Cesena vs Avellino Prediction

Cesena
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Avellino
Dino Manuzzi, Cesena·Daniele Perenzoni 18/10/2026
CesenaCesena
1-1
Finished
AvellinoAvellino

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Cesena Rest
8 days
Avellino Rest
8 days

Cesena vs Avellino: the result in context

Cesena and Avellino drew 1-1 in the Serie B on 18 Oct 2026. Avellino had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Cesena.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.24
X
30%3.13
2
30%3.30
Double Chance
1X
70%1.33
X2
60%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.70
No
44%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1.26 = 2.50
Over 1.5
73%1.30
Over 2.5
49%1.94
Over 3.5
28%3.37
Under 1.5
27%3.37
Under 2.5
51%1.86
Under 3.5
72%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.1 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.54
Over 9.5
49%1.99
Over 10.5
37%2.44
Under 8.5
39%2.33
Under 9.5
51%1.81
Under 10.5
63%1.48
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%-
Over 4.5
41%1.91
Under 3.5
39%-
Under 4.5
59%1.80

Match Events

13'Brando MoruzziFoul
45'Alessandro DiamantiAbusive Language
45'Riccardo Pagano INMatteo Guidi out
51'Antonio FioriAssist: Cristian Shpendi
57'Luca Palmiero INGiacomo Faticanti out
57'Martin Palumbo INL. Di Maggio out
64'Antonio Fiori INAlessandro Debenedetti out
65'Luca D'Andrea INMassimiliano Mangraviti out
67'Armando Izzo
73'Walid Cheddira INAndrea Favilli out
77'Mihajlo Ilic INMatteo Piacentini out
83'Emil BohinenFoul
84'Michele Besaggio INDimitrios Sounas out
84'Raffaele Russo INTommaso Biasci out
84'Emil Bohinen INMatteo Francesconi out

Lineups

Cesena
4-2-3-1Coach: Alessandro Diamanti
Avellino
3-5-2Coach: A. Nesta
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.72
A. Siano6.81A. Siano
A. Ciofi7.015A. Ciofi
M. Ilić6.66M. Ilić
J. Gelli7.14J. Gelli
G. Frabotta6.27G. Frabotta
D. Bisoli6.325D. Bisoli
E. Bohinen6.432E. Bohinen
L. D'Andrea6.316L. D'Andrea
R. Pagano6.910R. Pagano
A. Fiori8.080A. Fiori
C. Shpendi7.69C. Shpendi
T. Martinelli6.150T. Martinelli
A. Izzo8.64A. Izzo
M. Venturi7.223M. Venturi
P. Enrici7.256P. Enrici
F. Missori6.22F. Missori
M. Palumbo6.620M. Palumbo
L. Palmiero6.76L. Palmiero
M. Besaggio6.539M. Besaggio
B. Moruzzi6.127B. Moruzzi
R. Russo6.810R. Russo
W. Cheddira6.39W. Cheddira

Cesena Substitutes

27M. Dalla Vecchia
91A. Debenedetti64'for Antonio Fiori6.7
13L. Ferretti
39N. Fontana
8M. Francesconi84'for Emil Bohinen6.1
18M. Guidi45'for Riccardo Pagano6.4
23V. Magni
24M. Mangraviti65'for Luca D'Andrea6.6
2M. Natta
26M. Piacentini77'for Mihajlo Ilic6.6
3A. David
14X. Druiventak

Avellino Substitutes

24D. Sounas84'for Michele Besaggio6.4
44L. Šimić
22J. Sassi
3M. Sala
7L. Pandolfi
99A. Favilli73'for Walid Cheddira6.7
30E. Adamo
16G. Faticanti57'for Luca Palmiero6.8
8L. Di Maggio57'for Martin Palumbo6.9
5A. Di Bitonto
77S. Di Paolo
14T. Biasci84'for Raffaele Russo6.5

Match Stats

CesenaAvellino
38%Ball Possession62%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots20
6Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal12
11Shots Inside Box15
7Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots4
14Fouls6
2Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
327Total Passes540
235Passes Accurate433
6Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

CesenaCesena
AvellinoAvellino
1520Elo Rating 1568
0.68Attack 1.31
1.13Defense 1.67
0%Hit Rate 19%
11.5Shots per Game 18.0
2.6Shots on Target 4.8
3.9Corners per Game 4.8
1.7Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CesenaCesena
  • No tendency data available
AvellinoAvellino
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

CesenaCesena1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
AvellinoAvellino1Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie B31/01/2026
AvellinoCesena
31
Serie B09/11/2025
CesenaAvellino
30

Recent Form

CesenaCesena
3W5D2L
10/10/2026
BeneventoCesena
20
L
18/09/2026
Juve StabiaCesena
11
D
12/09/2026
CesenaCremonese
22
D
06/09/2026
CesenaMantova
11
D
29/08/2026
Virtus EntellaCesena
12
W
23/08/2026
CesenaSampdoria
11
D
17/08/2026
SassuoloCesena
30
L
08/08/2026
ForliCesena
00
D
05/08/2026
CesenaVis Pesaro
30
W
01/08/2026
CesenaFossombrone
30
W
AvellinoAvellino
4W1D5L
09/10/2026
AvellinoSampdoria
41
W
19/09/2026
AscoliAvellino
31
L
13/09/2026
AvellinoPalermo
11
D
06/09/2026
ModenaAvellino
01
W
29/08/2026
AvellinoVicenza Virtus
30
W
22/08/2026
AvellinoArezzo
12
L
14/08/2026
MonzaAvellino
30
L
08/08/2026
AvellinoTorino
1131
L
01/08/2026
LazioAvellino
63
L
26/07/2026
SambenedetteseAvellino
05
W

Referee Profile

Daniele Perenzoni110 matches

4.84Cards per match
4.64Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daniele Perenzoni4.84
Other referees4.86

4.84 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.86).

Cards come from 73 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo972021:11+1023DWWWW
2ModenaModena961217:9+819WWLWW
3AscoliAscoli953116:6+1018WWDDW
4MantovaMantova952214:10+417LWLWD
5BeneventoBenevento943214:8+615DWDWW
6PisaPisa943218:13+515DDWWD
7PadovaPadova94149:10-113WWLLL
8SudtirolSudtirol934210:9+113LDLDW
9Hellas VeronaHellas Verona933316:13+312WDDLW
10AvellinoAvellino933313:10+312DLDWL
11CesenaCesena925210:13-311WLDLD
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella924311:10+110DLWDD
13CarrareseCarrarese93159:10-110WLWWL
14ArezzoArezzo93159:19-1010LLWDL
15CremoneseCremonese92348:11-39WLLDD
16Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus923412:17-59LWDLL
17Juve StabiaJuve Stabia93339:908LWWDD
18EmpoliEmpoli92168:15-77LLDLL
19SampdoriaSampdoria91268:18-105LDLLW
20CatanzaroCatanzaro912610:21-115DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo921:1123
2ModenaModena917:919
3AscoliAscoli916:618
4MantovaMantova914:1017
5BeneventoBenevento914:815
6PisaPisa918:1315
7PadovaPadova99:1013
8SudtirolSudtirol910:913
9Hellas VeronaHellas Verona916:1312
10AvellinoAvellino913:1012
11CesenaCesena910:1311
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella911:1010
13CarrareseCarrarese99:1010
14ArezzoArezzo99:1910
15CremoneseCremonese98:119
16Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus912:179
17Juve StabiaJuve Stabia99:98
18EmpoliEmpoli98:157
19SampdoriaSampdoria98:185
20CatanzaroCatanzaro910:215
PromotionRelegation

About the Cesena vs Avellino forecast

The forecasts for this Serie B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cesena and Avellino in the Serie B table

Avellino and Cesena are close in the Serie B table, 10th and 11th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Cesena 10-13, Avellino 13-10. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cesena and Avellino have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.