A. Italiano vs O'Higgins Prediction

A. Italiano
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
O'Higgins
Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida, Santiago de Chile·N. Millas 14/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+0.3%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.67
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+10.1%
A. Italiano Rest
8 days
O'Higgins Rest
7 days

A. Italiano vs O'Higgins: result, form and history

A. Italiano beat O'Higgins 1-0 in the Primera División on 14 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them. A. Italiano tend to win more corners, 5.7 a game to 3.0 for O'Higgins.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.60
X
30%3.30
2
28%2.55
Double Chance
1X
72%1.44
X2
57%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.67
No
32%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.57 + 1.3 = 2.87
Over 1.5
85%1.26
Over 2.5
58%1.86
Over 3.5
34%3.21
Under 1.5
15%3.55
Under 2.5
42%1.89
Under 3.5
66%1.32
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.1 = 9.7
Over 8.5
59%1.47
Over 9.5
46%1.84
Over 10.5
36%2.29
Under 8.5
41%2.48
Under 9.5
54%1.89
Under 10.5
64%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
54%1.37
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
46%2.92

Match Events

22'Ignacio SchorFoul
27'Giovani Chiaverano Meroi
40'Raimundo RebolledoPersistent infringement
45'Ignacio Schor INSantiago Federico Toloza out
49'Luis PavezFoul
65'Bastián Yáñez INThiago Vecino out
66'Paolo GuajardoFoul
72'Giovani Chiaverano Meroi INMichael Fuentes out
74'Arnaldo CastilloArgument
74'Enzo FerrarioArgument
78'Paolo Guajardo INDiego Monreal out
83'Juan Leiva INJoaquín Edgardo Muñoz Riffo out
83'Felipe Ogaz INTomas Avilés out
90+2'Michael FuentesFoul
90+2'Franco Troyansky INF. Loyola out
90+4'Raimundo Rebolledo INOliver Rojas out
90+11'F. LoyolaSerious foul
90+13'Luis Pavez INJoaquín Tapia out

Lineups

A. Italiano
4-4-2Coach: P. Graff
O'Higgins
4-2-3-1Coach: Lucas Bovaglio
Avg rating6.65
Avg rating6.54
T. Ahumada7.61T. Ahumada
R. Rebolledo6.235R. Rebolledo
E. Ferrario6.513E. Ferrario
M. Ortiz7.029M. Ortiz
F. Salomoni7.13F. Salomoni
P. Guajardo6.57P. Guajardo
M. Collao6.38M. Collao
C. Pinares6.619C. Pinares
G. Chiaverano7.921G. Chiaverano
F. Troyansky6.411F. Troyansky
D. Coelho6.19D. Coelho
O. Carabalí6.731O. Carabalí
Felipe Andrés Faúndez González6.33F. Andrés Faúndez González
A. Robledo6.522A. Robledo
N. Garrido6.921N. Garrido
L. Pavez6.86L. Pavez
F. Ogaz6.18F. Ogaz
J. Leiva6.811J. Leiva
I. Schor6.225I. Schor
W. Bou6.628W. Bou
B. Yáñez6.929B. Yáñez
A. Castillo6.09A. Castillo

A. Italiano Substitutes

14D. Monreal78'for Paolo Guajardo6.7
27M. Fuentes72'for Giovani Chiaverano Meroi90+2'6.4
25P. Garrido
17F. Loyola90+2'for Franco Troyansky90+11'5.7
22D. Pizarro
16O. Rojas90+4'for Raimundo Rebolledo
6M. Sandoval
30A. Uribe
2V. Zenteno

O'Higgins Substitutes

17T. Avilés83'for Felipe Ogaz6.5
23D. Carreño
20L. Díaz
2C. Morales
27J. Movillo
13J. Muñoz83'for Juan Leiva6.4
30J. Tapia90+13'for Luis Pavez
7S. Toloza45'for Ignacio Schor7.1
32T. Vecino65'for Bastián Yáñez6.2

Match Stats

A. ItalianoO'Higgins
36%Ball Possession64%
5Corner Kicks9
4Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
11Total Shots20
3Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal11
6Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box11
2Blocked Shots3
12Fouls5
0Offsides2
6Goalkeeper Saves2
292Total Passes527
203Passes Accurate448
70%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
O'HigginsO'Higgins
1579Elo Rating 1593
0.58Attack 1.43
2.50Defense 2.15
31%Hit Rate 73%
13.3Shots per Game 19.0
3.9Shots on Target 7.0
5.7Corners per Game 3.0
3.8Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
O'HigginsO'Higgins
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

A. ItalianoA. Italiano4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
O'HigginsO'Higgins4Wins · 40%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División04/04/2026
O'HigginsA. Italiano
21
Primera División30/08/2025
O'HigginsA. Italiano
32
Primera División13/04/2025
A. ItalianoO'Higgins
10
Primera División01/10/2024
A. ItalianoO'Higgins
20
Primera División06/05/2024
O'HigginsA. Italiano
05
Primera División03/09/2023
O'HigginsA. Italiano
21
Copa Chile04/07/2023
A. ItalianoO'Higgins
02
Primera División14/03/2023
A. ItalianoO'Higgins
22
Primera División01/08/2022
A. ItalianoO'Higgins
21
Primera División06/03/2022
O'HigginsA. Italiano
22

Referee Profile

N. Millas90 matches

6.19Cards per match
5.69Yellow cards per match
0.50Red cards per match
21.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

N. Millas6.19
Other referees5.87

6.19 cards a match, 0.32 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.87).

Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo25174451:28+2355DLDDW
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile25146545:20+2548WWWWL
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica24133851:36+1542LWWWW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina25116841:31+1039LWWLW
5PalestinoPalestino25115939:36+338DDLWL
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache251141046:37+937WDLWW
7NublenseNublense2598830:38-835WLLLL
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2589839:42-333WLLWW
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido24951037:35+232LWLLL
10ConcepciónConcepción25951127:30-332LDDLW
11HuachipatoHuachipato24951034:40-632DWWWD
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2478927:32-529DWWLD
13O'HigginsO'Higgins25841329:39-1028DLLWL
14CobresalCobresal25751336:46-1026DDWLW
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion25651418:41-2323LDLLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera25561423:42-1921WDWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2551:2855
2Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2545:2048
3U. CatolicaU. Catolica2451:3642
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2541:3139
5PalestinoPalestino2539:3638
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2546:3737
7NublenseNublense2530:3835
8D. La SerenaD. La Serena2539:4233
9Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2437:3532
10ConcepciónConcepción2527:3032
11HuachipatoHuachipato2434:4032
12A. ItalianoA. Italiano2427:3229
13O'HigginsO'Higgins2529:3928
14CobresalCobresal2536:4626
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2518:4123
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2523:4221

About the A. Italiano vs O'Higgins forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

A. Italiano and O'Higgins in the Primera División table

A. Italiano and O'Higgins are close in the Primera División table, 12th and 13th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: A. Italiano 27-32, O'Higgins 29-39. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.