Lens vs Sporting CP Prediction

UEFA Champions LeagueWorld World · League Stage - 2
Cup
Lens
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Sporting CP
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens·Igor Pajac 13/10/2026
LensLens
0-2
Finished
Sporting CPSporting CP

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.49
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseHighGap+0.1%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.49
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Lens Rest
3 days
Sporting CP Rest
3 days

Lens vs Sporting CP: result, form and history

Sporting CP beat Lens 2-0 in the UEFA Champions League on 13 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.55
X
25%3.73
2
33%2.61
Double Chance
1X
67%1.49
X2
58%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.50
No
40%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.38 = 2.79
Over 1.5
80%1.15
Over 2.5
58%1.58
Over 3.5
37%2.38
Under 1.5
20%4.78
Under 2.5
42%2.40
Under 3.5
63%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
61%1.48
Over 9.5
45%1.85
Over 10.5
33%2.35
Under 8.5
39%2.40
Under 9.5
55%1.92
Under 10.5
67%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.53
Over 4.5
42%2.10
Under 3.5
39%2.44
Under 4.5
58%1.69

Match Events

22'Luis SuárezAssist: Nestory Irankunda
58'Samson Baidoo INRuben Aguilar out
58'Franjo Ivanovic INOdsonne Édouard out
66'Geny Catamo INLuís Guilherme out
68'Saud Abdulhamid INMichał Skóraś out
68'Junior Kadile INMezian Soares Mesloub out
71'Michaël CuisanceFoul
73'João Simões INSilas Andersen out
73'Nestory Irankunda INJesse Derry out
74'Issa DoumbiaAssist: Silas Andersen
80'Amadou Haidara INYassine Titraoui out
81'Florian ThauvinArgument
85'Luis Suárez INFotis Ioannidis out
85'Issa Doumbia INPedro Lima Barros out

Lineups

Lens
3-4-2-1Coach: Yannick Cahuzac
Sporting CP
4-3-3Coach: Rui Borges
Avg rating6.42
Avg rating7.18
R. Risser6.640R. Risser
I. Ganiou6.525I. Ganiou
S. Baidoo6.56S. Baidoo
K. Antonio6.432K. Antonio
Saud Abdulhamid6.223S. Abdulhamid
M. Cuisance6.227M. Cuisance
A. Haidara6.821A. Haidara
M. Udol6.114M. Udol
F. Thauvin7.210F. Thauvin
J. Kadile6.428J. Kadile
F. Ivanović6.729F. Ivanović
Kaique7.730Kaique
Iván Fresneda7.322I. Fresneda
Eduardo Quaresma7.172E. Quaresma
Gonçalo Inácio7.525G. Inácio
M. Araújo7.520M. Araújo
João Simões7.08J. Simões
Sergi Altimira7.25S. Altimira
I. Doumbia8.277I. Doumbia
Geny Catamo6.310G. Catamo
L. Suárez8.297L. Suárez
N. Irankunda7.219N. Irankunda

Lens Substitutes

2R. Aguilar58'for Samson Baidoo6.3
4N. Čelik
11O. Édouard58'for Franjo Ivanovic6.9
16M. Gorgelin
9T. Hazard
31S. Sagnan
22M. Skóraś68'for Saud Abdulhamid6.3
38M. Soares68'for Junior Kadile6.1
7F. Sotoca
8Y. Titraoui80'for Amadou Haidara5.7
20J. Todibo
5A. Bulatović

Sporting CP Substitutes

18M. Zekri
55Ibrahima Ba
13G. Vagiannidis
1Rui Silva
21Pedro Lima85'for Issa Doumbia6.8
9Rafael Ferreira Nel
31Luis Guilherme66'for Geny Catamo6.6
7F. Ioannidis85'for Luis Suárez6.4
58Flávio Gonçalves
73Eduardo Felicíssimo
28J. Derry73'for Nestory Irankunda6.7
4S. Andersen73'for João Simões7.3

Match Stats

LensSporting CP
56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards0
21Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box8
10Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots3
8Fouls12
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves6
544Total Passes433
483Passes Accurate367
89%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

LensLens
Sporting CPSporting CP
1846Elo Rating 1894
1.41Attack 2.05
1.38Defense 1.52
61%Hit Rate 42%
14.9Shots per Game 12.5
5.0Shots on Target 4.0
5.5Corners per Game 4.2
2.3Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LensLens
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
Sporting CPSporting CP
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

LensLens
5W1D4L
09/10/2026
LensLyon
21
W18/09/2026
MonacoLens
21
L13/09/2026
Le MansLens
22
D10/09/2026
Slavia PrahaLens
23
W05/09/2026
LensLorient
01
L29/08/2026
StrasbourgLens
21
L22/08/2026
LensAuxerre
52
W
16/08/2026
LensParis Saint Germain
10
W
08/08/2026
LensSunderland
02
L
01/08/2026
LensVillarreal
31
W
Sporting CPSporting CP
7W3D0L
09/10/2026
SC BragaSporting CP
13
W
19/09/2026
Sporting CPArouca
22
D13/09/2026
FamalicaoSporting CP
11
D09/09/2026
Sporting CPGalatasaray
31
W05/09/2026
Sporting CPNacional
20
W28/08/2026
Rio AveSporting CP
04
W22/08/2026
Sporting CPAlverca
31
W14/08/2026
Sporting CPVitória SC
32
W08/08/2026
EstrelaSporting CP
22
D
31/07/2026
Sporting CPNottingham Forest
41
W

Referee Profile

Igor Pajac148 matches

4.42Cards per match
4.28Yellow cards per match
0.13Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Igor Pajac4.42
Other referees4.53

4.42 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.53).

Cards come from 113 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Champions League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain330014:5+99WWW
2Aston VillaAston Villa330012:3+99WWW
3LiverpoolLiverpool330012:7+59WWW
4Real MadridReal Madrid330010:5+59WWW
5Real BetisReal Betis33007:4+39WWW
6VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart32107:2+57DWW
7ArsenalArsenal32106:2+47DWW
8BarcelonaBarcelona320111:6+56LWW
9ComoComo320110:5+56WLW
10Manchester CityManchester City32019:5+46WLW
11Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV32019:6+36WWL
12Sporting CPSporting CP32017:4+36LWW
13Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund32015:4+16WLW
14Bayern MünchenBayern München312010:5+55DDW
15AS RomaAS Roma31118:5+34WLD
16Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid31114:3+14DWL
17Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk31114:3+14LWD
18PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven31112:204WLD
19VillarrealVillarreal31028:803LWL
20InterInter31025:6-13WLL
21Manchester UnitedManchester United31025:6-13LLW
22NapoliNapoli31025:7-23WLL
23GalatasarayGalatasaray31026:9-33WLL
24Lask LinzLask Linz31026:9-33WLL
25Sabah FASabah FA31023:6-33LWL
26FeyenoordFeyenoord31024:8-43LWL
27LensLens31023:7-43LLW
28Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt31024:9-53LWL
29AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC31023:8-53LLW
30RB LeipzigRB Leipzig31023:8-53LWL
31FenerbahçeFenerbahçe30213:9-62DLD
32Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha30124:7-31DLL
33VikingViking30125:9-41LDL
34FC PortoFC Porto30032:6-40LLL
35LilleLille30034:10-60LLL
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava30031:13-120LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain314:59
2Aston VillaAston Villa312:39
3LiverpoolLiverpool312:79
4Real MadridReal Madrid310:59
5Real BetisReal Betis37:49
6VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart37:27
7ArsenalArsenal36:27
8BarcelonaBarcelona311:66
9ComoComo310:56
10Manchester CityManchester City39:56
11Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV39:66
12Sporting CPSporting CP37:46
13Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund35:46
14Bayern MünchenBayern München310:55
15AS RomaAS Roma38:54
16Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid34:34
17Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk34:34
18PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven32:24
19VillarrealVillarreal38:83
20InterInter35:63
21Manchester UnitedManchester United35:63
22NapoliNapoli35:73
23GalatasarayGalatasaray36:93
24Lask LinzLask Linz36:93
25Sabah FASabah FA33:63
26FeyenoordFeyenoord34:83
27LensLens33:73
28Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt34:93
29AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC33:83
30RB LeipzigRB Leipzig33:83
31FenerbahçeFenerbahçe33:92
32Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha34:71
33VikingViking35:91
34FC PortoFC Porto32:60
35LilleLille34:100
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava31:130

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About the Lens vs Sporting CP forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Lens and Sporting CP in the UEFA Champions League table

In the UEFA Champions League table, Sporting CP are 12th and Lens 27th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Lens 3-7, Sporting CP 7-4. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Lens and Sporting CP have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.