D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile Prediction
Chile · Regular Season - 23
Estadio La Portada, La Serena 13/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.63
SignalNEUTRALModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-0.7%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 4.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+5.9%
D. La Serena Rest
7 days
Universidad de Chile Rest
7 days
D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile: the result in context
Universidad de Chile beat D. La Serena 3-0 in the Primera División on 13 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 7 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
121%3.90
X33%3.65
246%1.80
Double Chance
1X54%1.91
X279%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.63
No39%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.32 = 2.59
Over 1.574%1.22
Over 2.555%1.71
Over 3.533%2.77
Under 1.526%3.98
Under 2.545%2.08
Under 3.567%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4 + 4.7 = 8.7
Over 8.549%1.33
Over 9.540%1.60
Over 10.528%2.00
Under 8.551%2.90
Under 9.560%2.15
Under 10.572%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.4 = 4.8
Over 3.571%-
Over 4.553%1.60
Under 3.529%-
Under 4.547%2.25
Match Events
11'Rafael DelgadoDissent
29'Eduardo VargasFoul
45'Gonzalo Ezequiel Reyna INMarcelo Díaz out
47'Agustín Arce
50'Ángelo Henríquez INDiego Rubio out
55'Fabián HormazabalAssist: Maximiliano Guerrero
59'Agustín ArceFoul
72'Jeisson Vargas INAlexander Oroz out
72'F. Dinamarca INJoaquín Gutierrez out
74'Nicolás Fernández INIgor Lichnovsky out
74'Juan Martin Lucero INIgnacio Vásquez out
82'Felipe Chamorro INMatias Pinto out
82'Matías Marín INSebastián Díaz out
89'Maximiliano GuerreroFoul
90+4'Igor LichnovskyAssist: Maximiliano Guerrero
Lineups
D. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile
4-4-2Coach: Fernando GagoAvg ratingAvg rating
31J. Tapia
34I. Rasso
4F. Mac Allister
33R. Delgado
21B. Gutiérrez
23M. Marín
8G. Escalante
26F. Dinamarca
14F. Chamorro
9Á. Henríquez
10J. Vargas
25G. Castellón
17F. Hormazábal
5N. Ramírez
22M. Zaldivia
6N. Fernández
32G. Añasgo
15T. Reinhart
28A. Arce
7M. Guerrero
11E. Vargas
18J. LuceroD. La Serena Substitutes
6S. Diaz82'for Matías Marín
16J. Gutiérrez72'for F. Dinamarca
20Milovan Velasquez
1F. Lanzillota
28Y. Salazar
7A. Oroz72'for Jeisson Vargas
29M. Pinto82'for Felipe Chamorro
3M. Pérez
11D. Rubio50'for Ángelo Henríquez
Universidad de Chile Substitutes
23I. Vásquez74'for Juan Martin Lucero
19J. Altamirano
21M. Díaz45'for Gonzalo Ezequiel Reyna
3I. Lichnovsky74'for Nicolás Fernández90+4'
8I. Poblete
26Matias Riquelme
9O. Rivero
31B. Tamayo
1C. Toselli
Match Stats
D. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile 53%Ball Possession47%
5Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal5
7Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box2
1Blocked Shots2
9Fouls12
3Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
404Total Passes357
301Passes Accurate261
75%Pass Accuracy73%
Team Comparison
D. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile1537Elo Rating 1720
1.74Attack 3.04
1.29Defense 2.18
58%Hit Rate 64%
12.2Shots per Game 16.7
5.4Shots on Target 8.9
4.9Corners per Game 6.4
3.4Cards per Game 1.4
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend57% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
D. La Serena- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Universidad de Chile- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 1.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
D. La Serena0Wins · 0%Draws343%
Universidad de Chile4Wins · 57%
4Wins · 57%2.4Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
43%3+ goals3 of 7
Previous meetings
06/04/2026Universidad de ChileD. La Serena40
28/09/2025D. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile11
18/04/2025Universidad de ChileD. La Serena31
09/10/2022D. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile12
07/05/2022Universidad de ChileD. La Serena20
07/09/2021Universidad de ChileD. La Serena11
11/04/2021D. La SerenaUniversidad de Chile00
Recent Form
D. La Serena4W3D3L
06/09/2026D. La Serena
Nublense
Union La CaleraD. La SerenaD. La Serena
Cobresal
Universidad de ConcepcionD. La Serena
Coquimbo UnidoD. La SerenaD. La Serena
O'Higgins
U. CatolicaD. La Serena
D. La SerenaNublense21
W01/09/2026Union La CaleraD. La Serena01
W23/08/2026D. La SerenaCobresal33
D15/08/2026Universidad de ConcepcionD. La Serena02
W08/08/2026Coquimbo UnidoD. La Serena11
D02/08/2026D. La SerenaO'Higgins12
L26/07/2026U. CatolicaD. La Serena33
D12/07/2026
CobreloaD. La Serena
CobreloaD. La Serena10
L05/07/2026D. La Serena
Antofagasta
D. La SerenaAntofagasta24
L02/07/2026CobresalD. La Serena
CobresalD. La Serena01
WUniversidad de Chile7W0D3L
06/09/2026Universidad de ChileCoquimbo UnidoUniversidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
Colo Colo
Deportes LimacheUniversidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
PalestinoUniversidad de Chile
Huachipato
A. ItalianoUniversidad de ChileUniversidad de ChileUnion La Calera
Universidad de ChileCoquimbo Unido42
W30/08/2026Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Chile21
L23/08/2026Universidad de ChileColo Colo12
L15/08/2026Deportes LimacheUniversidad de Chile13
W10/08/2026Universidad de ChilePalestino21
W06/08/2026
Union San FelipeUniversidad de Chile
02/08/2026Union San FelipeUniversidad de Chile01
WUniversidad de ChileHuachipato20
W26/07/2026A. ItalianoUniversidad de Chile12
W05/07/2026
Santiago WanderersUniversidad de Chile
02/07/2026Santiago WanderersUniversidad de Chile23
WUniversidad de ChileUnion La Calera01
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 57:29 | +28 | 58 | WDLDD |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 45:21 | +24 | 48 | LWWWW |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 53:37 | +16 | 46 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Everton de Vina | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 43:33 | +10 | 40 | DLWWL |
| 5 | Palestino | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 39:36 | +3 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 46:37 | +9 | 37 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Coquimbo Unido | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 38:35 | +3 | 35 | WLWLL |
| 8 | Nublense | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 30:39 | -9 | 35 | LWLLL |
| 9 | D. La Serena | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 39:42 | -3 | 34 | DWLLW |
| 10 | Huachipato | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34:40 | -6 | 33 | DDWWW |
| 11 |  Concepción | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 32 | LDDLW |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30:39 | -9 | 31 | WDLLW |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 30 | LDDWW |
| 14 | Cobresal | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 27 | DDDWL |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19:47 | -28 | 23 | LLDLL |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23:43 | -20 | 21 | LWDWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 26 | 57:29 | 58 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 26 | 45:21 | 48 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 26 | 53:37 | 46 |
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 26 | 43:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Palestino | 25 | 39:36 | 38 |
| 6 | Deportes Limache | 25 | 46:37 | 37 |
| 7 | Coquimbo Unido | 25 | 38:35 | 35 |
| 8 | Nublense | 26 | 30:39 | 35 |
| 9 | D. La Serena | 26 | 39:42 | 34 |
| 10 | Huachipato | 25 | 34:40 | 33 |
| 11 | Concepción | 25 | 27:30 | 32 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 26 | 30:39 | 31 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 25 | 28:33 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 26 | 38:48 | 27 |
| 15 | Universidad de Concepcion | 26 | 19:47 | 23 |
| 16 | Union La Calera | 26 | 23:43 | 21 |
Explore more predictions
This match
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About the D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
D. La Serena and Universidad de Chile in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Universidad de Chile are 2nd and D. La Serena 9th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: D. La Serena 39-42, Universidad de Chile 45-21. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Universidad de Chile have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.