Chico vs Atletico Nacional Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel57%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
Chico Rest
5 days
Atletico Nacional Rest
2 days
Chico vs Atletico Nacional: result, form and history
Atletico Nacional beat Chico 4-1 in the Primera A on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Atletico Nacional have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game. Chico tend to win more corners, 7.1 a game to 3.7 for Atletico Nacional.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
116%6.05
X23%4.00
261%1.46
Double Chance
1X39%2.50
X284%1.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.91
No50%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.93 + 1.53 = 2.46
Over 1.574%1.25
Over 2.551%1.83
Over 3.529%3.10
Under 1.526%3.58
Under 2.549%1.91
Under 3.571%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.8 + 5.6 = 9.3
Over 8.557%1.67
Over 9.545%2.09
Over 10.534%2.75
Under 8.543%2.10
Under 9.555%1.67
Under 10.566%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.5 = 5.4
Over 3.578%-
Over 4.562%-
Under 3.522%-
Under 4.538%-
Match Events
16'Emmanuel BenítezAssist: Edwin Cardona
19'Juan DiazDissent
38'Juan RengifoFoul
45'Xavi RiosFoul
45'Alejandro Maya INI. Camargo out
45'Elkin Rivero INFelipe Marín out
45'Jacobo Pimentel INYesus Cabrera out
45'Emmanuel Benítez INNicolás Rodríguez out
50'Edwin CardonaAssist: Nicolás Rodríguez
56'Edwin CardonaFoul
62'I. CamargoFoul
65'Sebastian Salazar INsebastian viveros out
65'Elías Lautaro Cabrera INAndrés Sarmiento out
66'Edwin Cardona INKevin Parra out
74'Estiven Sarria INSander Navarro out
74'S. Mera INDelio Ramírez out
76'Juan Rengifo INJose Escorcia out
83'Juan Diaz(Penalty)
85'Andrés SarmientoAssist: Jose Escorcia
90+1'Andrés SarmientoAssist: Kevin Parra
Lineups
ChicoAtletico Nacional
4-3-3Coach: L. GonzálezAvg ratingAvg rating
1D. Agudelo
24C. Mosquera
5J. Alomía
4J. Mena
14C. Blanco
6J. Díaz
17E. Sarria
8S. Salazar
21J. Pimentel
16S. Mera2222A. Maya
34F. Armani
31X. Rios
3N. Parra
4C. Haydar
20M. Casco
22E. Cabrera1414E. Rivero
80J. Zapata
19J. Rengifo3232E. Benítez
10E. CardonaChico Substitutes
20sebastian viveros65'replaced by Sebastian Salazar
11D. Ramírez74'for S. Mera
2D. Polanco
12B. Zapata
19J. Pimentel Betancourt
15S. Navarro74'for Estiven Sarria
29Luis Carabalí
9I. Camargo45'replaced by Alejandro Maya62'
10Y. Cabrera45'for Jacobo Pimentel
Atletico Nacional Substitutes
26F. Marin45'replaced by Elkin Rivero
25L. Marquinez
36Jose Escorcia76'replaced by Juan Rengifo
38Jhan Carlos Moreno Córdoba
30K. Parra66'for Edwin Cardona
13N. Rodríguez45'replaced by Emmanuel Benítez
29A. Sarmiento65'for Elías Lautaro Cabrera85'90+1'
33S. Velásquez
39Edwin Fernelis Echeverría Muñoz
Match Stats
ChicoAtletico Nacional 38%Ball Possession62%
5Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal4
6Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots3
13Fouls10
5Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
299Total Passes502
231Passes Accurate430
10Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
ChicoAtletico Nacional1454Elo Rating 1759
0.66Attack 2.15
1.54Defense 2.46
23%Hit Rate 83%
13.7Shots per Game 11.8
3.5Shots on Target 4.9
7.1Corners per Game 3.7
3.3Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Chico- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico Nacional- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Chico1Wins · 13%Draws112%
Atletico Nacional6Wins · 75%
6Wins · 75%4.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
75%3+ goals6 of 8
Previous meetings
18/01/2026Atletico NacionalChico40
06/10/2025ChicoAtletico Nacional11
17/04/2025Atletico NacionalChico41
29/09/2024Atletico NacionalChico62
18/03/2024ChicoAtletico Nacional21
22/10/2023ChicoAtletico Nacional13
07/05/2023Atletico NacionalChico31
07/02/2021Atletico NacionalChico20
Recent Form
Chico3W3D4L
12/10/2026Chico
Cucuta
Deportes TolimaChicoChico
Deportivo Pasto
MillonariosChicoChico
Alianza ValleduparChico
Once Caldas
Águilas DoradasChicoChico
Fortaleza FC
JaguaresChico
ChicoCucuta01
L03/10/2026Deportes TolimaChico00
D26/09/2026ChicoDeportivo Pasto30
W19/09/2026MillonariosChico30
L16/09/2026ChicoAlianza Valledupar12
L13/09/2026Chico
Independiente Medellin
05/09/2026ChicoIndependiente Medellin21
WChicoOnce Caldas20
W30/08/2026Águilas DoradasChico22
D26/08/2026ChicoFortaleza FC00
D21/08/2026JaguaresChico10
LAtletico Nacional6W3D1L
15/10/2026Atletico NacionalIndependiente MedellinAtletico NacionalDeportes TolimaAtletico Nacional
JuniorAtletico NacionalMillonarios
LlanerosAtletico Nacional
Internacional de BogotaAtletico NacionalAtletico NacionalÁguilas DoradasAtletico Nacional
Deportivo CaliAlianza ValleduparAtletico Nacional
Atletico NacionalIndependiente Medellin32
W09/10/2026Atletico NacionalDeportes Tolima00
D01/10/2026Atletico NacionalJunior31
W26/09/2026Atletico Nacional
Chapecoense-sc
25/09/2026Atletico NacionalChapecoense-sc11
DAtletico NacionalMillonarios11
D21/09/2026LlanerosAtletico Nacional20
L17/09/2026Internacional de BogotaAtletico Nacional23
W13/09/2026Atletico NacionalÁguilas Doradas20
W08/09/2026Atletico NacionalDeportivo Cali30
W30/08/2026Alianza ValleduparAtletico Nacional15
WReferee Profile
6.44Cards per match
5.92Yellow cards per match
0.52Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.44 cards a match, 0.40 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (6.04).
Cards come from 73 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WLWWL |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | DLWWL |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLWLD |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWDLL |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WLDWL |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | LLLLD |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | WDDLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | LWDLW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | +19 | 35 | WWDWW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | WLWLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 23:15 | +8 | 25 | LLLLD |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 24 | WDDDL |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 23 | WLDWL |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 13 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 18 | LWDLW |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 17 | DLLLD |
| 16 | Junior | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 17 | Chico | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13:26 | -13 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 12 | WDDLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 12 | DLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 32:13 | 35 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 16 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 6 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 16 | 23:24 | 23 |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 12:19 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 16 | 21:24 | 16 |
| 17 | Chico | 16 | 13:26 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 16 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 15 | 10:22 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
About the Chico vs Atletico Nacional forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Chico and Atletico Nacional in the Primera A table
The table shows a wide gap: Atletico Nacional are 1st in the Primera A, while Chico sit 18th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: Chico 15-32, Atletico Nacional 35-15. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Atletico Nacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.