Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico Prediction

Primera DivisiónPeru Peru · Clausura - 11
Sport Boys
1-3
Finished
HT 1-0
Alianza Atletico
Miguel Grau Stadium, Callao·Julio Cesar Quiroz 11/10/2026
Sport BoysSport Boys
1-3
Finished
Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-0.8%
Sport Boys Rest
5 days
Alianza Atletico Rest
5 days

Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico: result, form and history

Alianza Atletico beat Sport Boys 3-1 in the Primera División on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.7 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.30
X
27%3.27
2
25%2.96
Double Chance
1X
75%1.33
X2
52%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.72
No
47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.04 = 2.48
Over 1.5
73%1.27
Over 2.5
49%1.92
Over 3.5
28%3.25
Under 1.5
27%3.30
Under 2.5
51%1.81
Under 3.5
72%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.6 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%-
Over 9.5
48%-
Over 10.5
35%-
Under 8.5
44%-
Under 9.5
52%-
Under 10.5
65%-
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.5 = 5.1
Over 3.5
75%-
Over 4.5
57%1.67
Under 3.5
25%-
Under 4.5
43%2.07

Match Events

16'Percy Liza
28'Yuriel CeliFoul
42'Jorge del CastilloFoul
42'Jose LujanDissent
45+2'Hansell RiojasFoul
51'Oslimg MoraArgument
53'Stefano FernándezFoul
55'Carlos ZambranoFoul
59'Jorge del CastilloAssist: Germán Díaz
63'Yuriel Celi INMiguel Trauco out
68'Jorge del CastilloAssist: Cristian Penilla
69'Carlos Alberto DesioAbusive Language
71'Percy LizaFoul
74'Jorge del Castillo INGuillermo Larios out
74'Stefano Fernández INErick Perleche out
79'Jostin Alarcon INRolando Diaz out
82'Cristian Penilla INJuan Jesus Quinones out
86'Erick PerlecheFoul
90'Ariel Muñoz INJesus Mendieta out
90+3'Guillermo LariosAssist: Juan Jesus Quinones

Lineups

Sport Boys
4-2-3-1Coach: C. Desio
Alianza Atletico
4-1-4-1Coach: F. Urciuoli
Avg rating6.31
Avg rating6.82
D. Melián6.022D. Melián
E. Saba5.717E. Saba
C. Zambrano5.83C. Zambrano
H. Riojas5.926H. Riojas
M. Llontop6.613M. Llontop
O. Mora6.324O. Mora
J. Alarcón6.310J. Alarcón
L. Urruti6.711L. Urruti
Y. Celi6.177Y. Celi
C. Cueva6.499C. Cueva
P. Liza7.930P. Liza
D. Prieto7.295D. Prieto
S. Fernández6.116S. Fernández
W. Guzmán6.625W. Guzmán
J. Luján6.36J. Luján
A. Gordillo6.424A. Gordillo
H. Lupú6.415H. Lupú
A. Muñoz6.523A. Muñoz
Germán Díaz7.710G. Díaz
J. del Castillo8.722J. del Castillo
C. Penilla7.717C. Penilla
J. Ingratti6.227J. Ingratti

Sport Boys Substitutes

14R. Díaz79'for Jostin Alarcon6.4
4R. Alfani
5F. Illanes
29N. Loyola
61J. Nolasco
36Nicolas Paz
47M. Trauco63'for Yuriel Celi5.9
2Luciano Francesco Zambrano Aliaga
37Adrián Jesús Santana Valenzuela

Alianza Atletico Substitutes

29J. Molina
21E. Perleche74'for Stefano Fernández86'6.0
20Jimmy Pérez
40J. Quiñónes82'for Cristian Penilla6.3
9V. Robaldo
28J. Rossi
19J. Mendieta90'for Ariel Muñoz
11G. Larios74'for Jorge del Castillo90+3'7.4
8F. Flores

Match Stats

Sport BoysAlianza Atletico
49%Ball Possession51%
6Corner Kicks2
5Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots19
7Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal8
11Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box11
5Blocked Shots5
15Fouls14
1Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves5
324Total Passes345
250Passes Accurate277
14Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Sport BoysSport Boys
Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
1592Elo Rating 1620
1.70Attack 2.15
0.92Defense 0.60
41%Hit Rate 58%
15.1Shots per Game 14.4
4.5Shots on Target 5.0
4.3Corners per Game 5.0
3.2Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend10% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sport BoysSport Boys
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sport BoysSport Boys4Wins · 40%
Draws110%
Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico5Wins · 50%
1.7Avg Goals
10%Both teams scored1 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Copa De La Liga06/10/2026
Alianza AtleticoSport Boys
30
Copa De La Liga27/09/2026
Sport BoysAlianza Atletico
30
Primera División19/04/2026
Alianza AtleticoSport Boys
01
Primera División16/11/2025
Sport BoysAlianza Atletico
01
Primera División12/07/2025
Alianza AtleticoSport Boys
10
Primera División24/08/2024
Alianza AtleticoSport Boys
20
Primera División31/03/2024
Sport BoysAlianza Atletico
00
Primera División25/06/2023
Alianza AtleticoSport Boys
12
Primera División26/03/2023
Sport BoysAlianza Atletico
01
Primera División06/10/2022
Sport BoysAlianza Atletico
20

Recent Form

Sport BoysSport Boys
5W3D2L
06/10/2026
Alianza AtleticoSport Boys
30
L
27/09/2026
Sport BoysAlianza Atletico
30
W
20/09/2026
FBC MelgarSport Boys
11
D13/09/2026
Sport BoysDeportivo Garcilaso
10
W
05/09/2026
Sport HuancayoSport Boys
21
L
30/08/2026
Sport BoysSporting Cristal
10
W
26/08/2026
Atletico GrauSport Boys
3242
W
23/08/2026
Sport BoysCienciano
51
W16/08/2026
UCV MoqueguaSport Boys
11
D09/08/2026
Sport BoysAlianza Lima
11
D
Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico
7W1D2L
06/10/2026
Alianza AtleticoSport Boys
30
W
27/09/2026
Sport BoysAlianza Atletico
30
L
18/09/2026
Alianza AtleticoComerciantes Unidos
21
W13/09/2026
Atletico GrauAlianza Atletico
31
L04/09/2026
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
32
W30/08/2026
UCV MoqueguaAlianza Atletico
14
W
25/08/2026
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
5141
W
21/08/2026
Alianza AtleticoSporting Cristal
31
W15/08/2026
ADTAlianza Atletico
11
D06/08/2026
Alianza AtleticoCienciano
10
W

Referee Profile

Julio Cesar Quiroz32 matches

5.47Cards per match
5.09Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
25.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Julio Cesar Quiroz5.47
Other referees5.09

5.47 cards a match, 0.38 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).

Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima31198452:23+2965DWWWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario31178655:35+2059DWLWL
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar32159854:37+1754WDWLW
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso321661050:35+1554WWWWL
5CuscoCusco321631346:44+251LDDWW
6CiencianoCienciano311551153:43+1050WWDLW
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico321471149:46+349WLWWL
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal311451257:47+1047DDLLW
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo321451346:48-247LWLLW
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas321381139:51-1247WDLLW
11Sport BoysSport Boys311281135:33+244DLDWL
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College321181347:57-1041LLLDD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos318111242:45-335DLWWD
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau32971629:41-1234WLLLW
15ADTADT31791533:45-1230DWWDL
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua32781725:46-2129LDLWL
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31771744:60-1628WWLLD
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca32581938:58-2018LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3152:2365
2UniversitarioUniversitario3155:3559
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3254:3754
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3250:3554
5CuscoCusco3246:4451
6CiencianoCienciano3153:4350
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3249:4649
8Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3157:4747
9Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3246:4847
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3239:5147
11Sport BoysSport Boys3135:3344
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3247:5741
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3142:4535
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3229:4134
15ADTADT3133:4530
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3225:4629
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3144:6028
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3238:5818

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240DWWWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434WDLLW
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233WWDLW
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929DWLWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928WDWLW
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327LDDWW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326WWWWL
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221WLWWL
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221DLWWD
10ADTADT1755722:21+120DWWDL
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420DLDWL
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219DDLLW
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518LLLDL
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718LDLWL
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517WWLLD
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616WLLLW
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016LWLLW
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo15101425:17+831LWLLW
2UniversitarioUniversitario1493231:20+1130DWLWL
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1491429:17+1228DDLLW
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1591529:17+1228WWWWL
5Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1591529:28+128WLWWL
6FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1575325:17+826WDWLW
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1574425:17+825LLLDD
8Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1474322:15+725DWWWW
9Sport BoysSport Boys1473420:14+624DLDWL
10CuscoCusco1580725:20+524LDDWW
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1553717:23-618WLLLW
12CiencianoCienciano1452719:21-217WWDLW
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1435624:25-114DLWWD
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1534814:30-1613WDLLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1432921:32-1111WWLLD
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua152588:22-1411LDLWL
17ADTADT1424811:24-1310DWWDL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca15121217:32-155LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1525:1731
2UniversitarioUniversitario1431:2030
3Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1429:1728
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1529:1728
5Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1529:2828
6FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1525:1726
7Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1525:1725
8Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1422:1525
9Sport BoysSport Boys1420:1424
10CuscoCusco1525:2024
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1517:2318
12CiencianoCienciano1419:2117
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1424:2514
14Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1514:3013
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1421:3211
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua158:2211
17ADTADT1411:2410
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1517:325
PromotionRelegation

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About the Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sport Boys and Alianza Atletico in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Alianza Atletico are 7th and Sport Boys 11th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Sport Boys 35-33, Alianza Atletico 49-46. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sport Boys have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.