Norwich vs Watford Prediction
England · Regular Season - 13
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Norwich vs Watford: the result in context
Norwich beat Watford 3-2 in the Championship on 31 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Referee Ben Speedie averages 3.29 cards a game, 0.53 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Norwich
Avg ratingAvg rating
32D. Grimshaw
3J. Stacey
15R. McConville
33J. Córdoba
14B. Chrisene
16J. Wright
26S. Field
11A. Brooks
25P. Maghoma
49A. Musaba
30M. Kvistgaarden
1F. Ravaglia
15K. Diatta
4K. Keben
6M. Pollock
29B. Mlačić
33J. Zemura
39E. Kayembe
5H. Kyprianou
22M. Payero
17I. Bravo
10M. BoaduNorwich Substitutes
Watford Substitutes
Match Stats
NorwichWatford Team Comparison
NorwichWatfordAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Norwich- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Watford- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Norwich5Wins · 50%5Wins · 50%Previous meetings
29/12/2025NorwichWatford06/12/2025WatfordNorwich
12/08/2025WatfordNorwich01/02/2025WatfordNorwich21/09/2024NorwichWatford13/02/2024NorwichWatford28/11/2023WatfordNorwich02/01/2023NorwichWatford15/10/2022WatfordNorwich
21/01/2022WatfordNorwichRecent Form
Norwich
CharltonNorwichNorwich
PortsmouthNorwich
Southampton
SwanseaNorwichNorwich
Bolton
Manchester CityNorwich
MiddlesbroughNorwichNorwich
Birmingham
Sheffield UtdNorwich
Stoke CityNorwichWatford
WolvesWatfordWatfordCharlton
CardiffWatfordWatford
Burnley
Bristol CityWatfordWatfordStoke CityWatford
Preston
West BromWatfordSwanseaWatfordWatford
West HamReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.29 cards a match, 0.53 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.82).
Cards come from 205 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:17 | +13 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | +7 | 26 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:16 | +7 | 24 | WWDWL |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:14 | +5 | 24 | WDWWL |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 28:13 | +15 | 23 | WWDWW |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 23:13 | +10 | 23 | WLWWW |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 23 | WDWLW |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 33:18 | +15 | 22 | LLWWD |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 21:16 | +5 | 20 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 19 | WDWLW |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 19 | DWDWW |
| 12 |  Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 18 | WLDLW |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 18 | LWLWW |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 15 | WWLLL |
| 16 |  Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 | LWDLL |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 14 | LWDWL |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 14 | LLWLD |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11:21 | -10 | 14 | LLLDD |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 11 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 7 | LDLLD |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10:27 | -17 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 30:17 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 20:13 | 26 |
| 3 | Wolves | 13 | 23:16 | 24 |
| 4 | West Brom | 13 | 19:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 28:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 20:16 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 33:18 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 17:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 23:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 19:20 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 23:24 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 14:23 | 15 |
| 17 | Cardiff | 13 | 19:20 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 18:26 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 11:21 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 17:25 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 11:25 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 10:27 | 5 |
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This match
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About the Norwich vs Watford forecast
The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Norwich and Watford in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Norwich are 15th and Watford 21st, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Norwich 23-24, Watford 12-23. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.