FC Krasnodar vs Baltika Prediction

FC Krasnodar
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Baltika
Ozon Arena, Krasnodar·Andrey Prokopov 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
FC Krasnodar Rest
7 days
Baltika Rest
5 days

FC Krasnodar vs Baltika: the result in context

FC Krasnodar and Baltika drew 1-1 in the Premier League on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.4 a game across 5 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5. Referee Andrey Prokopov averages 5.20 cards a game, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.83
X
27%3.45
2
20%4.80
Double Chance
1X
80%1.21
X2
47%2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%2.06
No
45%1.69
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1 = 2.60
Over 1.5
70%1.43
Over 2.5
45%2.37
Over 3.5
25%4.18
Under 1.5
30%2.76
Under 2.5
55%1.63
Under 3.5
75%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.1 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.71
Over 9.5
51%2.16
Over 10.5
40%2.90
Under 8.5
37%2.01
Under 9.5
49%1.61
Under 10.5
60%1.33
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.5 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
43%-
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
57%-

Match Events

18'Eduardo AndersonFoul
30'Jhon CordobaAssist: Ilya Vakhania
57'Ilya Petrov INIvan Belikov out
57'Maksim Petrov INFahd Moufi out
58'Eldar ĆivićFoul
62'Ilya VakhaniaFoul
67'ChristianFoul
69'Daniil Utkin INMagomed Ozdoev out
73'Brayan Gil INChinonso Offor out
73'Konstantin Shiltsov INVladislav Pospelov out
75'Christian INJuan Manuel Boselli out
77'Ilya Vakhania INSergey Petrov out
81'Eldar Ćivić INIlya Porokhov out
85'Lucas OlazaArgument
89'Murad MusaevDissent
90+3'Loris MouyokoloAssist: Vladislav Pospelov

Lineups

FC Krasnodar
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Musaev
Baltika
5-4-1Coach: A. Talalaev
Avg rating6.65
Avg rating6.51
S. Agkatsev6.51S. Agkatsev
I. Vakhania6.140I. Vakhania
Vítor Tormena7.03V. Tormena
Jubal7.45Jubal
L. Olaza6.515L. Olaza
A. Chernikov6.453A. Chernikov
Kevin Pina6.46K. Pina
Christian6.218Christian
D. Utkin6.447D. Utkin
Batxi6.211Batxi
J. Córdoba7.99J. Córdoba
E. Latyshonok7.21E. Latyshonok
M. Beveev6.222M. Beveev
S. Varatynov6.52S. Varatynov
L. Mouyokolo7.424L. Mouyokolo
E. Anderson5.821E. Anderson
E. Ćivić6.177E. Ćivić
M. Petrov6.473M. Petrov
A. Mendel6.48A. Mendel
I. Petrov6.310I. Petrov
K. Shiltsov6.47K. Shiltsov
B. Gil6.591B. Gil

FC Krasnodar Substitutes

23J. Boselli75'for Christian6.6
27E. Burkin
16A. Koryakin
21M. Ozdoev69'for Daniil Utkin6.6
17V. Paltsev
98S. Petrov77'for Ilya Vakhania6.9
2M. Rodríguez
10D. Vorobjev

Baltika Substitutes

3I. Kirsch
68M. Ryadno
42V. Pospelov73'for Konstantin Shiltsov6.9
11I. Porokhov81'for Eldar Ćivić6.7
9C. Offor73'for Brayan Gil6.6
5A. Mourid
18F. Moufi57'for Maksim Petrov6.1
44E. Lyubakov
81I. Kukushkin
14S. Kovač
98German Iva
26I. Belikov57'for Ilya Petrov6.8

Match Stats

FC KrasnodarBaltika
63%Ball Possession37%
3Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
12Fouls15
5Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves4
469Total Passes262
355Passes Accurate158
15Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
BaltikaBaltika
1681Elo Rating 1572
1.63Attack 1.10
1.16Defense 1.96
27%Hit Rate 17%
13.1Shots per Game 10.5
6.4Shots on Target 3.8
4.6Corners per Game 4.4
1.9Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+109 Elo
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BaltikaBaltika
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1Wins · 20%
Draws480%
BaltikaBaltika0Wins · 0%
3.4Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored5 of 5
60%3+ goals3 of 5

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs19/07/2026
FC KrasnodarBaltika
11
Premier League19/04/2026
FC KrasnodarBaltika
22
Premier League09/11/2025
BaltikaFC Krasnodar
11
Premier League24/04/2024
KrasnodarBaltika
32
Premier League21/10/2023
BaltikaKrasnodar
22

Recent Form

FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar
4W4D2L
BaltikaBaltika
2W5D3L
18/10/2026
BaltikaFC Rostov
00
D
14/10/2026
Krylia SovetovBaltika
02
W
11/10/2026
AkhmatBaltika
00
D
16/09/2026
BaltikaZenit
23
L
12/09/2026
FakelBaltika
22
D
06/09/2026
BaltikaLokomotiv
01
L
02/09/2026
BaltikaKrylia Sovetov
3050
L
30/08/2026
Rodina MoskvaBaltika
03
W
24/08/2026
BaltikaRubin
11
D
20/08/2026
BaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
11
D

Referee Profile

Andrey Prokopov32 matches

5.20Cards per match
5.07Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
26.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andrey Prokopov5.20
Other referees4.52

5.20 cards a match, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.52).

Cards come from 15 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZenitZenit1290327:13+1427WWWWW
2DynamoDynamo1281319:12+725LWWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1274121:12+925WLWWD
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1265120:14+623DDLDD
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1272321:10+1123LWDWW
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1237214:12+216WDWDL
7FC RostovFC Rostov1243513:17-415WDWLL
8Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1236317:17015WLDDW
9BaltikaBaltika1235415:13+214DDDLD
10Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1241716:23-713LDLLL
11RubinRubin1226412:18-612LLLDD
12AkronAkron1226415:21-612WDLWD
13LokomotivLokomotiv1225516:16011LDWDL
14AkhmatAkhmat1225515:17-211LLDLW
15Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1223713:27-149WDLDL
16FakelFakel121388:20-126LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1ZenitZenit1227:1327
2DynamoDynamo1219:1225
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1221:1225
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1220:1423
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1221:1023
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1214:1216
7FC RostovFC Rostov1213:1715
8Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1217:1715
9BaltikaBaltika1215:1314
10Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1216:2313
11RubinRubin1212:1812
12AkronAkron1215:2112
13LokomotivLokomotiv1216:1611
14AkhmatAkhmat1215:1711
15Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1213:279
16FakelFakel128:206
Relegation

About the FC Krasnodar vs Baltika forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Krasnodar and Baltika in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, FC Krasnodar are 4th and Baltika 9th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Krasnodar 20-14, Baltika 15-13. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.