Oldham vs Cheltenham Prediction

Oldham
4-1
Finished
HT 3-1
Cheltenham
Boundary Park, Oldham 17/10/2026
OldhamOldham
4-1
Finished
CheltenhamCheltenham

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseHighGap-6.5%
Oldham Rest
3 days
Cheltenham Rest
3 days

Oldham vs Cheltenham: result, form and history

Oldham beat Cheltenham 4-1 in the League Two on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Oldham have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.70
X
26%3.83
2
22%4.38
Double Chance
1X
78%1.19
X2
48%2.04
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.72
No
47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.51 + 1 = 2.51
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
52%1.77
Over 3.5
30%2.88
Under 1.5
25%3.80
Under 2.5
48%2.00
Under 3.5
70%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.1 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.47
Over 9.5
50%1.81
Over 10.5
38%2.27
Under 8.5
38%2.44
Under 9.5
50%1.88
Under 10.5
62%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
38%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
62%-

Match Events

18'Shaun McWilliamsFoul
19'Calum KavanaghAssist: Favour fawunmi
24'Charlie McCannFoul
25'Jamie RobsonAssist: Favour fawunmi
41'Favour fawunmiAssist: Calum Kavanagh
45+1'Freddie willcox
60'Shaun McWilliams INK. Otchere out
70'Kane drummond INMike·Fondop-Talum out
75'George Miller INJake Bickerstaff out
76'Favour fawunmi INOliver Hammond out
81'Jamie RobsonAssist: Oliver Hammond
83'Tom Pett INKai Payne out
88'Jake Evans INFavour onukwuli out

Lineups

Oldham
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Mellon
Cheltenham
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Cotterill
Avg rating7.00
Avg rating6.14
M. Hudson6.71M. Hudson
W. Sutton6.016W. Sutton
D. Daniels6.45D. Daniels
E. Monthe6.66E. Monthe
J. Robson8.03J. Robson
O. Norburn7.28O. Norburn
K. Appiah-Forson6.57K. Appiah-Forson
K. Drummond6.215K. Drummond
T. Pett7.24T. Pett
F. Fawunmi9.317F. Fawunmi
C. Kavanagh8.610C. Kavanagh
W. Stanway5.723W. Stanway
S. McWilliams4.917S. McWilliams
J. Wilson6.46J. Wilson
P. Sweeney6.325P. Sweeney
G. Nurse5.621G. Nurse
C. McCann6.58C. McCann
F. Willcox7.133F. Willcox
J. Evans5.919J. Evans
G. Miller6.210G. Miller
J. Shipley5.826J. Shipley
A. Weimann6.718A. Weimann

Oldham Substitutes

9M. Fondop-Talum70'for Kane drummond6.7
27O. Hammond76'for Favour fawunmi6.4
21J. Hawkes
26Kai Payne83'for Tom Pett6.3
24L. Temple
22Wilson Wilson
2G. Scott-Morriss

Cheltenham Substitutes

20Favour Onukwuli88'for Jake Evans6.3
31M. Diallo
11J. Bickerstaff75'for George Miller6.2
5R. Cundy
38Jack Robinson
9K. Otchere60'for Shaun McWilliams6.4
36Archie Philip Hill

Match Stats

OldhamCheltenham
47%Ball Possession53%
4Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal4
9Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box5
8Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots1
6Fouls11
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
460Total Passes510
355Passes Accurate410
9Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

OldhamOldham
CheltenhamCheltenham
1528Elo Rating 1501
1.71Attack 1.71
1.52Defense 1.15
36%Hit Rate 50%
14.0Shots per Game 8.9
4.2Shots on Target 3.0
3.8Corners per Game 4.3
1.7Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk60%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

OldhamOldham
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CheltenhamCheltenham
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

OldhamOldham3Wins · 75%
Draws00%
CheltenhamCheltenham1Wins · 25%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

League Two17/01/2026
OldhamCheltenham
21
League Two20/09/2025
CheltenhamOldham
03
League Two26/01/2021
CheltenhamOldham
20
League Two03/11/2020
OldhamCheltenham
21

Recent Form

OldhamOldham
3W2D5L
13/10/2026
OldhamLeeds United U21
42
W
10/10/2026
OldhamAccrington ST
00
D
26/09/2026
OldhamSalford City
14
L
22/09/2026
OldhamFleetwood Town
10
W
19/09/2026
RochdaleOldham
20
L
12/09/2026
OldhamChesterfield
12
L
05/09/2026
TranmereOldham
20
L
01/09/2026
Fleetwood TownOldham
11
D
29/08/2026
OldhamSwindon Town
30
W
22/08/2026
ColchesterOldham
21
L
CheltenhamCheltenham
5W3D2L
13/10/2026
CheltenhamTottenham Hotspur U21
7262
W
10/10/2026
CheltenhamSalford City
02
L
03/10/2026
Accrington STCheltenham
20
L
26/09/2026
CheltenhamChesterfield
21
W
22/09/2026
CheltenhamExeter City
4232
W
19/09/2026
ColchesterCheltenham
11
D
12/09/2026
Crawley TownCheltenham
13
W
05/09/2026
CheltenhamGrimsby
22
D
01/09/2026
CheltenhamYork
32
W
29/08/2026
BarnetCheltenham
22
D

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Salford CitySalford City1391323:14+928WWWWW
2BarnetBarnet1274127:17+1025WDLWW
3CheltenhamCheltenham1363422:22021WWLLL
4CreweCrewe1356216:16021LLWWW
5YorkYork1355322:16+620LWDDD
6WalsallWalsall1247118:11+719LWDDD
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1354423:17+619WDLDW
8Exeter CityExeter City1354410:7+319WWDWW
9Accrington STAccrington ST1346322:16+618WDWDW
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1353516:20-418DWWLW
11GrimsbyGrimsby1345419:16+317WDLLL
12GillinghamGillingham1345418:18017LDLWD
13TranmereTranmere1337316:16016DWLDL
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1344513:16-316DWDLL
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1351716:20-416DLLLL
16Newport CountyNewport County1336416:16015LDDWD
17RochdaleRochdale1343615:22-715LDLDW
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1335515:17-214LLWDL
19NorthamptonNorthampton113448:8013WLWDL
20OldhamOldham1233614:18-412DLWDL
21ColchesterColchester1226411:16-512LDDLD
22RotherhamRotherham1326517:23-612DDLLL
23Port ValePort Vale113356:12-612LDWWL
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1113712:21-96DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Salford CitySalford City1323:1428
2BarnetBarnet1227:1725
3CheltenhamCheltenham1322:2221
4CreweCrewe1316:1621
5YorkYork1322:1620
6WalsallWalsall1218:1119
7ChesterfieldChesterfield1323:1719
8Exeter CityExeter City1310:719
9Accrington STAccrington ST1322:1618
10ShrewsburyShrewsbury1316:2018
11GrimsbyGrimsby1319:1617
12GillinghamGillingham1318:1817
13TranmereTranmere1316:1616
14Swindon TownSwindon Town1313:1616
15Bristol RoversBristol Rovers1316:2016
16Newport CountyNewport County1316:1615
17RochdaleRochdale1315:2215
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town1315:1714
19NorthamptonNorthampton118:813
20OldhamOldham1214:1812
21ColchesterColchester1211:1612
22RotherhamRotherham1317:2312
23Port ValePort Vale116:1212
24Crawley TownCrawley Town1112:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Oldham vs Cheltenham forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Oldham and Cheltenham in the League Two table

In the League Two table, Cheltenham are 3rd and Oldham 20th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Oldham 14-18, Cheltenham 22-22. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cheltenham have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.