UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 15
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
UTC Cajamarca Rest
5 days
Deportivo Garcilaso Rest
4 days
UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso: the result in context
Deportivo Garcilaso beat UTC Cajamarca 3-2 in the Primera División on 2 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.6 goals a game. Deportivo Garcilaso tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 3.2 for UTC Cajamarca.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
130%3.02
X28%3.50
242%2.13
Double Chance
1X58%1.65
X270%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.61
No42%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.54 = 2.86
Over 1.578%1.22
Over 2.555%1.71
Over 3.533%2.75
Under 1.522%3.92
Under 2.545%2.05
Under 3.567%1.38
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 5 = 9.7
Over 8.562%1.47
Over 9.550%1.80
Over 10.538%2.29
Under 8.538%2.44
Under 9.550%1.91
Under 10.562%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.2 = 4.7
Over 3.569%-
Over 4.551%1.72
Under 3.531%-
Under 4.549%2.00
Match Events
19'Facundo CastelliAssist: Adrian Ascues
27'Facundo CastelliAssist: Agustin Gonzalez
37'Dylan CaroHandball
38'David CamachoAssist: David Dioses
45'Marlon de JesúsAssist: Adolfo Muñoz
45'S. Ramírez INBeto Da Silva out
56'Marcos LliuyaFoul
59'David DiosesFoul
61'David Dioses INLuis Arce out
61'Marlon de Jesús INAbdiel Arroyo out
73'Adrian Ascues INL. Ríos out
73'Agustin GomezDissent
74'Agustin GonzalezAssist: Facundo Castelli
75'Dylan Caro INCarlos Junior Huerto out
78'Christopher Olivares INClaudio Torrejón out
88'Joshua CanttDissent
88'Red card cancelledBeto Da Silva
89'Beto Da SilvaFoul
90+1'Facundo Castelli INJefferson Portales out
90+1'Luis Garro INGilmar Paredes out
90+1'David Camacho INJhosep Nunez out
Lineups
UTC CajamarcaDeportivo Garcilaso
4-1-4-1Coach: Lisandro GreppoAvg ratingAvg rating
1Á. Campos
17L. Garro
2B. Duarte
6F. Cavagna
13D. Caro
8D. Dioses
16A. Figuera
22D. Camacho
10M. Lliuya
19A. Muñoz
9M. de Jesús
1P. Zubczuk
55E. Canales
2A. Salazar
19A. Gómez
20A. Rosell
18C. Ramos
24C. Olivares
27A. Ascues
8A. González
17S. Ramírez
9F. CastelliUTC Cajamarca Substitutes
21R. Bettocchi
11A. Arroyo61'for Marlon de Jesús
88L. Arce61'for David Dioses
15J. Cerro88'
3M. Ganoza
18S. Gálvez
5J. Huerto75'for Dylan Caro
7J. Nunez90+1'for David Camacho
35G. Paredes90+1'for Luis Garro
Deportivo Garcilaso Substitutes
30L. da Silva45'for S. Ramírez89'
33S. Villacorta
14C. Torrejón78'for Christopher Olivares
7L. Ríos73'for Adrian Ascues
22J. Portales90+1'for Facundo Castelli
35J. Mendoza
31J. Barbieri
Match Stats
UTC CajamarcaDeportivo Garcilaso 63%Ball Possession37%
6Corner Kicks7
4Yellow Cards2
8Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots2
15Fouls11
3Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
437Total Passes250
361Passes Accurate163
11Free Kicks16
Team Comparison
UTC CajamarcaDeportivo Garcilaso1434Elo Rating 1659
1.32Attack 2.41
1.49Defense 1.02
27%Hit Rate 37%
13.5Shots per Game 19.1
5.6Shots on Target 7.2
3.2Corners per Game 5.2
2.5Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend29% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
UTC Cajamarca- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
Deportivo Garcilaso- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
UTC Cajamarca2Wins · 29%Draws343%
Deportivo Garcilaso2Wins · 28%
2Wins · 28%1.6Avg Goals
29%Both teams scored2 of 7
29%3+ goals2 of 7
Previous meetings
17/05/2026Deportivo GarcilasoUTC Cajamarca20
26/09/2025Deportivo GarcilasoUTC Cajamarca00
03/05/2025UTC CajamarcaDeportivo Garcilaso21
13/07/2024Deportivo GarcilasoUTC Cajamarca10
26/01/2024UTC CajamarcaDeportivo Garcilaso10
03/09/2023UTC CajamarcaDeportivo Garcilaso00
16/04/2023Deportivo GarcilasoUTC Cajamarca22
Recent Form
UTC Cajamarca1W0D9L
28/10/2026
FC CajamarcaUTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
CiencianoUTC Cajamarca
Sport HuancayoUTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza AtleticoUTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca
UniversitarioUTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos
FC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca13
W23/10/2026UTC CajamarcaFBC Melgar12
L19/10/2026CiencianoUTC Cajamarca10
L11/10/2026UTC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
20/09/2026UTC CajamarcaSporting Cristal01
LSport HuancayoUTC Cajamarca32
L11/09/2026UTC CajamarcaJuan Pablo II College12
L04/09/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca32
L29/08/2026UTC CajamarcaUniversitario24
L25/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
22/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca5141
LUTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos13
LDeportivo Garcilaso5W1D4L
28/10/2026Alianza AtleticoDeportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los ChankasFBC MelgarDeportivo GarcilasoDeportivo GarcilasoSport HuancayoDeportivo GarcilasoUniversitario
Sport BoysDeportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
Alianza LimaDeportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
Alianza AtleticoDeportivo Garcilaso32
L26/10/2026Deportivo GarcilasoClub Deportivo Los Chankas41
W18/10/2026FBC MelgarDeportivo Garcilaso42
L10/10/2026Deportivo GarcilasoSport Huancayo01
L20/09/2026Deportivo GarcilasoUniversitario40
W13/09/2026Sport BoysDeportivo Garcilaso10
L06/09/2026Deportivo GarcilasoAtletico Grau42
W30/08/2026Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso01
W23/08/2026Deportivo GarcilasoCusco41
W17/08/2026CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso00
DLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 55:35 | +20 | 59 | DWLWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 54:37 | +17 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 54 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 62:47 | +15 | 50 | LDDLL |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 47 | LWLLW |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 36 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 29:41 | -12 | 34 | WLLLW |
| 15 |  ADT | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 31 | WDWWD |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 44:65 | -21 | 28 | WWWLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 55:35 | 59 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 50:35 | 54 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 62:47 | 50 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 46:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 32 | 44:47 | 36 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 29:41 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 32 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 44:65 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 38:58 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DWLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | WDWWD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWWLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | LWLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 34:17 | +17 | 31 | LDDLL |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:20 | +11 | 30 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:17 | +8 | 26 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 26:27 | -1 | 15 | LDLWW |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | ADT | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13:26 | -13 | 11 | WDWWD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 11 | WWWLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 34:17 | 31 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 31:20 | 30 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 25:17 | 26 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 26:27 | 15 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | ADT | 15 | 13:26 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 21:37 | 11 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 17:32 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 01/11/26
- Cusco vs Sport Boys 01/11/26
- Atletico Grau vs Universitario 01/11/26
- Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar 02/11/26
- Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca 02/11/26
- Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT 03/11/26
- Alianza Lima vs Cienciano 04/11/26
- Universitario vs Sport Boys 05/11/26
About the UTC Cajamarca vs Deportivo Garcilaso forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
UTC Cajamarca and Deportivo Garcilaso in the Primera División table
The table shows a wide gap: Deportivo Garcilaso are 4th in the Primera División, while UTC Cajamarca sit 18th, 36 points behind. League goal record so far: UTC Cajamarca 38-58, Deportivo Garcilaso 50-35. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.