Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction

Allianz Stadium, Sydney·Lachlan Keevers, Australia 06/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.53
SignalSOLIDModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+0.5%
Sydney Rest
6 days
Central Coast Mariners Rest
5 days

Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners: the result in context

Sydney beat Central Coast Mariners 4-1 in the A-League on 6 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Sydney had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Central Coast Mariners.

Sydney have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.53
X
22%4.33
2
16%5.88
Double Chance
1X
84%1.13
X2
38%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.70
No
44%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1.2 = 2.88
Over 1.5
79%1.18
Over 2.5
58%1.64
Over 3.5
36%2.54
Under 1.5
21%4.49
Under 2.5
42%2.27
Under 3.5
64%1.50
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'C. DonnellFoul
31'A. Toure(Penalty)
42'A. ToureAssist: A. Akon
50'A. ToureAssist: O. Sunday
59'A. De Lima INJ. Gordon out
60'B. Brandtman INP. Ortiz out
60'A. Toure INT. Quintal out
72'W. Kamijo INJ. Lacey out
76'J. LaceyFoul
77'H. Eames INJ. Mantell out
77'A. Auglah INI. Kwon out
83'A. Akon INJ. Overy out
83'O. Sunday ING. Popovic out
83'T. Sekine INM. Macallister out
85'G. PopovicAssist: T. Quintal
89'C. Donnell INA. Bolton out
90+1'O. Lavale(Penalty)

Lineups

Sydney
4-2-3-1
Central Coast Mariners
4-4-2
Avg rating6.98
Avg rating6.48
Harrison Devenish-Meares7.712H. Devenish-Meares
Rhyan GrantC7.223R. Grant
Alexandar Popovic6.541A. Popovic
Jordan Courtney-Perkins7.04J. Courtney-Perkins
Ben Garuccio7.017B. Garuccio
Rhys Youlley6.736R. Youlley
Wataru Kamijo6.38W. Kamijo
Al Hassan Toure9.535A. Hassan Toure
Takahiro Sekine6.314T. Sekine
Akol Akon7.07A. Akon
Oriola Sunday6.99O. Sunday
Andrew Redmayne5.730A. Redmayne
Storm Roux6.615S. Roux
Diesel Herrington6.53D. Herrington
Noah Mccann6.312N. Mccann
Lucas Mauragis6.95L. Mauragis
Arthur De Lima6.222A. De Lima
Chris DonnellC5.98C. Donnell
Haine Eames6.36H. Eames
Ali Auglah6.372A. Auglah
Bailey Brandtman7.637B. Brandtman
Oliver Lavale6.69O. Lavale

Sydney Substitutes

20Tiago Quintal60'for A. Toure6.7
29Joseph Lacey72'for W. Kamijo76'6.2
2James Overy83'for A. Akon
16Gabriel Popovic83'for O. Sunday85'6.7
22Mathias Macallister83'for T. Sekine
1Gus Hoefsloot
5Jacob Farrell

Central Coast Mariners Substitutes

11John-Kymani Gordon59'for A. De Lima7.2
17Presley Ortiz60'for B. Brandtman6.2
45Jesse Mantell77'for H. Eames6.2
52Isaac Kwon77'for A. Auglah6.7
50Jai Ajanovic
41Shumba Mutokoyi
39Alexander Bolton89'for C. Donnell
51Ty Mckibbin

Match Stats

SydneyCentral Coast Mariners
47%Ball Possession53%
4Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots15
6Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal9
8Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots1
15Fouls10
2Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves2
395Total Passes425
297Passes Accurate327
75%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

SydneySydney
Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners
1622Elo Rating 1482
1.70Attack 0.97
1.80Defense 0.83
46%Hit Rate 0%
11.2Shots per Game 11.4
3.7Shots on Target 4.5
3.8Corners per Game 3.3
2.3Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+140 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SydneySydney
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SydneySydney6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners2Wins · 20%
3.1Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

A-League06/12/2025
Central Coast MarinersSydney
12
A-League25/10/2025
SydneyCentral Coast Mariners
20
A-League11/01/2025
SydneyCentral Coast Mariners
41
A-League08/12/2024
Central Coast MarinersSydney
21
A-League18/05/2024
Central Coast MarinersSydney
00
A-League10/05/2024
SydneyCentral Coast Mariners
12
A-League30/03/2024
SydneyCentral Coast Mariners
20
A-League10/02/2024
Central Coast MarinersSydney
13
Australia Cup13/08/2023
SydneyCentral Coast Mariners
10292
A-League04/02/2023
SydneyCentral Coast Mariners
32

Recent Form

SydneySydney
5W1D4L
31/10/2026
Melbourne CitySydney
21
L
25/10/2026
SydneyAdelaide United
21
W
16/10/2026
SydneyWestern Sydney Wanderers
00
D
09/09/2026
SydneyMelbourne Victory
02
L
18/08/2026
SD RaidersSydney
01
W
09/08/2026
Brisbane RoarSydney
24
W
29/07/2026
TottenhamSydney
4121
L
21/07/2026
Bayswater CitySydney
15
W
23/05/2026
AucklandSydney
10
L
16/05/2026
Newcastle JetsSydney
2141
W
Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners
1W3D6L
01/11/2026
Melbourne VictoryCentral Coast Mariners
11
D
25/10/2026
Wellington PhoenixCentral Coast Mariners
20
L
17/10/2026
Central Coast MarinersNewcastle Jets
22
D
12/09/2026
Vanuatu UnitedCentral Coast Mariners
10
L
09/09/2026
Vanuatu UnitedCentral Coast Mariners
32
L
22/07/2026
Sydney UnitedCentral Coast Mariners
111101
L
25/04/2026
Newcastle JetsCentral Coast Mariners
40
L
19/04/2026
AucklandCentral Coast Mariners
01
W
10/04/2026
Central Coast MarinersBrisbane Roar
22
D
07/04/2026
Melbourne CityCentral Coast Mariners
21
L

Referee Profile

Lachlan Keevers97 matches

4.20Cards per match
4.12Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
20.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lachlan Keevers4.20
Other referees4.00

4.20 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.00).

Cards come from 50 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

A-League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Wellington PhoenixWellington Phoenix43107:1+610DWWW
2SydneySydney42117:4+37WLWD
3Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar32105:3+27WDW
4Melbourne CityMelbourne City42116:607WWDL
5Perth GloryPerth Glory42028:5+36WWLL
6Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney Wanderers41216:4+25LWWD
7MacarthurMacarthur41214:405LLDW
8AucklandAuckland41216:7-15DDLW
9Melbourne VictoryMelbourne Victory40315:6-13DDDL
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets40224:8-42LLDD
11Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast Mariners40224:9-52LDLD
12Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United30123:8-51DLL
Promotion

About the Sydney vs Central Coast Mariners forecast

The forecasts for this A-League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sydney and Central Coast Mariners in the A-League table

The table shows a wide gap: Sydney are 2nd in the A-League, while Central Coast Mariners sit 11th, 5 points behind. League goal record so far: Sydney 7-4, Central Coast Mariners 4-9. The full standings are on the A-League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.