QPR vs Swansea Prediction

QPR
5-0
Finished
HT 4-0
Swansea
Loftus Road, London·Sam Allison 24/10/2026
QPRQPR
5-0
Finished
SwanseaSwansea

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
QPR Rest
7 days
Swansea Rest
7 days

QPR vs Swansea: the result in context

QPR beat Swansea 5-0 in the Championship on 24 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Swansea had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for QPR.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.42
X
29%3.30
2
33%2.80
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
62%1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.70
No
45%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.36 + 1.19 = 2.55
Over 1.5
73%1.30
Over 2.5
50%1.91
Over 3.5
29%3.25
Under 1.5
27%3.50
Under 2.5
50%1.89
Under 3.5
71%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.47
Over 9.5
48%1.83
Over 10.5
37%2.36
Under 8.5
40%2.42
Under 9.5
52%1.86
Under 10.5
63%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.80
Over 4.5
39%2.57
Under 3.5
42%1.91
Under 4.5
61%1.48

Match Events

2'Richard KoneAssist: Paul Smyth
9'Richard KoneAssist: Kwame Poku
14'Lawrence VigourouxFoul
15'Richard Kone(Penalty)
16'Richard Kone
34'Elijah JustFoul
45'Stephen Welsh INJenson Seelt out
45'Elijah Just INJay Fulton out
45+1'Jimmy DunneAssist: Harvey Vale
54'Marko StamenićFoul
59'Paul SmythFoul
64'Marko Stamenić INGoncalo Franco out
64'Joseph Amankwaah Opoku INEom Ji-Sung out
72'Paul Smyth INRayan Jawad Kolli out
72'Kwame Poku INKaramoko Dembélé out
72'Harvey Vale INKoki Saito out
74'Adam Idah INZan Vipotnik out
80'Boy Kemper INDennis Cirkin out
86'Jimmy DunneAssist: Richard Kone
87'Richard Kone INIsak Alemayehu Mulugeta out

Lineups

QPR
4-1-4-1Coach: Julien Stéphan
Swansea
4-3-3Coach: Vítor Matos
Avg rating7.25
Avg rating5.97
P. Charles7.31P. Charles
K. Adamson7.22K. Adamson
J. Dunne9.03J. Dunne
R. Edwards7.65R. Edwards
B. Kemper7.012B. Kemper
J. Varane6.440J. Varane
K. Poku7.717K. Poku
G. Kamara6.618G. Kamara
H. Vale7.420H. Vale
P. Smyth6.711P. Smyth
R. Kone9.422R. Kone
L. Vigouroux5.622L. Vigouroux
F. Lissah5.526F. Lissah
B. Cabango6.05B. Cabango
S. Welsh5.923S. Welsh
J. Tymon5.714J. Tymon
E. Just5.48E. Just
M. Stamenić6.36M. Stamenić
S. Eustáquio6.246S. Eustáquio
M. Widell5.97M. Widell
A. Idah6.633A. Idah
Joseph Okopu5.730J. Okopu

QPR Substitutes

23I. Alemayehu87'for Richard Kone6.8
19D. Cirkin80'for Boy Kemper7.0
7K. Dembélé72'for Kwame Poku6.8
26Rayan Jawad Kolli72'for Paul Smyth6.6
4L. Morrison
25Justin Patrick Nnamdi Obikwu
14K. Saito72'for Harvey Vale6.7
13C. Ward
33Leon Scarlett

Swansea Substitutes

17Gonçalo Franco64'for Marko Stamenić5.8
4J. Fulton45'for Elijah Just6.3
20Tiago Parente
3J. Seelt45'for Stephen Welsh5.8
31R. Stewart
9Z. Vipotnik74'for Adam Idah6.4
1A. Fisher
10Eom Ji-Sung64'for Joseph Amankwaah Opoku6.4
12J. Monga

Match Stats

QPRSwansea
40%Ball Possession60%
6Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots3
7Fouls16
5Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves0
382Total Passes563
297Passes Accurate478
16Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

QPRQPR
SwanseaSwansea
1647Elo Rating 1673
2.57Attack 0.81
1.67Defense 1.12
46%Hit Rate 50%
13.5Shots per Game 10.8
5.1Shots on Target 3.1
4.3Corners per Game 4.4
2.5Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

QPRQPR
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SwanseaSwansea
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

QPRQPR3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
SwanseaSwansea4Wins · 40%
1.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship21/04/2026
QPRSwansea
12
Championship22/10/2025
SwanseaQPR
01
Championship21/04/2025
QPRSwansea
12
Championship26/12/2024
SwanseaQPR
30
Championship01/04/2024
SwanseaQPR
01
Championship19/09/2023
QPRSwansea
11
Championship21/01/2023
QPRSwansea
11
Championship03/09/2022
SwanseaQPR
10
Championship07/05/2022
SwanseaQPR
01
Championship25/01/2022
QPRSwansea
00

Recent Form

QPRQPR
3W5D2L
17/10/2026
BirminghamQPR
30
L
14/10/2026
QPRDerby
41
W
09/10/2026
West HamQPR
11
D
19/09/2026
QPRPreston
22
D
12/09/2026
West BromQPR
11
D
09/09/2026
CharltonQPR
00
D
05/09/2026
QPRMiddlesbrough
01
L
02/09/2026
QPRCardiff
21
W
29/08/2026
BlackburnQPR
12
W
22/08/2026
QPRBolton
00
D
SwanseaSwansea
6W2D2L
17/10/2026
SwanseaWest Ham
01
L
13/10/2026
MillwallSwansea
01
W
10/10/2026
SwanseaNorwich
21
W
19/09/2026
LincolnSwansea
12
W
12/09/2026
SwanseaBurnley
31
W
08/09/2026
SouthamptonSwansea
31
L
05/09/2026
SwanseaWrexham
00
D
01/09/2026
SwanseaWatford
20
W
29/08/2026
DerbySwansea
03
W
22/08/2026
SwanseaSheffield Utd
00
D

Referee Profile

Sam Allison184 matches

3.79Cards per match
3.69Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sam Allison3.79
Other referees3.78

3.79 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.78).

Cards come from 174 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Championship 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1384130:17+1328WWDWW
2SwanseaSwansea1382320:13+726WLLWW
3WolvesWolves1373323:16+724WWDWL
4West BromWest Brom1373319:14+524WDWWL
5SouthamptonSouthampton1383228:13+1523WWDWW
6BirminghamBirmingham1365223:13+1023WLWWW
7Stoke CityStoke City1372420:16+423WDWLW
8West HamWest Ham1364333:18+1522LLWWD
9QPRQPR1355321:16+520LWLWD
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1354417:15+219WDWLW
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1354416:15+119DWDWW
12MillwallMillwall1353523:21+218WLDLW
13BlackburnBlackburn1353519:20-118LWLWW
14Bristol CityBristol City1353515:17-218WDLLD
15NorwichNorwich1350823:24-115WWLLL
16LincolnLincoln1343614:23-915LWDLL
17CardiffCardiff1335519:20-114LWDWL
18WrexhamWrexham1335515:19-414LLWLD
19BoltonBolton1342718:26-814LLDWL
20CharltonCharlton1335511:21-1014LLLDD
21WatfordWatford1332812:23-1111LLWLL
22BurnleyBurnley1316617:25-89DLLDW
23DerbyDerby1314811:25-147LDLLD
24PrestonPreston13121010:27-175LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough1330:1728
2SwanseaSwansea1320:1326
3WolvesWolves1323:1624
4West BromWest Brom1319:1424
5SouthamptonSouthampton1328:1323
6BirminghamBirmingham1323:1323
7Stoke CityStoke City1320:1623
8West HamWest Ham1333:1822
9QPRQPR1321:1620
10Sheffield UtdSheffield Utd1317:1519
11PortsmouthPortsmouth1316:1519
12MillwallMillwall1323:2118
13BlackburnBlackburn1319:2018
14Bristol CityBristol City1315:1718
15NorwichNorwich1323:2415
16LincolnLincoln1314:2315
17CardiffCardiff1319:2014
18WrexhamWrexham1315:1914
19BoltonBolton1318:2614
20CharltonCharlton1311:2114
21WatfordWatford1312:2311
22BurnleyBurnley1317:259
23DerbyDerby1311:257
24PrestonPreston1310:275
PromotionRelegation

About the QPR vs Swansea forecast

The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

QPR and Swansea in the Championship table

In the Championship table, Swansea are 2nd and QPR 9th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: QPR 21-16, Swansea 20-13. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

QPR have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.