucaToluca1465329:19+1023DDDLD
6Club LeonClub Leon1464421:18+322WDLWD
7Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1456322:18+421DWDDD
8MonterreyMonterrey1362523:18+520LWWDL
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1362517:18-120LLLWW
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1461720:20019LWWWW
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1454519:22-319WWDLW
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1445520:23-317DLWDL
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1444622:19+316WLLDL
14PueblaPuebla1444616:21-516LLDDL
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1436515:19-415DLDWW
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1435614:20-614LWLLW
17NecaxaNecaxa1424816:27-1110DLLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1412119:33-245DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Club AmericaClub America1434:1928
2Cruz AzulCruz Azul1432:2326
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1421:1226
4AtlasAtlas1425:2624
5TolucaToluca1429:1923
6Club LeonClub Leon1421:1822
7Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1422:1821
8MonterreyMonterrey1323:1820
9Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1317:1820
10Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1420:2019
11Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1419:2219
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1420:2317
13CF PachucaCF Pachuca1422:1916
14PueblaPuebla1416:2116
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1415:1915
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1414:2014
17NecaxaNecaxa1416:2710
18FC JuarezFC Juarez149:335
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About the Atlas vs Tigres UANL forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atlas and Tigres UANL in the Liga MX table

The table shows a wide gap: Atlas are 4th in the Liga MX, while Tigres UANL sit 15th, 9 points behind. League goal record so far: Atlas 25-26, Tigres UANL 15-19. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.