Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo Prediction
Argentina · Clausura - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-5.1%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.56
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+3.8%
Estudiantes L.P. Rest
2 days
San Lorenzo Rest
7 days
Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo: the result in context
San Lorenzo beat Estudiantes L.P. 2-1 in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Referee Sebastian Nicolas Martinez averages 6.16 cards a game, 0.89 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%2.09
X28%3.05
223%3.90
Double Chance
1X77%1.24
X251%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes46%2.04
No54%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 0.77 = 2.22
Over 1.564%1.45
Over 2.541%2.42
Over 3.522%4.54
Under 1.536%2.62
Under 2.559%1.55
Under 3.578%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4 = 10
Over 8.565%1.93
Over 9.553%2.50
Over 10.541%3.48
Under 8.535%1.81
Under 9.547%1.46
Under 10.559%1.23
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 3 = 5.4
Over 3.578%-
Over 4.562%-
Under 3.522%-
Under 4.538%-
Match Events
10'Penalty confirmedTiago Tomas Palacios
12'José DevecchiDissent
14'Edwuin Cetre(Penalty)
30'Gastón BenedettiFoul
32'Miguel MonsalveFoul
36'Guzman corujoFoul
44'Guzman corujoAssist: Agustín Ladstatter
58'Agustín Ladstatter INEnzo Alan Salas out
60'Joaquín Correa INTiago Palacios out
60'Tiago Tomas Palacios INEros Nazareno Mancuso out
61'José Sosa INBaltasar Gallego Rodriguez out
72'Miguel Monsalve INGuido Carrillo out
75'Bautista KociubinskiFoul
77'Guido CarrilloFoul
80'Lucas Alario INAdolfo Gaich out
81'Facundo Farías INMartín Rio out
83'Martín RioFoul
83'Baltasar Gallego RodriguezFoul
87'Rodrigo Auzmendi INGustavo Del Prete out
90+5'Facundo GulliAssist: Enzo Alan Salas
Lineups
Estudiantes L.P.San Lorenzo
3-4-1-2Coach: R. InsúaAvg ratingAvg rating
1F. Iacovich
14L. González
5M. Rojo
24T. Palacios
13G. Benedetti
7J. Sosa
52B. Kociubinski
18E. Cetré
34M. Monsalve
32J. Correa
27L. Alario
25J. Devecchi
16G. Corujo
2D. Arboleda
19E. Amor
32E. Herrera
24N. Tripichio
10F. Gulli
3T. Rodríguez
38F. Farías
14A. Ladstatter
29R. AuzmendiEstudiantes L.P. Substitutes
15S. Arzamendia
28B. Aguirre
12R. Borzone
9G. Carrillo72'for Miguel Monsalve77'
19A. Gaich80'for Lucas Alario
31B. Gallego61'for José Sosa83'
40E. Mancuso60'for Tiago Tomas Palacios
4S. Núñez
10T. Palacios60'for Joaquín Correa
21Lucas Ezequiel Piovi
29F. Pérez Escudero
17J. Burgos
San Lorenzo Substitutes
20F. Altamirano
30O. Arias
34Maximo Atrio
35A. Cordoba
8M. Insaurralde
42F. Lorenzón
39Elián Uriel Ojeda
27M. Río81'for Facundo Farías83'
44Enzo Alan Salas58'replaced by Agustín Ladstatter
6M. de Ritis
21G. del Prete87'for Rodrigo Auzmendi
62G. Alassia
Match Stats
Estudiantes L.P.San Lorenzo 65%Ball Possession35%
6Corner Kicks5
5Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots13
2Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal3
5Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots4
13Fouls18
4Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves1
488Total Passes272
406Passes Accurate189
83%Pass Accuracy69%
Team Comparison
Estudiantes L.P.San Lorenzo1663Elo Rating 1610
0.75Attack 0.65
1.52Defense 1.99
0%Hit Rate 42%
13.1Shots per Game 12.5
4.0Shots on Target 4.2
4.9Corners per Game 5.0
2.9Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Estudiantes L.P.- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
San Lorenzo- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 7 meetings, all competitions
Estudiantes L.P.1Wins · 14%Draws343%
San Lorenzo3Wins · 43%
3Wins · 43%1.9Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
14%3+ goals1 of 7
Previous meetings
04/04/2026San LorenzoEstudiantes L.P.10
05/11/2024San LorenzoEstudiantes L.P.11
22/06/2023Estudiantes L.P.San Lorenzo11
07/08/2022San LorenzoEstudiantes L.P.00
26/08/2021Estudiantes L.P.San Lorenzo20
31/03/2021Estudiantes L.P.San Lorenzo02
03/10/2018Estudiantes L.P.San Lorenzo13
Recent Form
Estudiantes L.P.3W3D4L
16/10/2026Estudiantes L.P.
FlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
Gimnasia M.
PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.
LanusEstudiantes L.P.
CorinthiansEstudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.Corinthians
Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo00
D10/10/2026
Central Cordoba de SantiagoEstudiantes L.P.
06/10/2026Central Cordoba de SantiagoEstudiantes L.P.22
DEstudiantes L.P.Gimnasia M.30
W02/10/2026PlatenseEstudiantes L.P.10
L26/09/2026Estudiantes L.P.
Rosario Central
22/09/2026Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central13
LLanusEstudiantes L.P.21
L17/09/2026CorinthiansEstudiantes L.P.01
W12/09/2026Estudiantes L.P.Platense21
W10/09/2026Estudiantes L.P.Corinthians11
D06/09/2026Velez SarsfieldEstudiantes L.P.10
LSan Lorenzo3W2D5L
11/10/2026San Lorenzo
Deportivo Riestra
Defensa Y JusticiaSan Lorenzo
IndependienteSan LorenzoSan Lorenzo
Talleres Cordoba
Instituto CordobaSan Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio CuartoSan LorenzoSan Lorenzo
Union Santa FeSan Lorenzo
HuracanCentral Cordoba de SantiagoSan Lorenzo
San LorenzoDeportivo Riestra10
W03/10/2026Defensa Y JusticiaSan Lorenzo30
L20/09/2026San Lorenzo
Boca Juniors
14/09/2026San LorenzoBoca Juniors02
LIndependienteSan Lorenzo11
D06/09/2026San LorenzoTalleres Cordoba10
W01/09/2026Instituto CordobaSan Lorenzo10
L22/08/2026Estudiantes de Rio CuartoSan Lorenzo00
D15/08/2026San LorenzoUnion Santa Fe10
W09/08/2026San LorenzoHuracan02
L04/08/2026Central Cordoba de SantiagoSan Lorenzo10
LReferee Profile
6.16Cards per match
5.89Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
6.16 cards a match, 0.89 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).
Cards come from 63 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 31 | DWWLW |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | +13 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | +6 | 28 | DDWLL |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 24 | LWDWL |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 24 | DLWDL |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 | WDDWD |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 21 | DLLWL |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 | DLWWL |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 | LLLLW |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 | LWDWL |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 | DWLLL |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 | DWDWW |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 | WLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 5:12 | 11 |
Clausura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 24:13 | +11 | 33 | DLWWL |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:14 | +9 | 30 | WWDWW |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 25:15 | +10 | 28 | DDWLL |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | +7 | 28 | LLLLW |
| 5 | Lanus | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18:11 | +7 | 25 | DLWDL |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 22 | DWDWW |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17:16 | +1 | 21 | LWDWL |
| 8 | Independiente | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 20 | LWDWL |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 19 | WDDWD |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 17 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 15 | DWWLW |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:22 | -6 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 12 | WLLLD |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11:25 | -14 | 10 | DWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 15 | 24:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 15 | 23:14 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 15 | 25:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Defensa Y Justicia | 15 | 21:14 | 28 |
| 5 | Lanus | 15 | 18:11 | 25 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 15 | 14:11 | 22 |
| 7 | Gimnasia M. | 15 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 8 | Independiente | 15 | 13:15 | 20 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 9:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Union Santa Fe | 15 | 22:24 | 18 |
| 11 | Platense | 15 | 16:20 | 17 |
| 12 | Estudiantes L.P. | 15 | 20:21 | 15 |
| 13 | Talleres Cordoba | 15 | 16:22 | 12 |
| 14 | Deportivo Riestra | 15 | 10:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 15 | 11:25 | 10 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Profesional Argentina matches
- Boca Juniors vs Talleres Cordoba 17/10/26
- Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre 17/10/26
- Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. 18/10/26
- Racing Club vs Independiente 18/10/26
- Newells Old Boys vs Central Cordoba de Santiago 20/10/26
- Sarmiento Junin vs Barracas Central 20/10/26
- Deportivo Riestra vs Union Santa Fe 20/10/26
- Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin 23/10/26
About the Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Estudiantes L.P. and San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Estudiantes L.P. are 1st and San Lorenzo 7th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Estudiantes L.P. 19-7, San Lorenzo 14-14. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.