RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction
World · League Stage - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.25
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
RB Leipzig Rest
3 days
PSV Eindhoven Rest
4 days
RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven: result, form and history
RB Leipzig beat PSV Eindhoven 1-0 in the UEFA Champions League on 13 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
153%1.60
X20%4.85
227%4.72
Double Chance
1X73%1.19
X247%2.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes71%1.33
No29%3.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.8 = 3.20
Over 1.586%1.05
Over 2.572%1.25
Over 3.552%1.70
Under 1.514%8.10
Under 2.528%3.65
Under 3.548%2.19
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.8 = 9.2
Over 8.561%1.38
Over 9.543%1.67
Over 10.533%2.11
Under 8.539%2.75
Under 9.557%2.10
Under 10.567%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.4
Over 3.564%1.62
Over 4.544%2.33
Under 3.536%2.20
Under 4.556%1.58
Match Events
16'Penalty confirmedRuben van Bommel
19'Ivan Perišić(Penalty missed)
43'Sergiño DestFoul
61'Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz INTidiam Gomis out
75'Brajan Gruda
76'Brajan Gruda INRocco Reitz out
77'Lutsharel Geertruida INRyan Flamingo out
77'Filip Kostić INYarek Gasiorowski out
81'Original decision changedDavid Raum
81'Antonio NusaFoul
84'Ruben van Bommel INAyoni Santos out
84'Sven Mijnans INMikkel Bro Hansen out
85'Armando ObispoFoul
86'Ridle Baku INNicolas Seiwald out
86'Ezechiel Banzuzi INLukas Klostermann out
Lineups
RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven
4-2-3-1Coach: P. BoszAvg ratingAvg rating
26M. Vandevoordt
17R. Baku
4W. Orbán
23C. Lukeba
22D. Raum
21N. El Aynaoui
6E. Banzuzi
10B. Gruda
28C. Nkunku
7A. Nusa
40Rômulo
32M. Kovář
8S. Dest
2L. Geertruida
4A. Obispo
18F. Kostić
24K. Sano
17M. Júnior
5I. Perišić
20G. Til
7R. van Bommel
21S. MijnansRB Leipzig Substitutes
11J. Bakayoko
3M. Estève
35Max Finkgräfe
27T. Gomis61'for Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz
39B. Henrichs
16L. Klostermann86'for Ezechiel Banzuzi
2A. Koné
30A. MaksimoviÄ
1Ø. Nyland
20R. Reitz76'for Brajan Gruda
13N. Seiwald86'for Ridle Baku
PSV Eindhoven Substitutes
51T. Smolenaars
35A. Santos84'for Ruben van Bommel
1N. Olij
27D. Man
3Yarek Gasiorowski77'for Filip Kostić
6R. Flamingo77'for Lutsharel Geertruida
31N. Fernandez
42S. Cornecion
23M. Hansen84'for Sven Mijnans
37A. Bouhamdi
19E. Bajraktarevic
Match Stats
RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven 43%Ball Possession57%
6Corner Kicks12
1Yellow Cards2
19Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal4
15Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots2
13Fouls12
0Offsides6
5Goalkeeper Saves6
350Total Passes466
289Passes Accurate389
83%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
RB LeipzigPSV Eindhoven1840Elo Rating 1903
2.51Attack 1.11
0.91Defense 1.92
58%Hit Rate 44%
14.3Shots per Game 14.6
6.3Shots on Target 3.6
3.3Corners per Game 5.0
0.8Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.2 goals
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
RB Leipzig- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
PSV Eindhoven- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Recent Form
RB Leipzig5W0D5L
10/10/2026RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayer LeverkusenRB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
ComoRB Leipzig
Werder BremenRB LeipzigRB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
RB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt60
W20/09/2026Bayer LeverkusenRB Leipzig20
L13/09/2026RB LeipzigHamburger SV50
W10/09/2026ComoRB Leipzig41
L05/09/2026Werder BremenRB Leipzig31
L29/08/2026RB LeipzigBorussia Mönchengladbach30
W22/08/2026
Eintracht TrierRB Leipzig
Eintracht TrierRB Leipzig06
W15/08/2026
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig
Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig31
L08/08/2026
LeedsRB Leipzig
LeedsRB Leipzig20
L01/08/2026RB Leipzig
Verl
RB LeipzigVerl40
WPSV Eindhoven6W2D2L
09/10/2026PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
TwentePSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
AjaxPSV Eindhoven
UtrechtPSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
Groningen
ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven
PSV EindhovenHeerenveen20
W20/09/2026TwentePSV Eindhoven32
L13/09/2026PSV EindhovenSparta Rotterdam41
W10/09/2026PSV Eindhoven
Shakhtar Donetsk
05/09/2026PSV EindhovenShakhtar Donetsk11
DAjaxPSV Eindhoven13
W30/08/2026UtrechtPSV Eindhoven16
W23/08/2026PSV EindhovenGroningen51
W15/08/2026ExcelsiorPSV Eindhoven12
W08/08/2026PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
PSV EindhovenFortuna Sittard22
D02/08/2026PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
PSV EindhovenAZ Alkmaar04
LReferee Profile
4.17Cards per match
3.97Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.17 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.99).
Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14:5 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12:7 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:4 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | +5 | 7 | DWW |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | +4 | 7 | DWW |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 6 | LWW |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 5 | DDW |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 4 | WLD |
| 16 |  Atletico Madrid | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 | WLD |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 | WLL |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 | WLL |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 | LWL |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 | LLW |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LLW |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 | DLD |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 | DLL |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:13 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Aston Villa | 3 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 3 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 3 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Arsenal | 3 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 | Barcelona | 3 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 | Como | 3 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 | Manchester City | 3 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting CP | 3 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 | Bayern München | 3 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 | AS Roma | 3 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Madrid | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 | Villarreal | 3 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Inter | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 | Manchester United | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 | Napoli | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 | Galatasaray | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 | Lask Linz | 3 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 | Sabah FA | 3 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 | Feyenoord | 3 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 | Lens | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 | AEK Athens FC | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 | Fenerbahçe | 3 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 | Viking | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 | Lille | 3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 | Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Explore more predictions
This match
- RB Leipzig Predictions
- PSV Eindhoven Predictions
- UEFA Champions League Predictions
- UEFA Champions League Standings
- UEFA Champions League Stats 2026
- UEFA Champions League top scorers
- UEFA Champions League Knockout Rounds
- UEFA Champions League Winners and Finals History
- Football Tournaments: Predictions, Brackets and History
More UEFA Champions League matches
About the RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven forecast
This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
RB Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven in the UEFA Champions League table
In the UEFA Champions League table, PSV Eindhoven are 18th and RB Leipzig 30th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: RB Leipzig 3-8, PSV Eindhoven 2-2. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
PSV Eindhoven have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. RB Leipzig and PSV Eindhoven have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.