Rio Ave vs Nacional Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Rio Ave vs Nacional: result, form and history
Rio Ave beat Nacional 3-2 in the Primeira Liga on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Carlos Macedo averages 4.51 cards a game, 1.00 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Rio Ave
Avg ratingAvg rating
32V. Hugo
20J. Tomé
5A. Ntoi
39G. Mancha
17M. Vrousai
79M. Patricio
54G. Liavas
80S. Clemmensen
19M. Sellouki
7D. Bezerra
11J. Blesa
1R. Bellucci
88Deivison
33F. Gonçalves
38Z. Vitor
21W. Kokolo
15C. Labidi
31D. Dongmo
10D. Júnior
20M. Djaló
12S. Min-Kyu
29N. KaderRio Ave Substitutes
Nacional Substitutes
Match Stats
Rio AveNacional Team Comparison
Rio AveNacionalAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Rio Ave- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Nacional- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Rio Ave3Wins · 38%2Wins · 25%Previous meetings
25/01/2026NacionalRio Ave17/08/2025Rio AveNacional10/05/2025NacionalRio Ave29/12/2024Rio AveNacional
10/04/2022NacionalRio Ave28/11/2021Rio AveNacional19/05/2021NacionalRio Ave05/02/2021Rio AveNacionalRecent Form
Rio Ave
AlvercaRio AveRio Ave
Estrela
Santa ClaraRio AveRio Ave
Sporting CP
EstorilRio AveRio Ave
FC Porto
GIL VicenteRio AveRio Ave
TondelaRio Ave
Al-Ahli Jeddah
PortimonenseRio AveNacionalNacional
FamalicaoNacionalAlvercaSporting CPNacionalNacionalEstrela
Vitória SCNacionalNacionalEstorilSanta ClaraNacionalEstrelaNacionalNacional
LeganesTondelaNacionalReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.51 cards a match, 1.00 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.51).
Cards come from 78 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 18 | LWDDW |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 | LWDWW |
| 5 |  Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 | WWDLD |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 | WWWWW |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 | LWWDL |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL |
| 9 |  SC Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 | LLLDW |
| 10 |  Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 | WLDWL |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 | WLWDD |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | LLLDW |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 | WLDLD |
| 14 |  Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 7 | WLLLL |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 7 | WLWLD |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 | LLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 21:4 | 27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 9 | 21:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 9 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 9 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 14:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Vitória SC | 9 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 5:17 | 7 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 9 | 8:21 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 5:15 | 2 |
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About the Rio Ave vs Nacional forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Rio Ave and Nacional in the Primeira Liga table
In the Primeira Liga table, Rio Ave (17th) and Nacional (15th) are level on 7 points. League goal record so far: Rio Ave 8-21, Nacional 10-18. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.