Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-7.3%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.70
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+5.8%
Independ. Rivadavia Rest
6 days
Tigre Rest
6 days
Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre: result, form and history
Independ. Rivadavia and Tigre drew 2-2 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 17 Oct 2026. Independ. Rivadavia had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Tigre.
Independ. Rivadavia have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. Tigre tend to win more corners, 7.5 a game to 4.1 for Independ. Rivadavia.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%1.98
X28%3.20
223%4.17
Double Chance
1X77%1.22
X251%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%2.00
No50%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.15 = 2.75
Over 1.571%1.40
Over 2.547%2.31
Over 3.525%4.28
Under 1.529%2.73
Under 2.553%1.59
Under 3.575%1.19
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 4.1 = 10.4
Over 8.569%1.79
Over 9.558%2.32
Over 10.546%3.20
Under 8.531%1.91
Under 9.542%1.53
Under 10.554%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.6 = 4.7
Over 3.569%-
Over 4.550%1.67
Under 3.531%-
Under 4.550%2.10
Match Events
20'Matías FernándezAssist: Juan Elordi
26'Alan BarrionuevoAssist: Jabes Saralegui
27'Ignacio PeluffoFoul
45'Ignacio Peluffo INValentín Moreno out
52'Jose Ignacio Florentin
59'Iván VillalbaFoul
62'Santiago Gonzalez INManuel Fernández out
62'Ignacio Russo INMauro Méndez out
62'Manuel FernándezFoul
67'Matías Fernández INLeonel Bucca out
68'Luis Sequeira INTomas Bottari out
68'Joaquín LasoFoul
74'Fabrizio Sartori Prieto INLuis Ángel Díaz Cuesta out
74'Matías Reali INVictorio Ramis out
74'Joaquín Laso INJuan Villalba out
79'Bruno Javier Leyes Sosa INIan Subiabre out
81'Luis Ángel Díaz Cuesta INKevin Vázquez out
87'Juan ElordiFoul
90+2'Manuel FernándezAssist: Federico Alvarez
Lineups
Independ. RivadaviaTigre
4-4-2Coach: D. DaboveAvg ratingAvg rating
30N. Bolcato
2L. Costa
42S. Studer
40I. Villalba
25J. Florentín
14L. Gómez
80M. Reali
77L. Sequeira
3J. Elordi
43F. Sartori
10M. Fernández
12F. Zenobio
8M. Garay
2J. Laso
20A. Barrionuevo
24F. Álvarez
50I. Peluffo
27S. González
5B. Leyes
10J. Saralegui
30J. Dómina
29I. RussoIndepend. Rivadavia Substitutes
32K. Vázquez81'replaced by Luis Ángel Díaz Cuesta
11G. Ríos
7V. Ramis74'for Matías Reali
13A. Osella
34S. Moreyra
21Emmanuel Gómez
28A. Vigo
23L. Díaz74'for Fabrizio Sartori Prieto81'for Kevin Vázquez
27D. Crego
8L. Bucca67'for Matías Fernández
5T. Bottari68'for Luis Sequeira
19R. Atencio
Tigre Substitutes
26L. Morales
28P. Martínez
18M. Fernández62'for Santiago Gonzalez62'90+2'
16N. Dubersarsky
4V. Moreno45'for Ignacio Peluffo
33M. Méndez62'for Ignacio Russo
19A. Oviedo
23G. Requena
11T. Serrago
17G. Soto
25Ian Martin Subiabre79'for Bruno Javier Leyes Sosa
32J. Villalba74'for Joaquín Laso
Match Stats
Independ. RivadaviaTigre 43%Ball Possession57%
2Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots11
2Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots2
8Fouls11
2Goalkeeper Saves0
301Total Passes404
205Passes Accurate322
11Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
Independ. RivadaviaTigre1723Elo Rating 1585
1.04Attack 1.10
0.98Defense 1.13
17%Hit Rate 0%
12.5Shots per Game 16.2
4.1Shots on Target 5.8
4.1Corners per Game 7.5
2.3Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+138 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Independ. Rivadavia- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Tigre- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Independ. Rivadavia3Wins · 60%Draws120%
Tigre1Wins · 20%
1Wins · 20%3.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5
Previous meetings
02/04/2026TigreIndepend. Rivadavia02
06/09/2025TigreIndepend. Rivadavia13
23/08/2025TigreIndepend. Rivadavia11
15/02/2025Independ. RivadaviaTigre14
09/12/2024TigreIndepend. Rivadavia02
Recent Form
Independ. Rivadavia4W2D4L
11/10/2026
Rosario CentralIndepend. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
Gimnasia L.P.
Barracas CentralIndepend. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
Atletico TucumanIndepend. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
River PlateIndepend. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
Racing Club
IndependienteIndepend. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Rosario CentralIndepend. Rivadavia50
L03/10/2026Independ. RivadaviaGimnasia L.P.11
D22/09/2026Barracas CentralIndepend. Rivadavia01
W17/09/2026Independ. RivadaviaAtletico Tucuman2131
L12/09/2026Independ. RivadaviaAldosivi43
W07/09/2026River PlateIndepend. Rivadavia31
L31/08/2026Independ. RivadaviaRacing Club31
W27/08/2026AldosiviIndepend. Rivadavia
22/08/2026AldosiviIndepend. Rivadavia02
WIndependienteIndepend. Rivadavia00
D19/08/2026Independ. RivadaviaFluminense4151
LTigre1W2D7L
11/10/2026Tigre
Banfield
Argentinos JRSTigre
Velez SarsfieldTigreTigreRosario CentralGimnasia L.P.TigreTigreBarracas CentralTigre
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Atletico TorqueTigreTigreAtletico Torque
TigreBanfield12
L05/10/2026Argentinos JRSTigre21
L21/09/2026Velez SarsfieldTigre32
L13/09/2026TigreRosario Central01
L05/09/2026Gimnasia L.P.Tigre21
L01/09/2026TigreBarracas Central00
D25/08/2026TigreCentral Cordoba de Santiago21
W20/08/2026Atletico TorqueTigre21
L15/08/2026AldosiviTigre
13/08/2026AldosiviTigre00
DTigreAtletico Torque01
LReferee Profile
5.27Cards per match
5.01Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.27 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.20).
Cards come from 135 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 34 | DWWWW |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | +10 | 29 | LWWWW |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 29 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 28 | WLWLW |
| 5 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWLLD |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 | WWLLL |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 22 | DWWDD |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 21 | DLLWW |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 | DWLDW |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 20 | DDLLD |
| 11 |  Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | LDLWL |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 16 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 5:24 | 5 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22:11 | +11 | 28 | WLWLW |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | +7 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | +3 | 25 | WWLLL |
| 4 | River Plate | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:13 | +6 | 23 | LWWWW |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 22 | DWLLD |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 22 | DWLDW |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 21 | LLWWL |
| 8 | Huracan | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 19 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 19 | DWWWW |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 17 | LDLWL |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | DLLWL |
| 12 | Tigre | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 13 | DDLLD |
| 13 | Racing Club | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 15:22 | -7 | 11 | DLDLL |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosario Central | 14 | 22:11 | 28 |
| 2 | Argentinos JRS | 14 | 18:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Gimnasia L.P. | 14 | 21:18 | 25 |
| 4 | River Plate | 14 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Belgrano Cordoba | 14 | 14:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Barracas Central | 14 | 13:11 | 22 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 14 | 22:21 | 21 |
| 8 | Huracan | 14 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 9 | Independ. Rivadavia | 14 | 17:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 14 | 13:13 | 17 |
| 11 | Banfield | 14 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Tigre | 14 | 13:16 | 13 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 14 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 14 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 15 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 14 | 9:19 | 9 |
Explore more predictions
This match
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- Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba 17/10/26
- Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. 18/10/26
- Racing Club vs Independiente 18/10/26
- Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo 18/10/26
- Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago 20/10/26
About the Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Independ. Rivadavia and Tigre in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Independ. Rivadavia are 1st and Tigre 10th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Independ. Rivadavia 29-15, Tigre 18-15. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Independ. Rivadavia have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.