West Ham vs Southampton Prediction

West Ham
2-3
Finished
HT 1-3
Southampton
London Stadium, London·Michael Salisbury 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-3.2%
West Ham Rest
7 days
Southampton Rest
7 days

West Ham vs Southampton: result, form and history

Southampton beat West Ham 3-2 in the Championship on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. West Ham tend to win more corners, 8.4 a game to 4.1 for Southampton.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.67
X
22%4.22
2
20%4.50
Double Chance
1X
80%1.18
X2
42%2.19
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.47
No
40%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 0.94 = 2.61
Over 1.5
82%1.13
Over 2.5
61%1.44
Over 3.5
40%2.15
Under 1.5
18%5.50
Under 2.5
39%2.70
Under 3.5
60%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.5 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.25
Over 9.5
53%1.46
Over 10.5
42%1.81
Under 8.5
35%3.44
Under 9.5
47%2.46
Under 10.5
58%1.93
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.73
Over 4.5
41%2.36
Under 3.5
39%2.02
Under 4.5
59%1.55

Match Events

2'Kuryu Matsuki
11'James Bree
18'Manor SolomonFoul
24'Kyle Walker-PetersAssist: Divine Mukasa
34'Lewis Dobbin
45'Felipe Morato INOllie Scarles out
51'Caspar JanderFoul
63'Manor Solomon INTomáš Souček out
63'Divine Mukasa INPablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus out
64'Léo Scienza INSamuel Edozie out
73'Kuryu Matsuki INWelington out
74'Kyle Walker-Peters INEdvin Austbö out
74'Mohamadou Kante INJoel Piroe out
78'Lewis DobbinFoul
89'Lewis Dobbin INDivin Mubama out
90+3'Tomáš SoučekAssist: Taty Castellanos

Lineups

West Ham
4-4-2Coach: Nuno Espírito Santo
Southampton
4-2-3-1Coach: Tonda Eckert
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.65
M. Hermansen6.41M. Hermansen
K. Walker-Peters6.92K. Walker-Peters
K. Mavropanos7.015K. Mavropanos
M. Kilman7.03M. Kilman
Morato5.95Morato
J. Bowen7.220J. Bowen
D. Mukasa7.614D. Mukasa
A. Engels6.67A. Engels
M. Solomon6.410M. Solomon
V. Castellanos7.611V. Castellanos
M. Kanté6.117M. Kanté
Daniel Peretz8.61D. Peretz
J. Bree7.114J. Bree
J. Stephens6.55J. Stephens
K. Schlotterbeck6.613K. Schlotterbeck
R. Manning6.03R. Manning
J. Ward-Prowse6.330J. Ward-Prowse
C. Jander6.38C. Jander
K. Matsuki7.127K. Matsuki
F. Azaz6.110F. Azaz
Léo Scienza6.27L. Scienza
L. Dobbin7.911L. Dobbin

West Ham Substitutes

35E. Austbö74'for Kyle Walker-Peters6.3
58A. Golambeckis
63Ezra Mayers
61L. Orford
23A. Areola
19Pablo63'for Divine Mukasa6.8
9J. Piroe74'for Mohamadou Kante6.2
30O. Scarles45'for Felipe Morato6.2
28T. Souček63'for Manor Solomon90+3'6.8

Southampton Substitutes

6Z. Abbott
26Cameron Bragg
23S. Edozie64'for Léo Scienza6.0
18T. Fellows
25G. Long
28D. Mubama89'for Lewis Dobbin6.5
2M. Roerslev
34Welington73'for Kuryu Matsuki6.1
15N. Wood-Gordon

Match Stats

West HamSouthampton
56%Ball Possession44%
14Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards2
28Total Shots15
11Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal4
15Shots Inside Box11
13Shots Outside Box4
11Blocked Shots4
16Fouls7
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves11
459Total Passes376
391Passes Accurate301
6Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

West HamWest Ham
SouthamptonSouthampton
1802Elo Rating 1794
2.38Attack 1.31
1.74Defense 2.18
42%Hit Rate 63%
19.9Shots per Game 14.1
7.9Shots on Target 4.6
8.4Corners per Game 4.1
2.2Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

West HamWest Ham
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SouthamptonSouthampton
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

West HamWest Ham4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
SouthamptonSouthampton2Wins · 20%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

League Cup25/08/2026
SouthamptonWest Ham
14
Premier League19/04/2025
West HamSouthampton
11
Premier League26/12/2024
SouthamptonWest Ham
01
Premier League02/04/2023
West HamSouthampton
10
Premier League16/10/2022
SouthamptonWest Ham
11
FA Cup02/03/2022
SouthamptonWest Ham
31
Premier League26/12/2021
West HamSouthampton
23
Premier League11/09/2021
SouthamptonWest Ham
00
Premier League23/05/2021
West HamSouthampton
30
Premier League29/12/2020
SouthamptonWest Ham
00

Referee Profile

Michael Salisbury153 matches

3.43Cards per match
3.28Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
22.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Michael Salisbury3.43
Other referees3.78

3.43 cards a match, 0.35 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 150 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1274127:17+1025WDWWD
2BirminghamBirmingham1365223:13+1023WLWWW
3Stoke CityStoke City1372420:16+423WDWLW
4SwanseaSwansea1272316:13+323LLWWW
5West HamWest Ham1264232:15+1722LWWDD
6WolvesWolves1263320:16+421WDWLL
7West BromWest Brom1263316:13+321DWWLL
8SouthamptonSouthampton1273224:12+1220WDWWL
9QPRQPR1255220:12+820WLWDD
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1354417:15+219WDWLW
11BlackburnBlackburn1253419:16+318WLWWD
12PortsmouthPortsmouth1253416:15+118WDWWL
13NorwichNorwich1350823:24-115WWLLL
14MillwallMillwall1243519:20-115LDLWD
15Bristol CityBristol City1243512:15-315DLLDW
16LincolnLincoln1343614:23-915LWDLL
17CardiffCardiff1235419:17+214WDWLW
18WrexhamWrexham1335515:19-414LLWLD
19BoltonBolton1242616:23-714LDWLW
20CharltonCharlton1235411:18-714LLDDL
21WatfordWatford1332812:23-1111LLWLL
22BurnleyBurnley1215617:25-88LLDWD
23DerbyDerby1214710:21-117DLLDD
24PrestonPreston13121010:27-175LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1227:1725
2BirminghamBirmingham1323:1323
3Stoke CityStoke City1320:1623
4SwanseaSwansea1216:1323
5West HamWest Ham1232:1522
6WolvesWolves1220:1621
7West BromWest Brom1216:1321
8SouthamptonSouthampton1224:1220
9QPRQPR1220:1220
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1317:1519
11BlackburnBlackburn1219:1618
12PortsmouthPortsmouth1216:1518
13NorwichNorwich1323:2415
14MillwallMillwall1219:2015
15Bristol CityBristol City1212:1515
16LincolnLincoln1314:2315
17CardiffCardiff1219:1714
18WrexhamWrexham1315:1914
19BoltonBolton1216:2314
20CharltonCharlton1211:1814
21WatfordWatford1312:2311
22BurnleyBurnley1217:258
23DerbyDerby1210:217
24PrestonPreston1310:275
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About the West Ham vs Southampton forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

West Ham and Southampton in the Championship table

In the Championship table, West Ham are 5th and Southampton 8th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: West Ham 32-15, Southampton 24-12. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.