Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid: the result in context
Atletico Madrid beat Espanyol 1-0 in the La Liga on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Atletico Madrid had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Espanyol.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. Referee Alejandro Hernandez averages 5.37 cards a game, 0.67 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Espanyol
Avg ratingAvg rating
1Á. Fortuño
23O. El Hilali
16V. Drkušić
5C. Riedel
6L. Cabrera
21R. Hinojo
28J. Hernandez
8E. Expósito
10P. Lozano
15B. Zaragoza
9R. Fernández
13J. Oblak
18M. Pubill
21C. Romero
17D. Hancko
30D. MartÃnez
20G. Simeone
8P. Barrios
23M. Hjulmand
7L. Kang-In
15J. David
11A. LookmanEspanyol Substitutes
Atletico Madrid Substitutes
Match Stats
EspanyolAtletico Madrid Team Comparison
EspanyolAtletico MadridAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Espanyol- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico Madrid- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Espanyol1Wins · 13%3Wins · 37%Previous meetings
21/02/2026Atletico MadridEspanyol17/08/2025EspanyolAtletico Madrid29/03/2025EspanyolAtletico Madrid28/08/2024Atletico MadridEspanyol24/05/2023EspanyolAtletico Madrid06/11/2022Atletico MadridEspanyol17/04/2022Atletico MadridEspanyol12/09/2021EspanyolAtletico MadridRecent Form
Espanyol
MalagaEspanyolEspanyol
Elche
Rayo VallecanoEspanyol
OsasunaEspanyolEspanyol
Sevilla
Real SociedadEspanyolEspanyol
Real MadridEspanyol
Levante
CoventryEspanyol
MiddlesbroughEspanyolAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid
Manchester United
AlavesAtletico MadridAtletico MadridReal MadridAtletico MadridOsasunaReal SociedadAtletico Madrid
LiverpoolAtletico Madrid
Athletic ClubAtletico MadridSevillaAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid
VillarrealAtletico MadridMalagaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.37 cards a match, 0.67 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.70).
Cards come from 187 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40:11 | +29 | 27 | LWWWW |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | +15 | 24 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 12 | DLLDL |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 | LDDDD |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | WDLWW |
| 11 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LWLDL |
| 13 |  Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 | WLDLL |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 10 | LWDDL |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | WDDWL |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 | DDDWL |
| 17 |  Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 | LDLWL |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 | LDDLW |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 | DLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 40:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 25:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 16:16 | 17 |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 9 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 15:14 | 12 |
| 11 | Deportivo La Coruna | 10 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 10:20 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 16:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 5:15 | 9 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 7:19 | 5 |
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This match
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About the Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid forecast
The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Espanyol and Atletico Madrid in the La Liga table
The table shows a wide gap: Atletico Madrid are 2nd in the La Liga, while Espanyol sit 18th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Espanyol 12-14, Atletico Madrid 20-8. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.