Benfica vs Vitória SC Prediction

Benfica
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Vitória SC
Estádio da Luz, Lisbon·Luis Miguel Branco Godinho 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.22
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-10.2%
Benfica Rest
20 days
Vitória SC Rest
21 days

Benfica vs Vitória SC: result, form and history

Benfica beat Vitória SC 2-0 in the Primeira Liga on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Benfica had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Vitória SC.

Benfica have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.22
X
18%6.17
2
8%11.63
Double Chance
1X
92%1.04
X2
26%4.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.87
No
48%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.16 + 1 = 3.16
Over 1.5
85%1.10
Over 2.5
66%1.44
Over 3.5
44%2.15
Under 1.5
15%5.55
Under 2.5
34%2.60
Under 3.5
56%1.68
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.4 + 3.5 = 10.9
Over 8.5
67%1.45
Over 9.5
57%1.81
Over 10.5
48%2.25
Under 8.5
33%2.49
Under 9.5
43%1.92
Under 10.5
52%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.8 = 4.4
Over 3.5
65%1.36
Over 4.5
46%1.72
Under 3.5
35%2.95
Under 4.5
54%2.05

Match Events

17'Tony StrataFoul
24'Samuel DahlAssist: Vangelis Pavlidis
33'Gonçalo NogueiraFoul
50'Toni BorevkovićFoul
52'Leandro BarreiroFoul
55'Tomás AraújoFoul
57'Fábio Samuel Amorim SilvaFoul
61'Leandro Barreiro INFredrik Aursnes out
61'Andreas Schjelderup INClaudio Echeverri out
66'Lohann Doucet INBeni Mukendi out
67'Miguel Nogueira INTelmo Arcanjo out
72'Balieiro ThiagoFoul
73'Alexander Bah INHeorhii Sudakov out
73'Rafa Silva INDodi Lukebakio out
73'Gonçalo Nogueira INMatija Mitrović out
73'Arnel Jakupović INPatrick Ouotro out
75'Heorhii SudakovAssist: Claudio Echeverri
81'Tony Strata INMiguel Magalhaes out
82'Vangelis Pavlidis INJhon Durán out

Lineups

Benfica
4-2-3-1Coach: Marco Silva
Vitória SC
4-2-3-1Coach: Tiago Margarido
Avg rating7.12
Avg rating6.17
Samuel Soares6.624S. Soares
A. Bah7.06A. Bah
A. Circati7.63A. Circati
Tomás Araújo7.744T. Araújo
S. Dahl8.726S. Dahl
L. Barreiro6.518L. Barreiro
João Palhinha6.836J. Palhinha
Rafa6.427Rafa
G. Prestianni7.225G. Prestianni
A. Schjelderup7.121A. Schjelderup
V. Pavlidis7.514V. Pavlidis
O. Zych5.848O. Zych
T. Strata6.123T. Strata
T. Borevković6.221T. Borevković
Thiago Balieiro6.128T. Balieiro
João Mendes5.913J. Mendes
L. Doucet6.144L. Doucet
Gonçalo Nogueira6.38G. Nogueira
Miguel Nogueira6.417M. Nogueira
Samu6.620Samu
O. Camara5.67O. Camara
A. Jakupovic6.79A. Jakupovic

Benfica Substitutes

30C. Echeverri61'for Andreas Schjelderup6.9
22J. Durán82'for Vangelis Pavlidis6.5
34S. El Karouani
88Tiago Freitas
8F. Aursnes61'for Leandro Barreiro7.2
72A. Cabral
62J. Neto
11D. Lukebakio73'for Rafa Silva6.6
16Manu
10H. Sudakov73'for Alexander Bah75'7.9
1A. Trubin
33Gabriel Indio

Vitória SC Substitutes

98Lucas Furtado
18Telmo Arcanjo67'for Miguel Nogueira6.0
2Miguel Maga81'for Tony Strata6.2
19V. Andersson
82F. Dias
16Beni66'for Lohann Doucet6.5
6M. Mitrović73'for Gonçalo Nogueira6.0
29V. Ouotro73'for Arnel Jakupović6.3
4Óscar Rivas
5A. Sidibé
56S. Verdi
10Alan

Match Stats

BenficaVitória SC
62%Ball Possession38%
11Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards5
23Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal0
12Shots off Goal5
20Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots3
9Fouls23
0Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves3
555Total Passes329
480Passes Accurate258
23Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

BenficaBenfica
Vitória SCVitória SC
1950Elo Rating 1608
2.83Attack 1.88
2.00Defense 2.16
83%Hit Rate 50%
20.2Shots per Game 15.1
6.3Shots on Target 5.2
6.0Corners per Game 5.7
3.5Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+342 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.17 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BenficaBenfica
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
Vitória SCVitória SC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BenficaBenfica7Wins · 70%
Draws330%
Vitória SCVitória SC0Wins · 0%
3.3Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga21/03/2026
BenficaGuimaraes
30
Primeira Liga01/11/2025
GuimaraesBenfica
03
Primeira Liga19/04/2025
GuimaraesBenfica
03
Primeira Liga07/12/2024
BenficaGuimaraes
10
Primeira Liga11/02/2024
GuimaraesBenfica
22
Primeira Liga02/09/2023
BenficaGuimaraes
40
Primeira Liga18/03/2023
BenficaGuimaraes
51
Primeira Liga01/10/2022
GuimaraesBenfica
00
Primeira Liga27/02/2022
BenficaGuimaraes
30
Taça da Liga27/10/2021
GuimaraesBenfica
33

Recent Form

Referee Profile

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho221 matches

5.55Cards per match
5.30Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
29.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho5.55
Other referees5.28

5.55 cards a match, 0.27 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.28).

Cards come from 181 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto990021:4+1727WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica971126:8+1822WWLWW
3Sporting CPSporting CP953121:11+1018LWDDW
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara953113:6+718LWDWW
5AroucaArouca952212:7+517WWDLD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu952213:11+217WWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente94238:7+114LWWDL
8AlvercaAlverca932413:13011LWWWL
9SC BragaSC Braga93249:11-211LLLDW
10MoreirenseMoreirense932411:16-511WLDWL
11FamalicaoFamalicao924314:11+310WLWDD
12EstrelaEstrela924314:17-310LLLDW
13Vitória SCVitória SC922510:1008WLDLD
14MaritimoMaritimo92259:19-108LLDLL
15NacionalNacional921610:18-87WLLLL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia92165:17-127WLWLD
17Rio AveRio Ave92168:21-137LWLDL
18EstorilEstoril90275:15-102LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto921:427
2BenficaBenfica926:822
3Sporting CPSporting CP921:1118
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara913:618
5AroucaArouca912:717
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu913:1117
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente98:714
8AlvercaAlverca913:1311
9SC BragaSC Braga99:1111
10MoreirenseMoreirense911:1611
11FamalicaoFamalicao914:1110
12EstrelaEstrela914:1710
13Vitória SCVitória SC910:108
14MaritimoMaritimo99:198
15NacionalNacional910:187
16Casa PiaCasa Pia95:177
17Rio AveRio Ave98:217
18EstorilEstoril95:152
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Benfica vs Vitória SC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Benfica and Vitória SC in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, Benfica are 2nd and Vitória SC 13th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Benfica 26-8, Vitória SC 10-10. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Benfica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.