Fakel vs Rodina Moskva Prediction
Russia · Regular Season - 12
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Fakel vs Rodina Moskva: the result in context
Rodina Moskva beat Fakel 1-0 in the Premier League on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Fakel had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Rodina Moskva.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Fakel
Avg ratingAvg rating
96I. Obukhov
55D. Todorović
5A. Gabaraev
40Clayton
53M. Bardachev
10I. Alshin
97B. Magomedov
23V. Yakimov
8A. Bagamaev
90A. Koksharov
19B. Pusi
13S. Volkov
2I. Silva
50R. Becão
38L. Musaev
26A. Meshchaninov
20D. Machado
18M. Abdusalamov
10Y. Reyna
5A. Egorychev
17S. Bakaev
7G. OnugkhaFakel Substitutes
Rodina Moskva Substitutes
Match Stats
FakelRodina Moskva Team Comparison
FakelRodina MoskvaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Fakel- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Rodina Moskva- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Fakel0Wins · 0%2Wins · 100%Previous meetings
13/04/2026FakelRodina Moskva15/09/2025Rodina MoskvaFakelRecent Form
Fakel
Krylia SovetovFakel
FC KrasnodarFakelFakel
LokomotivFakel
FC Vitebsk
Spartak MoscowFakelFakel
Baltika
FC RostovFakelFakelFC KrasnodarFakel
ZenitFakel
FC OrenburgRodina MoskvaRodina MoskvaFC OrenburgRodina MoskvaSpartak Moscow
CSKA MoscowRodina Moskva
DynamoRodina MoskvaRodina Moskva
RubinKrylia SovetovRodina Moskva
Dinamo MakhachkalaRodina MoskvaSpartak MoscowRodina MoskvaRodina MoskvaBaltikaDynamoRodina MoskvaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.52 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.62).
Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | +9 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Zenit | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | +14 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 26 | DWLWW |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 25:10 | +15 | 26 | WLWDW |
| 5 | FC Krasnodar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 21:16 | +5 | 23 | LDDLD |
| 6 | FC Rostov | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 7 | Baltika | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17:14 | +3 | 17 | WDDDL |
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 14:12 | +2 | 17 | DWDWD |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:17 | 0 | 15 | WLDDW |
| 10 | Rubin | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 | WLLLD |
| 11 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 13 | LLDLL |
| 12 | Rodina Moskva | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:28 | -13 | 12 | WWDLD |
| 13 |  Akron | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16:23 | -7 | 12 | LWDLW |
| 14 | Lokomotiv | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 11 | LLDWD |
| 15 |  Akhmat | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 11 | LLLDL |
| 16 | Fakel | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8:21 | -13 | 6 | LLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo | 13 | 21:12 | 28 |
| 2 | Zenit | 12 | 27:13 | 27 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 25:10 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Krasnodar | 13 | 21:16 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Rostov | 13 | 16:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Baltika | 13 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 13 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 17:17 | 15 |
| 10 | Rubin | 13 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 11 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 13 | 16:26 | 13 |
| 12 | Rodina Moskva | 13 | 15:28 | 12 |
| 13 | Akron | 13 | 16:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv | 13 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 15 | Akhmat | 13 | 15:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel | 13 | 8:21 | 6 |
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About the Fakel vs Rodina Moskva forecast
The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Fakel and Rodina Moskva in the Premier League table
In the Premier League table, Rodina Moskva are 12th and Fakel 16th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Fakel 8-21, Rodina Moskva 15-28. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Fakel and Rodina Moskva have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.