Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.28
SignalGOODModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-7.1%
Value Analysis
78%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.28
SignalSTRONGModel78%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Sporting Cristal Rest
6 days
Comerciantes Unidos Rest
7 days
Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos: result, form and history
Sporting Cristal beat Comerciantes Unidos 4-2 in the Primera División on 18 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sporting Cristal had won 5 of their previous five, compared with none for Comerciantes Unidos.
Sporting Cristal have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game. Referee Roberto Perez Gutierrez averages 4.83 cards a game, 0.66 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
169%1.28
X19%5.22
212%8.78
Double Chance
1X88%1.05
X231%3.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.84
No48%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.23 + 0.82 = 3.05
Over 1.581%1.13
Over 2.562%1.50
Over 3.540%2.27
Under 1.519%4.60
Under 2.538%2.40
Under 3.560%1.56
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 4 = 10.3
Over 8.568%1.38
Over 9.556%1.67
Over 10.545%2.08
Under 8.532%2.71
Under 9.544%2.07
Under 10.555%1.65
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.8 = 4.9
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.554%-
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.546%-
Match Events
35'Luis Iberico
39'Alexis Arias INAgustín Rodríguez out
45'Yimy Gamero INJosuee Herrera out
51'CristianoFoul
56'Josuee HerreraAssist: Rodrigo Vilca
63'Agustín Álvarez INHernán Barcos out
63'Michael Hoyos INMartín Távara out
64'Luis IbericoAssist: Santiago González
71'Hernán BarcosAssist: Martín Távara
73'Maxloren Castro INLuis Abram out
78'Rodrigo Vilca INThiago Alessandro Salinas Melgar out
82'Penalty confirmedJosuee Herrera
84'Matías Eric Sen(Penalty)
84'Jean Olivares INMaximiliano Pérez out
84'Jose Antonio·Parodi INÓscar Pinto out
90+4'Hernán BarcosAssist: Yoshimar Yotún
90+6'Luis Iberico INJuan Gonzalez out
90+6'Leandro Sosa INGabriel out
Lineups
Sporting CristalComerciantes Unidos
4-4-1-1Coach: J. HernándezAvg ratingAvg rating
1D. Enríquez
8L. Sosa
20M. Araujo
5R. Lutiger
90C. Silva
6A. Álvarez
19Y. Yotún
7S. González
16L. Iberico
23M. Castro
22M. Hoyos1717M. Cordova
32J. Sánchez
40F. Alcedo
6J. Rodriguez
19D. Lino
54Y. Gamero
20J. Parodi
4A. Martín Arias
50J. Olivares
25R. Gary Vilca Betetta
9M. SenSporting Cristal Substitutes
96L. Abram73'for Maxloren Castro
29H. Barcos63'for Agustín Álvarez71'90+4'
33C. Bautista
11I. Ávila
21C. Cabellos
77J. Cuesta
18J. González90+6'for Luis Iberico
27Gabriel90+6'for Leandro Sosa
25G. Távara63'for Michael Hoyos
Comerciantes Unidos Substitutes
11J. Herrera45'for Yimy Gamero56'
28O. Pinto84'for Jose Antonio·Parodi
18A. Rodríguez39'for Alexis Arias
14Thiago Salinas78'for Rodrigo Vilca
13M. Pérez84'for Jean Olivares
30P. Guzmán
15A. Cossio
99José Pablo Alejandro Charún Valdez
10M. Carpio
Match Stats
Sporting CristalComerciantes Unidos 49%Ball Possession51%
5Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards0
18Total Shots14
6Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal8
12Shots Inside Box11
6Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots1
11Fouls10
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
350Total Passes363
294Passes Accurate303
9Free Kicks10
Team Comparison
Sporting CristalComerciantes Unidos1680Elo Rating 1540
2.69Attack 1.65
1.38Defense 1.27
77%Hit Rate 23%
15.6Shots per Game 18.0
5.4Shots on Target 7.2
5.9Corners per Game 5.2
1.5Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+139 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Sporting Cristal- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Comerciantes Unidos- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Sporting Cristal4Wins · 80%Draws00%
Comerciantes Unidos1Wins · 20%
1Wins · 20%2.4Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored1 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5
Previous meetings
25/04/2026Comerciantes UnidosSporting Cristal10
01/11/2025Comerciantes UnidosSporting Cristal14
29/06/2025Sporting CristalComerciantes Unidos20
03/11/2024Sporting CristalComerciantes Unidos30
25/05/2024Comerciantes UnidosSporting Cristal01
Recent Form
Sporting Cristal8W0D2L
11/10/2026
UTC CajamarcaSporting Cristal
01/10/2026UTC CajamarcaSporting Cristal01
WSporting Cristal
ADT50
W27/09/2026ADTSporting Cristal01
W19/09/2026Sporting Cristal
Atletico Grau31
W13/09/2026
UCV MoqueguaSporting Cristal12
W06/09/2026Sporting Cristal
Club Deportivo Los Chankas50
W30/08/2026
Sport BoysSporting Cristal10
L26/08/2026Sporting Cristal
Sport Huancayo
21/08/2026Sporting CristalSport Huancayo41
W
Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal31
L16/08/2026Sporting CristalSport Huancayo
Sporting CristalSport Huancayo41
WComerciantes Unidos2W3D5L
10/10/2026Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II CollegeAlianza AtleticoComerciantes UnidosComerciantes UnidosSport Huancayo
UniversitarioComerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
FC CajamarcaUTC CajamarcaComerciantes UnidosAtletico GrauComerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
CuscoClub Deportivo Los ChankasComerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes UnidosJuan Pablo II College11
D18/09/2026Alianza AtleticoComerciantes Unidos21
L12/09/2026Comerciantes UnidosSport Huancayo01
L06/09/2026UniversitarioComerciantes Unidos22
D28/08/2026Comerciantes UnidosFC Cajamarca23
L22/08/2026UTC CajamarcaComerciantes Unidos13
W14/08/2026Atletico GrauComerciantes Unidos10
L07/08/2026Comerciantes UnidosCusco31
W31/07/2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasComerciantes Unidos32
L26/07/2026Comerciantes UnidosAlianza Lima22
DReferee Profile
4.83Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.83 cards a match, 0.66 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.49).
Cards come from 132 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 52:34 | +18 | 56 | WLWLW |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | +19 | 54 | DWLWW |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 47:33 | +14 | 51 | WWWLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 |  Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57:47 | +10 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 44:48 | -4 | 44 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 36:55 | -19 | 18 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 30 | 52:34 | 56 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 31 | 54:35 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 31 | 47:33 | 51 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 57:47 | 47 |
| 9 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 31 | 44:48 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 31 | 28:38 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 31 | 36:55 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLDLD |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | WLLWD |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | DDLLW |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | WLLWD |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 4 | Universitario | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:19 | +9 | 27 | WLWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 25:15 | +10 | 26 | DWLWW |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 26:15 | +11 | 25 | WWWLL |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 14 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 4 | Universitario | 13 | 28:19 | 27 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 14 | 25:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 14 | 26:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 14 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 14 | 15:29 | 5 |
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About the Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sporting Cristal and Comerciantes Unidos in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Sporting Cristal are 8th and Comerciantes Unidos 13th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Sporting Cristal 57-47, Comerciantes Unidos 42-45. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Sporting Cristal have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.