Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK Prediction

Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsberg·Mathias Stofringshaug 01/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.42
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+0.8%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.49
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Rest
3 days
Kristiansund BK Rest
3 days

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK: result, form and history

Kristiansund BK beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 4-2 in the Eliteserien on 1 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Sarpsborg 08 FF had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Kristiansund BK.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Sarpsborg 08 FF tend to win more corners, 11.8 a game to 3.1 for Kristiansund BK.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.49
X
21%4.50
2
16%5.60
Double Chance
1X
83%1.13
X2
37%2.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.51
No
37%2.35
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.16 + 1.18 = 3.34
Over 1.5
86%1.10
Over 2.5
68%1.42
Over 3.5
47%2.09
Under 1.5
14%5.89
Under 2.5
32%2.75
Under 3.5
53%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 4.5 = 11.1
Over 8.5
75%1.17
Over 9.5
65%1.34
Over 10.5
54%1.58
Under 8.5
25%4.08
Under 9.5
35%2.88
Under 10.5
46%2.21
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
47%-
Over 4.5
28%-
Under 3.5
53%-
Under 4.5
72%-

Match Events

3'Marius ElviusAssist: Zymer Bytyqi
6'Zymer BytyqiAssist: Gustav Ørsøe Christensen
12'Frederik FlexTime wasting
31'Gustav Ørsøe ChristensenAssist: Jesper Isaksen
35'Eirik Wichne INVictor Emanuel Halvorsen out
35'Noa Williams INPeter Reinhardsen out
35'Sander Johan Christiansen INCamil Mmaee Nwameben out
49'Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
61'Sondre Sorlie(Penalty)
65'Zymer Bytyqi INAdrian Kurd Rønning out
65'Sander Svendsen INTobias Hammer Svendsen out
67'Bjorn UtvikFoul
74'Syver SkeideFoul
75'Gustav Ørsøe Christensen INHaakon Haugen out
77'Syver Skeide INJulius Mar Juliusson out
79'Bjorn Utvik
80'Jesper Isaksen(Penalty missed)
82'Anders Hiim INAndreas Hansen out
89'Bop Guèye INLjung Maximilian out
90+2'Sondre SorlieFoul
90+6'Haakon HaugenAssist: Adrian Kurd Rønning

Lineups

Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2Coach: E. Sel
Kristiansund BK
5-4-1Coach: A. Skiri
Avg rating6.10
Avg rating6.62
L. Øy5.587L. Øy
E. Wichne5.532E. Wichne
B. Utvik5.84B. Utvik
S. Rosted6.424S. Rosted
A. Hiim6.021A. Hiim
A. Sher6.66A. Sher
S. Christiansen5.98S. Christiansen
O. Skarsem6.377O. Skarsem
N. Williams6.217N. Williams
Bop Gueye6.418B. Gueye
S. Sørli6.610S. Sørli
A. Sæther6.712A. Sæther
M. Elvius7.059M. Elvius
J. Isaksen6.76J. Isaksen
M. Williamsen6.317M. Williamsen
J. Kitolano6.025J. Kitolano
F. Flex6.13F. Flex
G. Christensen8.624G. Christensen
S. Skeide6.014S. Skeide
H. Bruseth5.910H. Bruseth
Z. Bytyqi8.111Z. Bytyqi
S. Svendsen6.57S. Svendsen

Sarpsborg 08 FF Substitutes

5L. Høyland
22V. Halvorsen35'for Eirik Wichne49'6.8
12C. Niyukuri
2M. Lode
51Ljung Maximilian89'replaced by Bop Guèye
7Camil Mmaee Nwameben35'for Sander Johan Christiansen5.4
33A. Nibe82'for Anders Hiim5.9
1J. Pryts
20P. Reinhardsen35'for Noa Williams5.7

Kristiansund BK Substitutes

27A. Rønning65'for Zymer Bytyqi6.8
1M. Lansing
4J. Júlíusson77'for Syver Skeide6.1
8E. Isufi
22H. Haugen75'for Gustav Ørsøe Christensen90+6'6.9
2A. Børset
23T. Svendsen65'for Sander Svendsen5.7

Match Stats

Sarpsborg 08 FFKristiansund BK
71%Ball Possession29%
9Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
20Total Shots9
6Shots on Goal6
12Shots off Goal2
19Shots Inside Box8
1Shots Outside Box1
2Blocked Shots1
13Fouls13
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
552Total Passes237
454Passes Accurate156
13Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
1612Elo Rating 1468
2.21Attack 0.96
1.32Defense 0.30
81%Hit Rate 0%
22.9Shots per Game 15.6
6.2Shots on Target 5.7
11.8Corners per Game 3.1
2.0Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+145 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.34 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2Wins · 22%
Draws333%
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK4Wins · 45%
2.3Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9

Previous meetings

Eliteserien18/07/2026
Kristiansund BKSarpsborg 08 FF
00
Eliteserien25/08/2025
Sarpsborg 08 FFKristiansund BK
01
Eliteserien13/07/2025
Kristiansund BKSarpsborg 08 FF
00
Eliteserien15/09/2024
Sarpsborg 08 FFKristiansund BK
02
Eliteserien02/06/2024
Kristiansund BKSarpsborg 08 FF
31
Eliteserien06/11/2022
Sarpsborg 08 FFKristiansund BK
22
Eliteserien10/04/2022
Kristiansund BKSarpsborg 08 FF
23
Eliteserien24/10/2021
Kristiansund BKSarpsborg 08 FF
13
Eliteserien27/05/2021
Sarpsborg 08 FFKristiansund BK
01

Recent Form

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
5W3D2L
28/10/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga
32
W
25/10/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFAalesund
21
W
18/10/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFRosenborg
03
L
11/10/2026
AalesundSarpsborg 08 FF
24
W
30/09/2026
FolloSarpsborg 08 FF
02
W
18/09/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFKFUM Oslo
13
L
13/09/2026
FredrikstadSarpsborg 08 FF
11
D
06/09/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFValerenga
22
D
30/08/2026
TromsoSarpsborg 08 FF
00
D
22/08/2026
Sparta SarpsborgSarpsborg 08 FF
02
W
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
2W2D6L
28/10/2026
Kristiansund BKAalesund
02
L
25/10/2026
Kristiansund BKKFUM Oslo
22
D
17/10/2026
Kristiansund BKAalesund
14
L
10/10/2026
Bodo/GlimtKristiansund BK
31
L
04/10/2026
MoldeKristiansund BK
30
L
19/09/2026
Kristiansund BKRosenborg
13
L
16/09/2026
BrattvågKristiansund BK
12
W
13/09/2026
VikingKristiansund BK
81
L
06/09/2026
Kristiansund BKTromso
20
W
30/08/2026
Ham-KamKristiansund BK
22
D

Referee Profile

Mathias Stofringshaug98 matches

3.13Cards per match
2.93Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
20.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mathias Stofringshaug3.13
Other referees3.44

3.13 cards a match, 0.31 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.44).

Cards come from 30 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
9KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2443:3440
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
9KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Kristiansund BK forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sarpsborg 08 FF and Kristiansund BK in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Sarpsborg 08 FF are 8th and Kristiansund BK 15th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Sarpsborg 08 FF 32-39, Kristiansund BK 29-51. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sarpsborg 08 FF have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.