Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets Prediction

Perth Glory
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Newcastle Jets
HBF Park, Perth·Sam Kelly, Australia 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.47
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Perth Glory Rest
6 days
Newcastle Jets Rest
4 days

Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets: result, form and history

Perth Glory beat Newcastle Jets 2-1 in the A-League on 7 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Perth Glory had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Newcastle Jets.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.8 goals, and both sides scored in 9 of them. Referee Sam Kelly averages 4.17 cards a game, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.42
X
26%3.84
2
33%2.60
Double Chance
1X
67%1.46
X2
59%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.41
No
36%2.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.26 = 2.90
Over 1.5
82%1.13
Over 2.5
62%1.47
Over 3.5
41%2.21
Under 1.5
18%5.50
Under 2.5
38%2.62
Under 3.5
59%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.9 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.41
Over 9.5
51%1.70
Over 10.5
39%2.12
Under 8.5
38%2.65
Under 9.5
49%2.02
Under 10.5
61%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.1 = 3.8
Over 3.5
52%1.69
Over 4.5
33%2.17
Under 3.5
48%2.10
Under 4.5
67%1.64

Match Events

5'T. KuzambaFoul
7'D. WilmeringFoul
39'J. KucharskiAssist: S. Despotovski
46'X. Bertoncello INZ. Clough out
46'A. Badolato INZ. Schreiber out
48'J. KucharskiAssist: S. Sutton
57'J. Kucharski INS. Kukucka out
62'S. Despotovski ING. De Abreu out
62'S. Colakovski INM. Ellis out
63'P. Wood INJ. Recchia out
63'J. Lolley INW. Dobson out
63'A. Grant INJ. Bertolissio out
82'W. Freney INJ. O'Shea out
82'P. Jacobsz INA. Lebib out
88'G. De AbreuFoul
90+2'N. VergosAssist: D. Wilmering

Lineups

Perth Glory
4-4-2
Newcastle Jets
4-1-3-2
Avg rating7.02
Avg rating6.58
Daniel Solsky7.729D. Solsky
Tadiwanashe Kuzamba6.930T. Kuzamba
Cher Deng6.918C. Deng
Lachlan Jackson7.35L. Jackson
Sam Sutton6.93S. Sutton
Jaiden Kucharski9.59J. Kucharski
Lucas Scicluna6.716L. Scicluna
William Freney7.027W. Freney
Stefan ColakovskiC6.27S. Colakovski
Pieter Jacobsz6.917P. Jacobsz
Sebastian Despotovski6.525S. Despotovski
James Nicholas Delianov6.31J. Nicholas Delianov
Thomas Kevin Aquilina6.339T. Kevin Aquilina
Joe Shaughnessy7.55J. Shaughnessy
Alex Grant6.62A. Grant
Daniel Wilmering6.323D. Wilmering
Max BurgessC7.214M. Burgess
Joe Lolley7.211J. Lolley
Alexander Badolato5.919A. Badolato
Xavier Bertoncello6.943X. Bertoncello
Nikolaos Vergos6.59N. Vergos
Patrick Wood6.58P. Wood

Perth Glory Substitutes

11Sebastian Kukucka57'for J. Kucharski6.6
39Giovanni De Abreu62'for S. Despotovski88'6.7
21Matthew Ellis62'for S. Colakovski6.5
24Andriano Lebib82'for P. Jacobsz
8Jay O'Shea82'for W. Freney
1Matt Sutton
44Riley Foxe

Newcastle Jets Substitutes

6Zane Schreiber46'for A. Badolato6.6
10Zach Clough46'for X. Bertoncello6.2
22Joel Bertolissio63'for A. Grant6.9
27Julian Recchia63'for P. Wood6.2
28Will Dobson63'for J. Lolley6.2
40Jordan Baylis
17Ethan Debono

Match Stats

Perth GloryNewcastle Jets
28%Ball Possession72%
5Corner Kicks6
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots17
3Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box14
7Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots5
15Fouls5
2Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves1
259Total Passes678
184Passes Accurate586
71%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Perth GloryPerth Glory
Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
1506Elo Rating 1495
1.78Attack 1.38
2.01Defense 0.00
41%Hit Rate 0%
10.6Shots per Game 12.4
5.3Shots on Target 3.5
2.6Corners per Game 6.5
1.2Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.91 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Perth GloryPerth Glory
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Perth GloryPerth Glory1Wins · 10%
Draws660%
Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets3Wins · 30%
3.8Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
100%3+ goals10 of 10

Previous meetings

A-League13/02/2026
Perth GloryNewcastle Jets
13
A-League23/11/2025
Newcastle JetsPerth Glory
12
A-League25/01/2025
Newcastle JetsPerth Glory
22
A-League14/12/2024
Perth GloryNewcastle Jets
04
A-League09/03/2024
Perth GloryNewcastle Jets
22
A-League16/12/2023
Newcastle JetsPerth Glory
22
A-League22/10/2023
Perth GloryNewcastle Jets
22
A-League18/03/2023
Newcastle JetsPerth Glory
22
A-League04/02/2023
Perth GloryNewcastle Jets
22
A-League15/10/2022
Newcastle JetsPerth Glory
21

Recent Form

Perth GloryPerth Glory
4W2D4L
01/11/2026
Perth GloryAdelaide United
40
W
23/10/2026
Brisbane RoarPerth Glory
21
L
17/10/2026
MacarthurPerth Glory
21
L
03/10/2026
Perth GloryAdelaide United
13
L
27/09/2026
Perth GloryAdelaide United
20
W
21/07/2026
LionsPerth Glory
4020
L
25/04/2026
Perth GloryBrisbane Roar
21
W
18/04/2026
SydneyPerth Glory
00
D
12/04/2026
Perth GloryMacarthur
31
W
04/04/2026
Central Coast MarinersPerth Glory
22
D
Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets
0W3D7L
03/11/2026
Newcastle JetsSHANGHAI SIPG
24
L
31/10/2026
Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenix
03
L
27/10/2026
Kyoto SangaNewcastle Jets
52
L
24/10/2026
Newcastle JetsMacarthur
11
D
17/10/2026
Central Coast MarinersNewcastle Jets
22
D
13/10/2026
Newcastle JetsGamba Osaka
13
L
15/09/2026
KashimaNewcastle Jets
71
L
21/07/2026
Preston LionsNewcastle Jets
32
L
16/05/2026
Newcastle JetsSydney
2141
L
09/05/2026
SydneyNewcastle Jets
11
D

Referee Profile

Sam Kelly51 matches

4.17Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
19.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sam Kelly4.17
Other referees3.63

4.17 cards a match, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.63).

Cards come from 12 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

A-League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix43107:1+610DWWW
2SydneySydney42117:4+37WLWD
3Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar32105:3+27WDW
4Melbourne CityMelbourne City42116:607WWDL
5Perth GloryPerth Glory42028:5+36WWLL
6Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney Wanderers41216:4+25LWWD
7MacarthurMacarthur41214:405LLDW
8AucklandAuckland41216:7-15DDLW
9Melbourne VictoryMelbourne Victory40315:6-13DDDL
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets40224:8-42LLDD
11Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners40224:9-52LDLD
12Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United30123:8-51DLL
Promotion

About the Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Perth Glory and Newcastle Jets in the A-League table

In the A-League table, Perth Glory are 5th and Newcastle Jets 10th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Perth Glory 8-5, Newcastle Jets 4-8. The full standings are on the A-League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.