Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano Prediction

Primera DivisiónPeru Peru · Clausura - 13
Comerciantes Unidos
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Cienciano
Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo·Mike Palomino 25/10/2026
Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
3-1
Finished
CiencianoCienciano

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.21
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Comerciantes Unidos Rest
7 days
Cienciano Rest
6 days

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano: result, form and history

Comerciantes Unidos beat Cienciano 3-1 in the Primera División on 25 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Cienciano had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Comerciantes Unidos.

Cienciano have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%2.88
X
27%3.38
2
41%2.25
Double Chance
1X
59%1.56
X2
68%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.60
No
42%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.52 = 2.87
Over 1.5
77%1.21
Over 2.5
54%1.75
Over 3.5
33%2.78
Under 1.5
23%3.85
Under 2.5
46%2.00
Under 3.5
67%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 5.4 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.67
Over 9.5
59%2.10
Over 10.5
47%2.82
Under 8.5
30%2.07
Under 9.5
41%1.66
Under 10.5
53%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.9 = 5
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
57%1.98
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
43%1.75

Match Events

26'Matias SuccarFoul
30'Goal confirmedJhon Sánchez
31'Jhon SánchezAssist: Yimy Gamero
38'Yimy GameroFoul
45'Marcos Martinich INGonzalo Aguirre out
45'Carlos Cabello INRay Sandoval out
47'Agustín RodríguezFoul
50'Matias SuccarAssist: Santiago Arias
54'Gonzalo AguirreFoul
65'Jhon Sánchez INJean Olivares out
72'Josuee Herrera INPiero Guzmán out
72'Daniel Lino INAlexis Cossio out
75'Jose Antonio·Parodi INThiago Alessandro Salinas Melgar out
76'Yimy Gamero INWilter Ayovi out
76'Gerson Barreto INHenry Caparo out
79'Neri Bandiera INSebastian Cavero out
79'Claudio Nuñez INRotceh Aguilar out
84'Maximiliano AmondarainFoul
90+1'Rodrigo VilcaAssist: Thiago Alessandro Salinas Melgar
90+6'Juan RodríguezAssist: Jean Olivares
90+10'Red card cancelledSebastian Cavero
90+10'Goal confirmedJean Olivares

Lineups

Comerciantes Unidos
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Biaggio
Cienciano
4-2-3-1Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
Avg rating6.85
Avg rating6.28
1717M. Cordova
J. Parodi6.220J. Parodi
F. Alcedo6.940F. Alcedo
J. Rodriguez7.26J. Rodriguez
D. Lino7.019D. Lino
A. Rodríguez6.418A. Rodríguez
Y. Gamero7.454Y. Gamero
J. Herrera6.311J. Herrera
Rodrigo Gary Vilca Betetta8.225R. Gary Vilca Betetta
J. Sánchez7.932J. Sánchez
M. Sen6.59M. Sen
G. Falcón7.91G. Falcón
C. Núñez6.013C. Núñez
M. Amondarain5.34M. Amondarain
K. Becerra5.93K. Becerra
M. Martinich6.416M. Martinich
G. Barreto6.288G. Barreto
S. Arias6.75S. Arias
N. Bandiera5.611N. Bandiera
C. Cabello6.122C. Cabello
C. Souza7.27C. Souza
M. Succar7.319M. Succar

Comerciantes Unidos Substitutes

14Thiago Salinas75'for Jose Antonio·Parodi6.6
8W. Ayoví76'for Yimy Gamero7.1
10M. Carpio
99José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez
15A. Cossio72'for Daniel Lino6.7
30P. Guzmán72'for Josuee Herrera6.6
50J. Olivares65'for Jhon Sánchez6.7
28O. Pinto
13M. Pérez

Cienciano Substitutes

27A. Yovera
17R. Sandoval45'for Carlos Cabello6.3
25R. Salazar
31Í. Espinoza
99Nadhir Colunga
14S. Cavero79'for Neri Bandiera5.7
39H. Caparó76'for Gerson Barreto6.0
8G. Aguirre45'for Marcos Martinich54'5.9
26R. Aguilar79'for Claudio Nuñez6.2

Match Stats

Comerciantes UnidosCienciano
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots12
9Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal7
11Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots3
9Fouls17
5Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves6
343Total Passes303
249Passes Accurate210
73%Pass Accuracy69%

Team Comparison

Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
CiencianoCienciano
1540Elo Rating 1608
1.65Attack 1.70
1.27Defense 2.17
23%Hit Rate 63%
18.0Shots per Game 20.1
7.2Shots on Target 5.7
5.2Corners per Game 6.0
2.6Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CiencianoCienciano
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos0Wins · 0%
Draws120%
CiencianoCienciano4Wins · 80%
2.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Primera División03/05/2026
CiencianoComerciantes Unidos
10
Primera División08/08/2025
Comerciantes UnidosCienciano
11
Primera División10/03/2025
CiencianoComerciantes Unidos
32
Primera División13/07/2024
Comerciantes UnidosCienciano
12
Primera División28/01/2024
CiencianoComerciantes Unidos
10

Recent Form

Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
2W2D6L
18/10/2026
Sporting CristalComerciantes Unidos
42
L10/10/2026
Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II College
11
D18/09/2026
Alianza AtleticoComerciantes Unidos
21
L12/09/2026
Comerciantes UnidosSport Huancayo
01
L06/09/2026
UniversitarioComerciantes Unidos
22
D28/08/2026
Comerciantes UnidosFC Cajamarca
23
L22/08/2026
UTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos
13
W14/08/2026
Atletico GrauComerciantes Unidos
10
L07/08/2026
Comerciantes UnidosCusco
31
W31/07/2026
Club Deportivo Los ChankasComerciantes Unidos
32
L
CiencianoCienciano
4W1D5L
19/10/2026
CiencianoUTC Cajamarca
10
W
08/10/2026
UCV MoqueguaCienciano
02
W
30/09/2026
CiencianoClub Deportivo Los Chankas
11
D23/09/2026
ADTCienciano
21
L18/09/2026
Atletico TorqueCienciano
30
L11/09/2026
CiencianoAtletico Torque
20
W04/09/2026
FC CajamarcaCienciano
25
W31/08/2026
CiencianoCusco
12
L23/08/2026
Sport BoysCienciano
51
L
21/08/2026
BotafogoCienciano
10
L

Referee Profile

Mike Palomino3 matches analysed

4.94Cards per match
4.68Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 74% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima31198452:23+2965DWWWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario30168652:34+1856WLWLW
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar31159754:35+1954DWLWW
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso311561047:33+1451WWWLL
5CuscoCusco311631246:43+351DDWWL
6CiencianoCienciano311551153:43+1050WWDLW
7Sporting CristalSporting Cristal311451257:47+1047DDLLW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico311371148:46+246LWWLL
9Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas311371139:51-1246DLLWW
10Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo311351344:48-444WLLWD
11Sport BoysSport Boys301181134:33+141LDWLL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College311181247:56-941LLDDL
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos318111242:45-335DLWWD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau31971528:38-1034LLLWL
15ADTADT31791533:45-1230DWWDL
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31771744:60-1628WWLLD
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua31771725:46-2128DLWLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca31581836:55-1918LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3152:2365
2UniversitarioUniversitario3052:3456
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3154:3554
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3147:3351
5CuscoCusco3146:4351
6CiencianoCienciano3153:4350
7Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3157:4747
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3148:4646
9Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3139:5146
10Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3144:4844
11Sport BoysSport Boys3034:3341
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3147:5641
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3142:4535
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3128:3834
15ADTADT3133:4530
16FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3144:6028
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3125:4628
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3136:5518

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240DWWWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434DLLWW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WWDLW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929WLWLW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928DWLWW
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327DDWWL
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWWLL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221LWWLL
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221DLWWD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120DWWDL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420LDWLL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DDLLW
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LLDLD
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718DLWLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WWLLD
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LLLWL
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016WLLWD
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1491429:17+1228DDLLW
2Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1491423:17+628WLLWD
3UniversitarioUniversitario1383228:19+927WLWLW
4FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1475225:15+1026DWLWW
5Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1481526:15+1125WWWLL
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1474325:16+925LLDDL
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1474322:15+725DWWWW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1481528:28025LWWLL
9CuscoCusco1480625:19+624DDWWL
10Sport BoysSport Boys1363419:14+521LDWLL
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1453616:20-418LLLWL
12CiencianoCienciano1452719:21-217WWDLW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1435624:25-114DLWWD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1433814:30-1612DLLWW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1432921:32-1111WWLLD
16ADTADT1424811:24-1310DWWDL
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua142488:22-1410DLWLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca14121115:29-145LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1429:1728
2Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1423:1728
3UniversitarioUniversitario1328:1927
4FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1425:1526
5Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1426:1525
6Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1425:1625
7Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1422:1525
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1428:2825
9CuscoCusco1425:1924
10Sport BoysSport Boys1319:1421
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1416:2018
12CiencianoCienciano1419:2117
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1424:2514
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1414:3012
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1421:3211
16ADTADT1411:2410
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua148:2210
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1415:295
PromotionRelegation

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About the Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Comerciantes Unidos and Cienciano in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Cienciano are 6th and Comerciantes Unidos 13th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: Comerciantes Unidos 42-45, Cienciano 53-43. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.