Lions vs Peninsula Power Prediction

Lions
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Peninsula Power
Lions Stadium, Brisbane 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
6.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel65%SurpriseMediumGap-7.3%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.72
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+9.8%
Lions Rest
13 days
Peninsula Power Rest
7 days

Lions vs Peninsula Power: the result in context

Lions beat Peninsula Power 1-0 in the Queensland NPL on 12 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Lions had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Peninsula Power.

Lions have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.72
X
16%3.84
2
20%3.77
Double Chance
1X
80%1.19
X2
36%1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.44
No
42%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.38 + 1.05 = 3.43
Over 1.5
88%1.09
Over 2.5
70%1.43
Over 3.5
51%2.12
Under 1.5
12%5.35
Under 2.5
30%2.49
Under 3.5
49%1.63
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

90+3'

Team Comparison

LionsLions
Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power
1681Elo Rating 1552
1.69Attack 1.50
1.55Defense 0.88
58%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+129 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.43 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

LionsLions
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

LionsLions7Wins · 70%
Draws220%
Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power1Wins · 10%
3.4Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Queensland NPL30/08/2026
LionsPeninsula Power
41
Queensland NPL01/08/2026
LionsPeninsula Power
10
Queensland NPL25/04/2026
Peninsula PowerLions
32
Queensland NPL06/09/2025
LionsPeninsula Power
30
Queensland NPL02/08/2025
Peninsula PowerLions
12
Queensland NPL24/05/2025
LionsPeninsula Power
11
Queensland NPL25/05/2024
LionsPeninsula Power
31
Queensland NPL24/02/2024
Peninsula PowerLions
03
Queensland NPL08/07/2023
Peninsula PowerLions
22
Queensland NPL25/03/2023
LionsPeninsula Power
31

Recent Form

LionsLions
9W0D1L
30/08/2026
LionsPeninsula Power
41
W
25/08/2026
LionsNorth Sunshine Eagles
40
W
14/08/2026
Moreton City ExcelsiorLions
02
W
11/08/2026
LionsMelbourne City
20
W
07/08/2026
LionsBrisbane Roar II
42
W
01/08/2026
LionsPeninsula Power
10
W
21/07/2026
LionsPerth Glory
4020
W
18/07/2026
Gold Coast UnitedLions
01
W
12/07/2026
LionsEastern Suburbs
10
W
07/07/2026
Gold Coast KnightsLions
21
L
Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power
3W4D3L
05/09/2026
Peninsula PowerMoreton City Excelsior
32
W
30/08/2026
LionsPeninsula Power
41
L
14/08/2026
Peninsula PowerBrisbane City
22
D
08/08/2026
Gold Coast KnightsPeninsula Power
22
D
01/08/2026
LionsPeninsula Power
10
L
18/07/2026
Moreton City ExcelsiorPeninsula Power
22
D
14/07/2026
APIA Leichhardt TigersPeninsula Power
21
L
10/07/2026
Peninsula PowerWDSC Wolves
00
D
04/07/2026
Eastern SuburbsPeninsula Power
13
W
27/06/2026
Peninsula PowerBrisbane Roar II
31
W

League Table

Queensland NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LionsLions22172357:22+3553WWWWW
2Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power22136349:27+2245DDLDD
3Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior22123751:35+1639LWLDW
4Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights22115646:32+1438WDLDL
5Brisbane CityBrisbane City2297647:48-134DWLWD
6WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves2296736:40-433LDWWD
7Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs22921134:35-129LDLLL
8OlympicOlympic22821239:43-426LLWWL
9Magic UnitedMagic United22711433:59-2622WWLWL
10Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers22631334:52-1821WLWLL
11Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United22621426:39-1320WLWDL
12Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II22511632:52-2016LLWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1LionsLions2257:2253
2Peninsula PowerPeninsula Power2249:2745
3Moreton City ExcelsiorMoreton City Excelsior2251:3539
4Gold Coast KnightsGold Coast Knights2246:3238
5Brisbane CityBrisbane City2247:4834
6WDSC WolvesWDSC Wolves2236:4033
7Eastern SuburbsEastern Suburbs2234:3529
8OlympicOlympic2239:4326
9Magic UnitedMagic United2233:5922
10Rochedale RoversRochedale Rovers2234:5221
11Gold Coast UnitedGold Coast United2226:3920
12Brisbane Roar IIBrisbane Roar II2232:5216

About the Lions vs Peninsula Power forecast

As a knockout tie in the Queensland NPL, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lions and Peninsula Power in the Queensland NPL table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Lions are 1st in the Queensland NPL, 8 points ahead of Peninsula Power in 2nd. League goal record so far: Lions 57-22, Peninsula Power 49-27. The full standings are on the Queensland NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.