Atletico Grau vs Universitario Prediction

Estadio Municipal Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura·Kevin Ortega 01/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
Atletico Grau Rest
3 days
Universitario Rest
7 days

Atletico Grau vs Universitario: result, form and history

Universitario beat Atletico Grau 3-1 in the Primera División on 1 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Universitario had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Atletico Grau.

Universitario have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game. Universitario tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 3.9 for Atletico Grau.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
13%8.05
X
20%4.34
2
67%1.38
Double Chance
1X
33%2.85
X2
87%1.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.25
No
54%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.18 + 1.61 = 2.79
Over 1.5
74%1.30
Over 2.5
50%1.94
Over 3.5
28%3.40
Under 1.5
26%3.20
Under 2.5
50%1.80
Under 3.5
72%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 5 = 9.5
Over 8.5
60%1.72
Over 9.5
48%2.15
Over 10.5
36%2.85
Under 8.5
40%2.01
Under 9.5
52%1.60
Under 10.5
64%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
50%-
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
50%-

Match Events

6'Anderson SantamaríaFoul
7'Adrián Fernández
18'Andy PoloAssist: Jairo Concha
19'Alex ValeraArgument
19'Ignacio TapiaArgument
60'Mauro Da Luz INDiego Barreto out
60'Gabriel Alfaro INChristian Vasquez out
61'Edison Flores INLisandro Alzugaray out
64'Eslyn Imanol Correa Vilela INPablo Lavandeira out
64'Paulo De La Cruz INFreddy Oncoy out
69'Gianluca LapadulaAssist: César Inga
73'Adrián Fernández INYamir Ruidiaz Misitich out
74'Jairo Concha INPiero Quispe out
74'César Inga INJorge Gutiérrez out
76'Lisandro Alzugaray
82'Alex Valera INBryan Reyna out
82'Horacio Calcaterra INJorge Murrugarra out

Lineups

Atletico Grau
5-3-2Coach: G. Ameli
Universitario
3-1-4-2Coach: F. Bustos
Avg rating6.20
Avg rating6.87
P. Álvarez5.71P. Álvarez
D. Rodríguez5.54D. Rodríguez
R. Tapia6.027R. Tapia
L. Acevedo6.42L. Acevedo
I. Tapia6.43I. Tapia
G. Alfaro6.625G. Alfaro
P. de la Cruz5.310P. de la Cruz
E. Correa6.521E. Correa
R. Guarderas6.25R. Guarderas
A. Fernández8.099A. Fernández
M. da Luz6.677M. da Luz
D. Romero7.31D. Romero
C. Fara6.42C. Fara
W. Riveros6.93W. Riveros
A. Santamaría6.34A. Santamaría
H. Calcaterra6.010H. Calcaterra
A. Polo7.924A. Polo
J. Concha7.317J. Concha
É. Flores6.519É. Flores
C. Inga7.733C. Inga
A. Valera6.720A. Valera
G. Lapadula8.018G. Lapadula

Atletico Grau Substitutes

96L. Benítes
7D. Barreto60'for Mauro Da Luz5.9
16J. Ataupillco
33J. Calderón
15P. Lavandeira64'for Eslyn Imanol Correa Vilela5.8
13F. Oncoy64'for Paulo De La Cruz5.8
24Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich73'for Adrián Fernández6.8
20A. Vásquez
8C. Vásquez60'for Gabriel Alfaro5.7

Universitario Substitutes

77B. Reyna82'for Alex Valera6.5
39P. Quispe74'for Jairo Concha6.2
70J. Gutiérrez74'for César Inga6.4
8H. Fértoli
29A. Corzo
30Lisandro Joel Alzugaray61'for Edison Flores76'7.6
11J. Rivera
25M. Vargas
23J. Murrugarra82'for Horacio Calcaterra6.3

Match Stats

Atletico GrauUniversitario
41%Ball Possession59%
4Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots17
5Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box12
2Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots5
13Fouls5
3Goalkeeper Saves4
277Total Passes383
206Passes Accurate310
4Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
UniversitarioUniversitario
1527Elo Rating 1714
0.56Attack 2.40
0.96Defense 1.58
0%Hit Rate 64%
9.4Shots per Game 15.9
3.3Shots on Target 6.1
3.9Corners per Game 6.4
2.7Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
UniversitarioUniversitario
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1Wins · 10%
Draws330%
UniversitarioUniversitario6Wins · 60%
2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa De La Liga27/06/2026
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
11
Primera División16/05/2026
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
01
Primera División01/08/2025
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
31
Primera División26/06/2025
Atletico GrauUniversitario
02
Primera División21/07/2024
Atletico GrauUniversitario
11
Primera División04/02/2024
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
10
Primera División27/08/2023
Atletico GrauUniversitario
22
Primera División10/04/2023
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
21
Primera División18/09/2022
UniversitarioAtletico Grau
20
Primera División01/05/2022
Atletico GrauUniversitario
01

Referee Profile

Kevin Ortega198 matches

5.42Cards per match
5.09Yellow cards per match
0.33Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kevin Ortega5.42
Other referees5.27

5.42 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).

Cards come from 184 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima31198452:23+2965DWWWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario31178655:35+2059DWLWL
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar32159854:37+1754WDWLW
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso311561047:33+1451WWWLL
5CuscoCusco321631346:44+251LDDWW
6CiencianoCienciano311551153:43+1050WWDLW
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico321471149:46+349WLWWL
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal311451257:47+1047DDLLW
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo321451346:48-247LWLLW
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas321381139:51-1247WDLLW
11Sport BoysSport Boys311281135:33+244DLDWL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College321181347:57-1041LLLDD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos318111242:45-335DLWWD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau32971629:41-1234WLLLW
15ADTADT31791533:45-1230DWWDL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua32781725:46-2129LDLWL
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31771744:60-1628WWLLD
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca31581836:55-1918LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3152:2365
2UniversitarioUniversitario3155:3559
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3254:3754
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3147:3351
5CuscoCusco3246:4451
6CiencianoCienciano3153:4350
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3249:4649
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3157:4747
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3246:4847
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3239:5147
11Sport BoysSport Boys3135:3344
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3247:5741
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3142:4535
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3229:4134
15ADTADT3133:4530
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3225:4629
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3144:6028
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3136:5518

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240DWWWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434WDLLW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WWDLW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929DWLWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928WDWLW
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327LDDWW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWWLL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221WLWWL
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221DLWWD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120DWWDL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420DLDWL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DDLLW
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LLDLD
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718LDLWL
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WWLLD
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616WLLLW
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016LWLLW
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo15101425:17+831LWLLW
2UniversitarioUniversitario1493231:20+1130DWLWL
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1491429:17+1228DDLLW
4Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1591529:28+128WLWWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1575325:17+826WDWLW
6Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1481526:15+1125WWWLL
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1574425:17+825LLLDD
8Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1474322:15+725DWWWW
9Sport BoysSport Boys1473420:14+624DLDWL
10CuscoCusco1580725:20+524LDDWW
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1553717:23-618WLLLW
12CiencianoCienciano1452719:21-217WWDLW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1435624:25-114DLWWD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1534814:30-1613WDLLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1432921:32-1111WWLLD
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua152588:22-1411LDLWL
17ADTADT1424811:24-1310DWWDL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca14121115:29-145LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1525:1731
2UniversitarioUniversitario1431:2030
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1429:1728
4Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1529:2828
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1525:1726
6Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1426:1525
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1525:1725
8Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1422:1525
9Sport BoysSport Boys1420:1424
10CuscoCusco1525:2024
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1517:2318
12CiencianoCienciano1419:2117
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1424:2514
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1514:3013
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1421:3211
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua158:2211
17ADTADT1411:2410
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1415:295
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico Grau vs Universitario forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico Grau and Universitario in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Universitario are 2nd and Atletico Grau 14th, 25 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico Grau 29-41, Universitario 55-35. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.