Cusco vs Sporting Cristal Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.5%
Cusco Rest
8 days
Sporting Cristal Rest
6 days
Cusco vs Sporting Cristal: the result in context
Cusco beat Sporting Cristal 3-1 in the Primera División on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Sporting Cristal had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Cusco.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.2 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Referee Augusto Alfredo Menendez Laos averages 5.86 cards a game, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
145%1.95
X26%3.60
229%3.56
Double Chance
1X71%1.25
X255%1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.58
No42%2.23
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.38 = 2.65
Over 1.578%1.19
Over 2.556%1.67
Over 3.534%2.62
Under 1.522%4.04
Under 2.544%2.11
Under 3.566%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.9 = 11
Over 8.574%1.54
Over 9.564%1.95
Over 10.553%2.53
Under 8.526%2.22
Under 9.536%1.76
Under 10.547%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.566%-
Over 4.547%1.67
Under 3.534%-
Under 4.553%2.07
Match Events
9'Facundo CallejoAssist: Lucas Colitto
32'José ZevallosFoul
42'Facundo Callejo
43'Goal confirmedFacundo Callejo
45'Michael Hoyos INHernán Barcos out
45'Yoshimar Yotún INMartín Távara out
49'Ivan ColmanFoul
62'Maxloren Castro INLuis Abram out
62'José Zevallos INMarlon Ruidías out
71'Cristiano INCatriel Cabellos out
71'Santiago González INIrven Avila out
72'Lucas Colitto INNicolás Silva out
74'Aldair FuentesAssist: Ivan Colman
81'Jean MontanoFoul
84'Ivan Colman INCarlos Diez out
86'José Manzaneda INJoel Herrera out
87'Martín Távara
Lineups
CuscoSporting Cristal
4-2-3-1Coach: R. MosqueraAvg ratingAvg rating
28P. Díaz
21J. Zevallos
8A. Fuentes
2C. Gamarra
3R. Lagos
55J. Montaño
22L. Colitto
88D. Soto
10I. Colman
7J. Manzaneda
9F. Callejo
1D. Enríquez
8L. Sosa
20M. Araujo
5R. Lutiger
90C. Silva
6A. Álvarez
19Y. Yotún
7S. González
16L. Iberico
23M. Castro
22M. HoyosCusco Substitutes
6Á. Ampuero
14C. Diez84'for Ivan Colman
77J. Herrera86'for José Manzaneda
24M. Ruidías62'for José Zevallos
26N. Silva72'for Lucas Colitto
99Miguel Silveira
11J. Tévez
16O. Valenzuela
13A. Vidal
Sporting Cristal Substitutes
25G. Távara45'for Yoshimar Yotún87'
27Gabriel
32L. Díaz
77J. Cuesta
21C. Cabellos71'for Cristiano
33C. Bautista
29H. Barcos45'for Michael Hoyos
96L. Abram62'for Maxloren Castro
11I. Ávila71'for Santiago González
Match Stats
CuscoSporting Cristal 49%Ball Possession51%
2Corner Kicks12
3Yellow Cards0
23Total Shots15
10Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal9
13Shots Inside Box9
10Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots3
13Fouls6
3Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves7
412Total Passes408
369Passes Accurate348
5Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
CuscoSporting Cristal1628Elo Rating 1680
1.60Attack 2.69
1.91Defense 1.38
64%Hit Rate 77%
13.5Shots per Game 15.6
4.3Shots on Target 5.4
3.4Corners per Game 5.9
2.3Cards per Game 1.5
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Cusco- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sporting Cristal- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Cusco3Wins · 30%Draws220%
Sporting Cristal5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
03/05/2026Sporting CristalCusco22
15/12/2025CuscoSporting Cristal20
11/12/2025Sporting CristalCusco10
15/09/2025CuscoSporting Cristal32
13/04/2025Sporting CristalCusco10
22/09/2024CuscoSporting Cristal11
21/04/2024Sporting CristalCusco20
30/09/2023CuscoSporting Cristal41
21/05/2023Sporting CristalCusco32
23/08/2021Sporting CristalCusco41
Recent Form
Cusco5W0D5L
16/10/2026
Sport HuancayoCuscoCusco
Alianza Lima
FC CajamarcaCuscoCusco
FBC Melgar
CiencianoCusco
Deportivo GarcilasoCuscoCusco
Juan Pablo II College
Comerciantes UnidosCuscoCusco
UTC Cajamarca
Sport HuancayoCusco21
L12/10/2026CuscoAlianza Lima12
L19/09/2026FC CajamarcaCusco12
W12/09/2026CuscoFBC Melgar01
L06/09/2026Cusco
UCV Moquegua
31/08/2026CuscoUCV Moquegua20
WCiencianoCusco12
W23/08/2026Deportivo GarcilasoCusco41
L15/08/2026CuscoJuan Pablo II College20
W07/08/2026Comerciantes UnidosCusco31
L02/08/2026CuscoUTC Cajamarca41
WSporting Cristal8W0D2L
18/10/2026Sporting CristalComerciantes UnidosSporting Cristal
ADTADTSporting CristalSporting Cristal
Atletico GrauUCV MoqueguaSporting CristalSporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sport BoysSporting Cristal
Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal
Sporting CristalComerciantes Unidos42
W11/10/2026UTC CajamarcaSporting Cristal
01/10/2026UTC CajamarcaSporting Cristal01
WSporting CristalADT50
W27/09/2026ADTSporting Cristal01
W19/09/2026Sporting CristalAtletico Grau31
W13/09/2026UCV MoqueguaSporting Cristal12
W06/09/2026Sporting CristalClub Deportivo Los Chankas50
W30/08/2026Sport BoysSporting Cristal10
L26/08/2026Sporting CristalSport Huancayo
21/08/2026Sporting CristalSport Huancayo41
WAlianza AtleticoSporting Cristal31
LReferee Profile
5.86Cards per match
5.34Yellow cards per match
0.52Red cards per match
26.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.86 cards a match, 0.55 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.31).
Cards come from 116 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | +19 | 54 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 47:33 | +14 | 51 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 46:43 | +3 | 51 | DDWWL |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57:47 | +10 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48:46 | +2 | 46 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 46 | DLLWW |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 34:33 | +1 | 41 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 47:56 | -9 | 41 | LLDDL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 28 | DLWLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36:55 | -19 | 18 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 54:35 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 47:33 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 31 | 46:43 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 57:47 | 47 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 31 | 48:46 | 46 |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 31 | 39:51 | 46 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 30 | 34:33 | 41 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 31 | 47:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 28:38 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 31 | 25:46 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 36:55 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | DLLWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | DDWWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LDWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | DLWLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | DDLLW |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 3 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:15 | +10 | 26 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 25 | LLDDL |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 28:28 | 0 | 25 | LWWLL |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 25:19 | +6 | 24 | DDWWL |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 21 | LDWLL |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 10 | DLWLW |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 14 | 25:16 | 25 |
| 7 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 14 | 28:28 | 25 |
| 9 | Cusco | 14 | 25:19 | 24 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 13 | 19:14 | 21 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 14 | 14:30 | 12 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 14 | 8:22 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 15:29 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
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This match
More Primera División matches
- Cienciano vs UTC Cajamarca 19/10/26
- UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar 23/10/26
- Atletico Grau vs ADT 23/10/26
- Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Atletico 24/10/26
- Universitario vs Juan Pablo II College 25/10/26
- Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano 25/10/26
- UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Lima 25/10/26
- Sport Boys vs FC Cajamarca 25/10/26
About the Cusco vs Sporting Cristal forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Cusco and Sporting Cristal in the Primera División table
Cusco and Sporting Cristal are close in the Primera División table, 5th and 7th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Cusco 46-43, Sporting Cristal 57-47. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Cusco have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Sporting Cristal have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.