Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes Prediction

Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel39%SurpriseHighGap-4.4%
Atletico DE Rafaela Rest
6 days
Quilmes Rest
6 days

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes: result, form and history

Atletico DE Rafaela beat Quilmes 1-0 in the Primera Nacional on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.37
X
33%2.89
2
28%3.13
Double Chance
1X
72%1.31
X2
62%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%2.12
No
58%1.63
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 0.84 = 2.07
Over 1.5
59%1.53
Over 2.5
34%2.56
Over 3.5
16%5.35
Under 1.5
41%2.36
Under 2.5
66%1.45
Under 3.5
84%1.13
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'M. Moreno(Penalty)
40'J. Novillo
45'A. Ortega
51'A. Solveyra
54'A. Ortega ING. Vazquez out
58'A. Obando
62'L. Albertengo INL. Flores out
64'J. Aimale
68'M. Moreno
69'E. Pepino INJ. Capurro out
70'A. Obando INR. Ramirez out
70'F. Soloa
72'J. Novillo INN. Colazo out
72'J. Aimale INR. Martinez out
75'N. Colazo
81'R. Martinez
84'F. Yozwiak INM. Fernandez out
90+1'E. Wuattier INA. Rodriguez out

Team Comparison

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
QuilmesQuilmes
1537Elo Rating 1520
0.83Attack 0.82
1.31Defense 2.31
23%Hit Rate 41%

Game State Tendencies

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
QuilmesQuilmes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3Wins · 34%
Draws333%
QuilmesQuilmes3Wins · 33%
2.2Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional31/05/2026
QuilmesAtletico DE Rafaela
20
Primera Nacional30/07/2023
QuilmesAtletico DE Rafaela
12
Primera Nacional27/03/2023
Atletico DE RafaelaQuilmes
10
Primera Nacional08/05/2022
Atletico DE RafaelaQuilmes
12
Primera Nacional24/01/2021
Atletico DE RafaelaQuilmes
10292
Primera Nacional03/03/2020
QuilmesAtletico DE Rafaela
11
Primera Nacional10/09/2019
Atletico DE RafaelaQuilmes
00
Primera Nacional28/08/2018
Atletico DE RafaelaQuilmes
21
Primera Nacional17/04/2018
Atletico DE RafaelaQuilmes
02

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez361616434:16+1864DDWDD
2AtlantaAtlanta361951242:34+862DWLWW
3TemperleyTemperley361613743:31+1261DLDWW
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3616101053:49+458LLWDL
5MidlandMidland3615101143:29+1455DWLWD
6Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3614101243:34+952DWLDW
7Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3514101137:34+352LWDLW
8San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3613121142:36+651WDDDL
9ColegialesColegiales351491236:32+451DWDWW
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3511131139:37+246LWLWD
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3512101329:35-646DWLLL
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3612101431:39-846WWLWD
13QuilmesQuilmes351191532:30+242WLLDW
14AlmagroAlmagro361191633:44-1142LDLWW
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors351161827:35-839WWLWL
16PatronatoPatronato357161229:35-637LLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago359101625:34-937DLLLW
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes36692128:62-3427DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3634:1664
2AtlantaAtlanta3642:3462
3TemperleyTemperley3643:3161
4Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3653:4958
5MidlandMidland3643:2955
6Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3643:3452
7Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3537:3452
8San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3642:3651
9ColegialesColegiales3536:3251
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3539:3746
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3529:3546
12AgropecuarioAgropecuario3631:3946
13QuilmesQuilmes3532:3042
14AlmagroAlmagro3633:4442
15Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3527:3539
16PatronatoPatronato3529:3537
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3525:3437
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3628:6227
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico DE Rafaela and Quilmes in the Primera Nacional table

Atletico DE Rafaela and Quilmes are close in the Primera Nacional table, 11th and 13th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Atletico DE Rafaela 29-35, Quilmes 32-30. The full standings are on the Primera Nacional Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.