Once Caldas vs Llaneros Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 14
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalNEUTRALModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-6.8%
Once Caldas Rest
5 days
Llaneros Rest
4 days
Once Caldas vs Llaneros: the result in context
Once Caldas beat Llaneros 1-0 in the Primera A on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
159%1.53
X24%3.94
217%5.99
Double Chance
1X83%1.11
X241%2.39
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.97
No50%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.62 + 0.89 = 2.51
Over 1.574%1.28
Over 2.550%1.90
Over 3.529%3.30
Under 1.526%3.40
Under 2.550%1.83
Under 3.571%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.1 = 10.2
Over 8.565%1.39
Over 9.554%1.73
Over 10.544%2.13
Under 8.535%2.65
Under 9.546%2.01
Under 10.556%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.8 = 5.4
Over 3.579%-
Over 4.563%-
Under 3.521%-
Under 4.537%-
Match Events
33'Jefry ZapataFoul
35'Juan CastillaFoul
45'Jimmy Medranda INLuis Miranda out
51'Juan CuestaFoul
55'Carlos CortésFoul
61'Penalty confirmedJhon Vasquez
65'Carlos Cortés(Penalty missed)
68'Jorge CardonaAssist: Daniel Londono
72'Carlos Cortés INYorleys Mena out
73'Francisco MezaFoul
75'Jhon VasquezAbusive Language
80'Penalty cancelledJefry Zapata
85'Juan Ramirez INJoel Jesús Contreras Torres out
88'Felipe Gomez INEdwin Torres out
88'Michael Barrios INHelieyker Guzman out
90+1'Frank Castaneda INMarlon Sierra out
90+1'Juan Castilla INNeider Ospina out
90+5'Andrés Roa INTomas García out
90+8'Jader Quinones INMateo Zuleta García out
Lineups
Once CaldasLlaneros
4-1-4-1Coach: J. GarcíaAvg ratingAvg rating
99J. Parra
22J. Cuesta
2J. Cardona
30D. Londoño
33J. Patiño
5J. Nieto
42J. Quiñónes
7M. Barrios
20A. Roa
9P. Gómez
14J. Zapata
22R. Romaña
20B. Churi
2H. Mena
21F. Meza
94J. Medranda
13J. Castilla
95J. Vásquez
8J. RamÃrez
33K. Osorio
32F. Castañeda
9C. CortésOnce Caldas Substitutes
12J. Camargo
36Rafael Andres Acuña Gonzalez
31Jorman Beltran
16J. Castaño
19T. García90+5'for Andrés Roa
21H. Guzman88'for Michael Barrios
18J. Riquett
29E. Torres88'for Felipe Gomez
28M. Zuleta90+8'for Jader Quinones
Llaneros Substitutes
70J. Contreras85'for Juan Ramirez
12J. Loaiza
17Y. Mena72'for Carlos Cortés
7L. Miranda45'for Jimmy Medranda
23A. Moralez
10N. Ospina90+1'for Juan Castilla
6Marlon Ricardo Sierra Zamora90+1'for Frank Castaneda
Match Stats
Once CaldasLlaneros 60%Ball Possession40%
5Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
15Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots1
14Fouls11
3Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves3
460Total Passes295
409Passes Accurate242
10Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
Once CaldasLlaneros1611Elo Rating 1469
1.17Attack 0.36
2.58Defense 1.24
58%Hit Rate 19%
19.9Shots per Game 12.1
7.1Shots on Target 4.7
6.7Corners per Game 6.5
2.9Cards per Game 5.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+141 Elo
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Once Caldas- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Llaneros- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Once Caldas1Wins · 34%Draws133%
Llaneros1Wins · 33%
1Wins · 33%1.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3
Previous meetings
30/03/2026LlanerosOnce Caldas11
19/10/2025LlanerosOnce Caldas20
28/03/2025Once CaldasLlaneros10
Recent Form
Once Caldas3W3D4L
04/10/2026
Internacional de BogotaOnce Caldas
26/09/2026Internacional de BogotaOnce Caldas11
DOnce Caldas
Bucaramanga13
L20/09/2026
Deportivo PastoOnce Caldas10
L17/09/2026Once Caldas
Deportes Tolima
14/09/2026Once CaldasDeportes Tolima10
WOnce Caldas
Deportivo Cali12
L10/09/2026Once Caldas
Alianza Valledupar10
W05/09/2026
ChicoOnce Caldas20
L02/09/2026
Fortaleza FCOnce Caldas12
W24/08/2026
JuniorOnce Caldas11
D10/08/2026
JaguaresOnce Caldas11
DLlaneros3W1D6L
05/10/2026Llaneros
America de Cali
27/09/2026LlanerosAmerica de Cali12
L
CucutaLlaneros21
L21/09/2026Llaneros
Atletico Nacional20
W12/09/2026Internacional de BogotaLlaneros32
L08/09/2026LlanerosDeportes Tolima
LlanerosDeportes Tolima12
L03/09/2026
QuindioLlaneros
QuindioLlaneros3141
W30/08/2026
Independiente MedellinLlaneros
28/08/2026Independiente MedellinLlaneros21
LLlaneros
Millonarios02
L23/08/2026Deportivo PastoLlaneros01
W19/08/2026
Águilas DoradasLlaneros11
DReferee Profile
5.99Cards per match
5.59Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.99 cards a match, 0.41 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.58).
Cards come from 200 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | WLWWL |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | WDLWW |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | WLWLD |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | WDDDL |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LDWWD |
| 7 |  Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | DDLWW |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | LWDLL |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | DWWLD |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WLDWL |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | LWLWD |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | WLLLL |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | WDDLL |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | LWDLW |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | WLWLD |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | WDWDD |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 32:13 | +19 | 35 | WWDWW |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 34 | WLWLD |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 24:10 | +14 | 30 | DWWLD |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:16 | +9 | 28 | WLLLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 28 | DDLWW |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | +10 | 26 | DLDWW |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 24 | WDDDL |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 23:24 | -1 | 23 | WLDWL |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | LWLWD |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 13 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 16:27 | -11 | 18 | LWDLW |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 16:21 | -5 | 17 | DWDDD |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 17 | DLLLD |
| 16 | Junior | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 | WLWWL |
| 17 | Chico | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13:26 | -13 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 16 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 12 | WDDLL |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11:24 | -13 | 12 | WDLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 16 | 32:13 | 35 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 16 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 16 | 24:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 25:16 | 28 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 16 | 23:17 | 28 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 16 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 7 | Once Caldas | 17 | 21:18 | 24 |
| 8 | Independiente Medellin | 16 | 23:24 | 23 |
| 9 | Águilas Doradas | 16 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 10 | Cucuta | 16 | 18:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Internacional de Bogota | 17 | 21:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Alianza Valledupar | 16 | 16:27 | 18 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 16 | 16:21 | 17 |
| 15 | Deportivo Pereira | 16 | 12:19 | 17 |
| 16 | Junior | 16 | 21:24 | 16 |
| 17 | Chico | 16 | 13:26 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares | 16 | 17:29 | 13 |
| 19 | Fortaleza FC | 16 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pasto | 16 | 11:24 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Bucaramanga vs Junior 05/10/26
- Independiente Medellin vs Santa Fe 06/10/26
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima 09/10/26
- Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas 10/10/26
- Junior vs Internacional de Bogota 11/10/26
- Jaguares vs Deportes Tolima 11/10/26
- Chico vs Cucuta 12/10/26
- America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin 12/10/26
About the Once Caldas vs Llaneros forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Once Caldas and Llaneros in the Primera A table
In the Primera A table, Once Caldas are 5th and Llaneros 14th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Once Caldas 31-22, Llaneros 17-20. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.