Junior vs Deportivo Pereira Prediction

Junior
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Deportivo Pereira
Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla·Carlos Andres Marquez Ortega 14/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Junior Rest
3 days
Deportivo Pereira Rest
4 days

Junior vs Deportivo Pereira: result, form and history

Junior and Deportivo Pereira drew 1-1 in the Primera A on 14 Oct 2026. Junior had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Deportivo Pereira.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
72%1.30
X
19%5.00
2
9%9.10
Double Chance
1X
90%1.06
X2
28%3.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.93
No
50%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.22 + 0.8 = 3.02
Over 1.5
81%1.19
Over 2.5
60%1.60
Over 3.5
37%2.50
Under 1.5
19%4.30
Under 2.5
40%2.21
Under 3.5
63%1.51
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 3.5 = 9.7
Over 8.5
60%1.52
Over 9.5
48%1.87
Over 10.5
36%2.40
Under 8.5
40%2.33
Under 9.5
52%1.82
Under 10.5
64%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 3.2 = 5.5
Over 3.5
80%-
Over 4.5
64%1.40
Under 3.5
20%-
Under 4.5
36%2.52

Match Events

5'Jermein PenaAssist: Kevin Pérez
25'Manuel Alejandro Diaz HernandezFoul
36'Jermein PenaFoul
44'Penalty confirmedKevin Pérez
44'Nicolás RengifoFoul
45'Luis Muriel(Penalty missed)
45'Sebastian Acosta INAnderson Plata out
45'Nicolás Rengifo INSebastián Urrea Arbeláez out
45'Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez INEderson Moreno out
47'Daniel SocarrasFoul
49'Red card cancelledEderson Moreno
49'Ederson MorenoFoul
58'Anderson PlataAssist: Ederson Moreno
62'Luis Muriel INFrancisco Fydriszewski out
62'Bryan Castrillón INTeófilo Gutiérrez out
69'Edwin Herrera INAndrés Shmalbach out
69'Guillermo Paiva INCristian Barrios out
69'Luis Jeiner Moreno INMiguel Ángel Aguirre out
79'Kevin Pérez INYimmi Chará out
90'Miguel Palacios INTobías Bovone out

Lineups

Junior
4-4-2Coach: S. Viera
Deportivo Pereira
4-4-2Coach: A. Márquez
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.53
J. Martínez6.830J. Martínez
Daniel Socarras7.034D. Socarras
J. Peña8.098J. Peña
D. Rivera7.35D. Rivera
E. Herrera7.03E. Herrera
B. Castrillón6.488B. Castrillón
Jesús Rivas6.922J. Rivas
F. Ángel6.680F. Ángel
K.  Pérez6.218K. Pérez
L. Muriel6.110L. Muriel
G. Paiva6.29G. Paiva
Yimy Gómez6.61Y. Gómez
J. Monroy6.020J. Monroy
S. Aguilar6.515S. Aguilar
N. Rengifo6.23N. Rengifo
F. Delgado7.025F. Delgado
J. Largacha6.311J. Largacha
W. Pacheco6.921W. Pacheco
L. Moreno6.737L. Moreno
M. Palacios6.324M. Palacios
S. Acosta6.610S. Acosta
M. Diaz5.929M. Diaz

Junior Substitutes

38Andrés Shmalbach69'replaced by Edwin Herrera
28G. Celis
77C. Barrios69'for Guillermo Paiva6.6
12J. Acosta
8Y. Chará79'for Kevin Pérez6.3
19F. Fydriszewski62'for Luis Muriel6.5
29T. Gutiérrez62'for Bryan Castrillón6.7
16Carlos Pérez
14J. Ríos

Deportivo Pereira Substitutes

12J. Betancourth
23T. Bovone90'for Miguel Palacios
26J. Montoya
27J. Morales
16Eber Moreno
14Ederson Moreno45'for Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez49'6.1
7Á. Plata45'for Sebastian Acosta58'8.2
19M. Aguirre69'for Luis Jeiner Moreno6.2
2S. Urrea45'for Nicolás Rengifo6.5

Match Stats

JuniorDeportivo Pereira
49%Ball Possession51%
9Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots5
3Shots on Goal1
8Shots off Goal3
9Shots Inside Box1
5Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots1
8Fouls11
1Offsides0
0Goalkeeper Saves2
387Total Passes401
325Passes Accurate324
11Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

JuniorJunior
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
1577Elo Rating 1454
0.95Attack 1.05
2.28Defense 2.61
23%Hit Rate 46%
10.4Shots per Game 10.0
3.2Shots on Target 2.5
4.5Corners per Game 3.2
2.8Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+123 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals

Game State Tendencies

JuniorJunior
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

JuniorJunior4Wins · 40%
Draws330%
Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira3Wins · 30%
3.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera A03/02/2026
Deportivo PereiraJunior
23
Primera A19/10/2025
JuniorDeportivo Pereira
32
Primera A27/04/2025
Deportivo PereiraJunior
10
Primera A21/10/2024
JuniorDeportivo Pereira
31
Primera A23/05/2024
Deportivo PereiraJunior
00
Primera A20/05/2024
JuniorDeportivo Pereira
23
Primera A26/02/2024
Deportivo PereiraJunior
33
Primera A26/10/2023
Deportivo PereiraJunior
02
Primera A14/05/2023
JuniorDeportivo Pereira
00
Primera A01/12/2022
JuniorDeportivo Pereira
02

Referee Profile

Carlos Andres Marquez Ortega45 matches

6.31Cards per match
6.15Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Carlos Andres Marquez Ortega6.31
Other referees5.90

6.31 cards a match, 0.41 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.90).

Cards come from 13 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WWDWW
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735WWLWW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434WDLWW
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033WLWLD
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933WDDDL
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DDLWW
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028LWDLL
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427LDWWL
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226WLDWL
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LWLWD
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623WLLLL
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322LDWDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522WDDLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318LWLDL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417LWDLW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLWL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional16112332:13+1935WWDWW
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali16104231:12+1934WLWLD
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1796226:10+1633LDWWL
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1677225:16+928WLLLL
5Santa FeSanta Fe1684423:17+628DDLWW
6MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
7Once CaldasOnce Caldas1766521:18+324WDDDL
8Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1672723:24-123WLDWL
9Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1657421:20+122LWLWD
10CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1748521:23-220LWDLL
13LlanerosLlaneros1762919:23-420LDWDD
14Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1653816:27-1118LWDLW
15Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1638512:19-717DLLLD
16JuniorJunior1737723:27-416WWLWW
17ChicoChico1744913:28-1516LWLWL
18JaguaresJaguares1634917:29-1213LWLDL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1619617:24-712WDDLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto16331011:24-1312WDLWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1632:1335
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1631:1234
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1726:1033
4BucaramangaBucaramanga1625:1628
5Santa FeSanta Fe1623:1728
6MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
7Once CaldasOnce Caldas1721:1824
8Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1623:2423
9Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1621:2022
10CucutaCucuta1618:2421
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
12Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1721:2320
13LlanerosLlaneros1719:2320
14Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1616:2718
15Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1612:1917
16JuniorJunior1723:2716
17ChicoChico1713:2816
18JaguaresJaguares1617:2913
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1617:2412
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1611:2412

About the Junior vs Deportivo Pereira forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Junior and Deportivo Pereira in the Primera A table

The table shows a wide gap: Junior are 2nd in the Primera A, while Deportivo Pereira sit 20th, 25 points behind. League goal record so far: Junior 31-24, Deportivo Pereira 15-32. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.