Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares Prediction

Deportivo Pasto
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Jaguares
Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto·Diego Ulloa Angulo, Colombia 04/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
57%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.64
SignalNEUTRALModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Deportivo Pasto Rest
3 days
Jaguares Rest
4 days

Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares: result, form and history

Deportivo Pasto beat Jaguares 2-0 in the Primera A on 3 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Deportivo Pasto have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.9 goals a game. Jaguares tend to win more corners, 4.9 a game to 2.6 for Deportivo Pasto.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.64
X
25%3.72
2
21%5.15
Double Chance
1X
79%1.14
X2
46%2.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.95
No
51%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 0.95 = 2.37
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.01
Over 3.5
27%3.50
Under 1.5
28%3.25
Under 2.5
54%1.77
Under 3.5
73%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.8 = 9.1
Over 8.5
55%1.79
Over 9.5
43%2.24
Over 10.5
32%3.04
Under 8.5
45%1.91
Under 9.5
57%1.53
Under 10.5
68%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.8 = 5
Over 3.5
73%-
Over 4.5
56%-
Under 3.5
27%-
Under 4.5
44%-

Match Events

6'P. Preciado
46'P. Preciado INJ. Obregon out
46'W. De La Rosa INJ. Mejia out
55'H. Mancilla
59'J. Yanez
62'J. Yanez INR. R. Colpa Bolano out
62'H. Mancilla INJ. Mendez out
63'M. Gil INM. Pisano out
67'J. Mendez
69'E. C. Serje Orozco
71'E. C. Serje Orozco
74'Jopito INJ. Beltran out
74'F. A. Gil Mosquera IND. Zuluaga out
74'D. Lopez IND. Rodriguez Urango out
81'M. Garavito
86'J. Micolta Piedahita INK. Santacruz out
90+3'K. Santacruz
90+4'F. Leys INM. S. Jimenez out
90+5'J. MendezAssist: K. Santacruz

Lineups

Deportivo Pasto
4-4-2
Jaguares
4-2-3-1
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.69
Geovanni Banguera7.312G. Banguera
Mateo Garavito7.533M. Garavito
Fainer TorijanoC6.92F. Torijano
Nicolas Gil Uribe7.05N. Gil Uribe
Joyce Ossa6.93J. Ossa
Joider Micolta7.518J. Micolta
Enrique Serje7.98E. Serje
Franco Leys7.025F. Leys
Harrinson Mancilla6.915H. Mancilla
Mayer Gil6.916M. Gil
Patrick Preciado6.219P. Preciado
Diego Martínez7.21D. Martínez
Luis Jiménez6.918L. Jiménez
Jonathan Lovera6.66J. Lovera
Jerson Malagón6.93J. Malagón
Juan Pérez6.623J. Pérez
Jose Yanez6.632J. Yanez
Rafael BustamanteC7.221R. Bustamante
Faber Andrés Gil6.920F. Andrés Gil
Cristian Alvarez7.210C. Alvarez
Wilfrido De la Rosa6.57W. De la Rosa
Darwin Lopez6.217D. Lopez

Deportivo Pasto Substitutes

9Jorge Obregón46'for P. Preciado6.3
36Julián Quiñones
6Santiago Jiménez90+4'for F. Leys
27Hervin Goyes
38Michael Mosquera
17John Méndez62'for H. Mancilla67'90+5'6.3
32Matías Pisano63'for M. Gil6.3
24Kevin Santacruz86'for J. Micolta Piedahita90+3'
13Luis Marquínez

Jaguares Substitutes

9Johar Mejía46'for W. De La Rosa6.5
12Franklin Mosquera
4Juan Franco
29Carlos Henao
28Diego Zuluaga74'for F. A. Gil Mosquera6.5
8Duvan Rodríguez74'for D. Lopez6.3
5Royscer Colpa62'for J. Yanez6.7
16Johan Beltrán74'for Jopito6.3

Match Stats

Deportivo PastoJaguares
51%Ball Possession49%
9Corner Kicks0
5Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots7
4Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box1
7Shots Outside Box6
7Blocked Shots1
12Fouls9
0Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves3
357Total Passes367
309Passes Accurate314
87%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
JaguaresJaguares
1458Elo Rating 1434
0.27Attack 1.01
1.70Defense 1.40
27%Hit Rate 37%
9.2Shots per Game 12.3
1.5Shots on Target 3.3
2.6Corners per Game 4.9
1.8Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
JaguaresJaguares
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
JaguaresJaguares2Wins · 20%
1.9Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A17/04/2026
JaguaresDeportivo Pasto
23
Primera A04/08/2024
JaguaresDeportivo Pasto
00
Primera A06/02/2024
Deportivo PastoJaguares
11
Primera A21/10/2023
JaguaresDeportivo Pasto
10
Primera A09/09/2023
Deportivo PastoJaguares
10
Primera A08/05/2023
Deportivo PastoJaguares
40
Primera A28/03/2023
JaguaresDeportivo Pasto
01
Primera A06/09/2022
Deportivo PastoJaguares
21
Primera A16/07/2022
JaguaresDeportivo Pasto
01
Primera A09/03/2022
JaguaresDeportivo Pasto
10

Referee Profile

Diego Ulloa Angulo130 matches

5.87Cards per match
5.56Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Diego Ulloa Angulo5.87
Other referees5.86

5.87 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.86).

Cards come from 101 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WWWDW
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WWLWW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434WDLWW
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033WLWLD
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933WDDDL
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031WLDWW
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DDLWW
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWDLL
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427LDWWL
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WWLDW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LLWLW
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LWLLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDWDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522LWDDL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318LWLDL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417LLWDL
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional17113333:14+1936WWWDW
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali16104231:12+1934WLWLD
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1796226:10+1633LDWWL
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1778226:17+929LWLLL
5Santa FeSanta Fe1684423:17+628DDLWW
6MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1782725:25026WWLDW
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1767422:20+225LLWLW
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1766521:18+324WDDDL
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1765621:20+123WLDWW
11CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1748521:23-220LWDLL
13LlanerosLlaneros1762919:23-420LDWDD
14Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1753917:29-1218LLWDL
15Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1738613:22-917LDLLL
16JuniorJunior1737723:27-416WWLWW
17ChicoChico1744913:28-1516LWLWL
18JaguaresJaguares1634917:29-1213LWLDL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1719717:25-812LWDDL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto16331011:24-1312WDLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1733:1436
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1631:1234
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1726:1033
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1726:1729
5Santa FeSanta Fe1623:1728
6MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1725:2526
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1722:2025
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1721:1824
10Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1721:2023
11CucutaCucuta1618:2421
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1721:2320
13LlanerosLlaneros1719:2320
14Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1717:2918
15Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1713:2217
16JuniorJunior1723:2716
17ChicoChico1713:2816
18JaguaresJaguares1617:2913
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1717:2512
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1611:2412

About the Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Pasto and Jaguares in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Deportivo Pasto are 3rd and Jaguares 16th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Pasto 29-25, Jaguares 20-33. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.