CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow Prediction

CSKA Moscow
2-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Spartak Moscow
VEB Arena, Moscow·Kirill Levnikov 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.20
SignalHIGHModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
CSKA Moscow Rest
6 days
Spartak Moscow Rest
6 days

CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow: result, form and history

CSKA Moscow beat Spartak Moscow 2-0 in the Premier League on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%3.13
X
27%3.72
2
43%2.24
Double Chance
1X
57%1.72
X2
70%1.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.54
No
42%2.33
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.46 = 2.85
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
57%1.68
Over 3.5
35%2.60
Under 1.5
21%4.31
Under 2.5
43%2.26
Under 3.5
65%1.49
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.42
Over 9.5
51%1.76
Over 10.5
39%2.21
Under 8.5
37%2.57
Under 9.5
49%1.97
Under 10.5
61%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.9
Over 3.5
71%-
Over 4.5
53%-
Under 3.5
29%-
Under 4.5
47%-

Match Events

1'Kirill Glebov
18'Kirill GlebovDissent
24'Tamerlan MusaevAssist: Danil Krugovoy
36'Matvey LukinArgument
37'Pablo SolariArgument
62'João Victor da Silva MarcelinoFoul
64'Srdjan Babic INIgor Dmitriev out
64'Victor Parada INGedson Fernandes out
75'Tamerlan Musaev INMatheus Reis out
75'Kirill Glebov INMatija Popović out
75'Marquinhos INDaniil Denisov out
75'Roman Zobnin INMirlind Daku out
79'Matija PopovićFoul
85'Ivan OblyakovFoul

Lineups

CSKA Moscow
5-3-2Coach: Dmitriy Igdisamov
Spartak Moscow
4-1-4-1Coach: Carcedo
Avg rating7.20
Avg rating6.44
M. Borisko9.039M. Borisko
M. Azzi7.421M. Azzi
João Victor6.74J. Victor
M. Zea6.779M. Zea
M. Lukin6.690M. Lukin
D. Krugovoy6.93D. Krugovoy
I. Oblyakov6.910I. Oblyakov
M. Kislyak7.231M. Kislyak
I. Oleynikov6.319I. Oleynikov
K. Glebov7.717K. Glebov
T. Musaev8.211T. Musaev
A. Maksimenko6.898A. Maksimenko
R. Zobnin6.247R. Zobnin
R. Litvinov6.668R. Litvinov
S. Babić6.76S. Babić
Víctor Parada6.433V. Parada
N. Umyarov6.318N. Umyarov
P. Solari6.17P. Solari
D. Prutsev6.425D. Prutsev
E. Barco6.95E. Barco
Marquinhos6.210Marquinhos
M. Ugalde6.69M. Ugalde

CSKA Moscow Substitutes

52A. Bandikyan
23Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov
7Matheus Alves
85Egor Besaev
37Henrique
62I. Firov
18D. Kozlov
2Matheus Reis75'for Tamerlan Musaev7.0
49V. Torop
84A. Vakulich
97Maksim Voronov
20Matija Popovic75'for Kirill Glebov79'7.1

Spartak Moscow Substitutes

83Gedson Fernandes64'for Victor Parada7.0
19M. Daku75'for Roman Zobnin6.5
97D. Denisov75'for Marquinhos6.1
4A. Djiku
27I. Dmitriev64'for Srdjan Babic5.8
56A. Dovbnya
24Nikita Massalyga
62P. Polekh
1I. Pomazun
17V. Saus
40I. Sorokin
3C. Wooh

Match Stats

CSKA MoscowSpartak Moscow
31%Ball Possession69%
5Corner Kicks5
5Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots21
6Shots on Goal9
9Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box11
4Blocked Shots6
14Fouls5
0Offsides5
10Goalkeeper Saves4
283Total Passes637
190Passes Accurate545
67%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
1670Elo Rating 1700
2.55Attack 1.85
2.15Defense 2.07
81%Hit Rate 63%
14.5Shots per Game 15.9
6.0Shots on Target 7.2
5.0Corners per Game 4.7
2.0Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2 vs 0.6 in second half)
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow5Wins · 50%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Cup06/05/2026
Spartak MoscowCSKA Moscow
10
Premier League22/11/2025
Spartak MoscowCSKA Moscow
10
Premier League05/10/2025
CSKA MoscowSpartak Moscow
32
Premier League26/04/2025
Spartak MoscowCSKA Moscow
12
Premier League02/11/2024
CSKA MoscowSpartak Moscow
02
Premier League25/04/2024
CSKA MoscowSpartak Moscow
00
Premier League08/10/2023
Spartak MoscowCSKA Moscow
22
Premier League21/05/2023
Spartak MoscowCSKA Moscow
21
Premier League16/10/2022
CSKA MoscowSpartak Moscow
22
Cup20/04/2022
CSKA MoscowSpartak Moscow
01

Recent Form

CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow
6W2D2L
18/10/2026
DynamoCSKA Moscow
31
L
14/10/2026
CSKA MoscowFC Rostov
40
W
11/10/2026
CSKA MoscowRodina Moskva
30
W
04/10/2026
CSKA MoscowArsenal Tula
31
W
17/09/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaCSKA Moscow
13
W
12/09/2026
CSKA MoscowRubin
11
D
05/09/2026
ZenitCSKA Moscow
12
W
01/09/2026
FC RostovCSKA Moscow
20
L
28/08/2026
AkronCSKA Moscow
22
D
22/08/2026
CSKA MoscowLokomotiv
32
W
Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow
6W2D2L
18/10/2026
Spartak MoscowRubin
40
W
15/10/2026
Rodina MoskvaSpartak Moscow
24
W
10/10/2026
Krylia SovetovSpartak Moscow
11
D
16/09/2026
Spartak MoscowFakel
10
W
13/09/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Rostov
30
W
06/09/2026
DynamoSpartak Moscow
21
L
02/09/2026
Spartak MoscowRodina Moskva
31
W
30/08/2026
Spartak MoscowFC Orenburg
11
D
23/08/2026
Spartak MoscowZenit
20
W
19/08/2026
RubinSpartak Moscow
5131
L

Referee Profile

Kirill Levnikov142 matches

5.30Cards per match
4.98Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kirill Levnikov5.30
Other referees4.81

5.30 cards a match, 0.49 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.81).

Cards come from 129 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1DynamoDynamo1391321:12+928WLWWW
2ZenitZenit1290327:13+1427WWWWW
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1274121:12+925WLWWD
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1265120:14+623DDLDD
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1272321:10+1123LWDWW
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1237214:12+216WDWDL
7Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1236317:17015WLDDW
8FC RostovFC Rostov1243513:17-415WDWLL
9RubinRubin1336413:18-515WLLLD
10BaltikaBaltika1235415:13+214DDDLD
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1241716:23-713LDLLL
12AkronAkron1226415:21-612WDLWD
13LokomotivLokomotiv1225516:16011LDWDL
14AkhmatAkhmat1325615:19-411LLLDL
15Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1223713:27-149WDLDL
16FakelFakel131398:21-136LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1DynamoDynamo1321:1228
2ZenitZenit1227:1327
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow1221:1225
4FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar1220:1423
5Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow1221:1023
6FC OrenburgFC Orenburg1214:1216
7Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov1217:1715
8FC RostovFC Rostov1213:1715
9RubinRubin1313:1815
10BaltikaBaltika1215:1314
11Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala1216:2313
12AkronAkron1215:2112
13LokomotivLokomotiv1216:1611
14AkhmatAkhmat1315:1911
15Rodina MoskvaRodina Moskva1213:279
16FakelFakel138:216
Relegation

About the CSKA Moscow vs Spartak Moscow forecast

As a derby, this Premier League meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CSKA Moscow and Spartak Moscow in the Premier League table

CSKA Moscow and Spartak Moscow are close in the Premier League table, 3rd and 5th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: CSKA Moscow 21-12, Spartak Moscow 21-10. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA Moscow have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.