Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir Prediction

Beşiktaş
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Başakşehir
Tüpraş Stadyumu, Istanbul·Umit Ozturk, Türkiye 26/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalGOODModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-1.9%
Value Analysis
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalHIGHModel75%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Beşiktaş Rest
3 days
Başakşehir Rest
8 days

Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir: the result in context

Beşiktaş beat Başakşehir 2-0 in the Süper Lig on 26 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Umit Ozturk averages 5.43 cards a game, 0.79 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.36
X
19%5.33
2
12%7.50
Double Chance
1X
88%1.08
X2
31%3.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.62
No
44%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 0.9 = 2.56
Over 1.5
83%1.10
Over 2.5
62%1.40
Over 3.5
41%2.04
Under 1.5
17%6.22
Under 2.5
38%2.82
Under 3.5
59%1.78
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.5 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.39
Over 9.5
48%1.67
Over 10.5
37%2.08
Under 8.5
40%2.82
Under 9.5
52%2.10
Under 10.5
63%1.68
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.8 = 4.6
Over 3.5
68%1.37
Over 4.5
49%1.65
Under 3.5
32%2.95
Under 4.5
51%2.15

Match Events

37'O. BaRoughing
46'U. Bozok INJ. Kaluzinski out
46'O. Ba INH. Gureler out
56'V. Cerny INE. Poku out
59'M. KarbownikHolding
60'Y. Sari INI. Brnic out
61'L. TrossardUnsportsmanlike conduct
65'W. Ndidi INOh Hyeon-Gyu out
75'E. Shomurodov INB. Yildirim out
76'Oh Hyeon-Gyu
78'U. Gunes IND. Selke out
89'J. Olaitan

Lineups

Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1
Başakşehir
4-2-3-1
Avg rating7.28
Avg rating6.58
Alexander Nübel7.51A. Nübel
Amir Murillo6.962A. Murillo
Emmanuel Agbadou7.512E. Agbadou
Emirhan Topçu7.253E. Topçu
Rıdvan Yılmaz7.533R. Yılmaz
Salih Özcan7.36S. Özcan
Václav Černý6.918V. Černý
Wilfred NdidiC7.34W. Ndidi
Junior Olaitan7.315J. Olaitan
Leandro Trossard7.619L. Trossard
Dušan Vlahović6.928D. Vlahović
Muhammed Şengezer6.716M. Şengezer
Michał Karbownik6.333M. Karbownik
Emin Bayram6.623E. Bayram
Ousseynou Ba6.927O. Ba
Saba Kharebashvili5.938S. Kharebashvili
Olivier KemenC6.98O. Kemen
Umut Güneş7.220U. Güneş
Yusuf Sarı6.97Y. Sarı
Umut Bozok6.717U. Bozok
Andreas Skov Olsen6.370A. Skov Olsen
Eldor Shomurodov6.314E. Shomurodov

Beşiktaş Substitutes

17Ernest Poku56'for V. Cerny6.9
80Doğan Alemdar
35Tiago Djaló
22Taylan Bulut
11Kassoum Ouattara
58Yasin Özcan
8Kartal Kayra Yılmaz
29İlhan Fakılı
90Semih Kılıçsoy
9Hyeon-gyu Oh65'for W. Ndidi76'7.9

Başakşehir Substitutes

15Hamza Güreler46'for O. Ba6.2
18Jakub Kałuziński46'for U. Bozok6.7
77Ivan Brnić60'for Y. Sari6.3
98Deniz Dilmen
42Ömer Ali Şahiner
6Onur Bulut
11Abbosbek Fayzullaev
10Edin Višća
9Davie Selke78'for U. Gunes6.7
91Bertuğ Yıldırım75'for E. Shomurodov6.7

Match Stats

BeşiktaşBaşakşehir
65%Ball Possession35%
5Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots1
9Fouls17
7Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves4
492Total Passes264
429Passes Accurate186
87%Pass Accuracy70%

Team Comparison

BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
1830Elo Rating 1715
1.74Attack 1.60
1.02Defense 1.48
36%Hit Rate 46%
15.0Shots per Game 11.7
5.2Shots on Target 4.3
4.7Corners per Game 4.2
2.8Cards per Game 2.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+115 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

BeşiktaşBeşiktaş
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

BeşiktaşBeşiktaş4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
BaşakşehirBaşakşehir3Wins · 30%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Süper Lig15/02/2026
BaşakşehirBeşiktaş
23
Süper Lig13/09/2025
BeşiktaşBaşakşehir
21
Süper Lig12/04/2025
BeşiktaşBaşakşehir
02
Süper Lig10/11/2024
BaşakşehirBeşiktaş
00
Süper Lig04/04/2024
BaşakşehirBeşiktaş
11
Süper Lig12/11/2023
BeşiktaşBaşakşehir
10
Süper Lig12/03/2023
BaşakşehirBeşiktaş
02
Süper Lig12/09/2022
BeşiktaşBaşakşehir
01
Süper Lig07/03/2022
BeşiktaşBaşakşehir
22
Süper Lig15/10/2021
BaşakşehirBeşiktaş
32

Referee Profile

Umit Ozturk124 matches

5.43Cards per match
5.12Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Umit Ozturk5.43
Other referees4.64

5.43 cards a match, 0.79 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.64).

Cards come from 113 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray971119:12+722WWWLW
2AmedAmed962120:10+1020WWDWW
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor961222:8+1419WWWWL
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş960318:10+818WLWLW
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe951323:8+1516LWWWD
6KasımpaşaKasımpaşa944113:9+416WWLDW
7KocaelisporKocaelispor950411:9+215WLLWL
8Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK94238:12-414WWDWL
9Çorum FKÇorum FK941418:15+313LWWLW
10GöztepeGöztepe933319:16+312WWWDD
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor93339:11-212LLDWD
12BaşakşehirBaşakşehir932412:14-211LWDWL
13RizesporRizespor931511:15-410LLLDW
14KonyasporKonyaspor92256:9-38WLDDW
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK92259:15-68LLLLD
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.92257:18-118LLDLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor91178:21-134LLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor91082:23-213LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray919:1222
2AmedAmed920:1020
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor922:819
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş918:1018
5FenerbahçeFenerbahçe923:816
6KasımpaşaKasımpaşa913:916
7KocaelisporKocaelispor911:915
8Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK98:1214
9Çorum FKÇorum FK918:1513
10GöztepeGöztepe919:1612
11AlanyasporAlanyaspor99:1112
12BaşakşehirBaşakşehir912:1411
13RizesporRizespor911:1510
14KonyasporKonyaspor96:98
15Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK99:158
16Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.97:188
17SamsunsporSamsunspor98:214
18EyüpsporEyüpspor92:233
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Beşiktaş vs Başakşehir forecast

The forecasts for this Süper Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Beşiktaş and Başakşehir in the Süper Lig table

In the Süper Lig table, Beşiktaş are 4th and Başakşehir 12th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Beşiktaş 18-10, Başakşehir 12-14. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.