Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima Prediction

Estadio Hernan Ramírez Villegas, Pereira·Carlos Betancur, Colombia 03/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
57%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.66
SignalNEUTRALModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Deportivo Pereira Rest
3 days
Deportes Tolima Rest
8 days

Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima: the result in context

Deportes Tolima beat Deportivo Pereira 3-1 in the Primera A on 3 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Deportivo Pereira had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Deportes Tolima.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Deportes Tolima tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 3.2 for Deportivo Pereira.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%5.00
X
25%3.60
2
55%1.66
Double Chance
1X
45%2.17
X2
80%1.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.95
No
50%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1.61 = 2.81
Over 1.5
73%1.33
Over 2.5
49%2.06
Over 3.5
28%3.66
Under 1.5
27%3.13
Under 2.5
51%1.74
Under 3.5
72%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 4.9 = 9.4
Over 8.5
58%1.62
Over 9.5
46%1.96
Over 10.5
35%2.53
Under 8.5
42%2.18
Under 9.5
54%1.75
Under 10.5
65%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.7 + 2.9 = 5.7
Over 3.5
82%-
Over 4.5
67%-
Under 3.5
18%-
Under 4.5
33%-

Match Events

13'L. SanchezAssist: A. Parra Osorio
16'L. SanchezAssist: J. Mosquera
18'E. ValenciaAssist: J. Hurtado
24'M. Palacios INF. Mosquera out
30'S. Aguilar IND. Ortiz out
35'S. Urrea
39'L. Sanchez
42'W. Pacheco
44'J. Mera
45+2'J. Monroy(Penalty)
59'L. Sanchez INL. Sandoval out
59'B. Rovira INV. Reyes out
79'E. Valencia INK. Florez out
79'J. Mosquera INJ. Angulo out
80'A. Plata INT. Bovone out
80'J. A. Bermudez Correa INL. Moreno out
80'M. Perez INY. Quinones out
82'A. Parra Osorio
89'A. Parra Osorio INS. Aguayo out

Lineups

Deportivo Pereira
4-4-2
Deportes Tolima
4-2-3-1
Avg rating6.60
Avg rating7.12
Yimy Gómez6.21Y. Gómez
Jordy Monroy6.920J. Monroy
Sebastián Urrea6.22S. Urrea
Santiago Aguilar6.215S. Aguilar
Fabio Delgado6.525F. Delgado
Anderson Plata6.27A. Plata
Jorge Bermúdez7.75J. Bermúdez
Walmer PachecoC7.321W. Pacheco
Miguel Palacios6.324M. Palacios
Marco Pérez6.218M. Pérez
Jhon Largacha6.711J. Largacha
Miguel Ortega6.613M. Ortega
Jherson Mosquera6.933J. Mosquera
Yordan Osorio6.971Y. Osorio
Juan Mera6.55J. Mera
Junior Hernández7.320J. Hernández
Homer Martinez7.314H. Martinez
Brayan RoviraC7.280B. Rovira
Ever Valencia8.58E. Valencia
Luis Sánchez9.010L. Sánchez
Jorge Hurtado6.97J. Hurtado
Adrián Parra6.024A. Parra

Deportivo Pereira Substitutes

8Felipe Mosquera24'for M. Palacios6.7
6Danilo Ortiz30'for S. Aguilar6.7
12Juan Betancourth
16Eber Moreno
34Santiago Álzate
23Tobias Bovone80'for A. Plata
37Luis Moreno
13Yuber Quiñones80'for M. Perez
29Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez

Deportes Tolima Substitutes

23Gali Balanta
30Shean Barbosa
3Jan Ángulo79'for J. Mosquera
18Kelvin Florez79'for E. Valencia
16Victor Reyes59'for B. Rovira6.5
9Luis Sandoval59'for L. Sanchez7.0
15Sergio Armando Aguayo Castillo89'for A. Parra Osorio
29Neifer Sanchez
19Santiago Joven

Match Stats

Deportivo PereiraDeportes Tolima
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots1
11Fouls8
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
456Total Passes409
393Passes Accurate352
86%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
1454Elo Rating 1545
1.05Attack 0.62
2.61Defense 1.69
46%Hit Rate 0%
10.0Shots per Game 14.9
2.5Shots on Target 5.4
3.2Corners per Game 7.1
2.4Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.81 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima4Wins · 40%
2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A19/04/2026
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pereira
20
Primera A26/07/2025
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pereira
10
Primera A14/02/2025
Deportivo PereiraDeportes Tolima
00
Primera A08/10/2024
Deportivo PereiraDeportes Tolima
10
Primera A23/03/2024
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pereira
21
Primera A07/09/2023
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pereira
23
Primera A06/03/2023
Deportivo PereiraDeportes Tolima
11
Primera A26/09/2022
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pereira
13
Copa Colombia12/05/2022
Deportivo PereiraDeportes Tolima
11
Copa Colombia21/04/2022
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pereira
32

Referee Profile

Carlos Betancur168 matches

5.97Cards per match
5.60Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
21.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Carlos Betancur5.97
Other referees5.71

5.97 cards a match, 0.26 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.71).

Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WWWDW
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WWLWW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434WDLWW
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033WLWLD
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933WDDDL
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031WLDWW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DDLWW
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWDLL
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427LDWWL
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWLDW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LLWLW
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LWLLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDWDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LWDDL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318LWLDL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417LLWDL
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional17113333:14+1936WWWDW
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali16104231:12+1934WLWLD
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1796226:10+1633LDWWL
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1778226:17+929LWLLL
5Santa FeSanta Fe1684423:17+628DDLWW
6MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1782725:25026WWLDW
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1767422:20+225LLWLW
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1766521:18+324WDDDL
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1765621:20+123WLDWW
11CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1748521:23-220LWDLL
13LlanerosLlaneros1762919:23-420LDWDD
14Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1753917:29-1218LLWDL
15Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1738613:22-917LDLLL
16JuniorJunior1737723:27-416WWLWW
17ChicoChico1744913:28-1516LWLWL
18JaguaresJaguares1634917:29-1213LWLDL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1719717:25-812LWDDL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto16331011:24-1312WDLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1733:1436
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1631:1234
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1726:1033
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1726:1729
5Santa FeSanta Fe1623:1728
6MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1725:2526
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1722:2025
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1721:1824
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1721:2023
11CucutaCucuta1618:2421
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1721:2320
13LlanerosLlaneros1719:2320
14Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1717:2918
15Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1713:2217
16JuniorJunior1723:2716
17ChicoChico1713:2816
18JaguaresJaguares1617:2913
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1717:2512
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1611:2412

About the Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima forecast

The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Pereira and Deportes Tolima in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Deportes Tolima are 6th and Deportivo Pereira 20th, 21 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Pereira 15-32, Deportes Tolima 27-17. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.