Sporting CP vs Lask Linz Prediction

UEFA Champions LeagueWorld World · League Stage - 3
Cup
Sporting CP
2-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Lask Linz
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon·Nick Walsh 21/10/2026
Sporting CPSporting CP
2-3
Finished
Lask LinzLask Linz

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.27
SignalGOODModel74%SurpriseMediumGap-4.6%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.47
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+9.3%
Sporting CP Rest
8 days
Lask Linz Rest
4 days

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: result, form and history

Lask Linz beat Sporting CP 3-2 in the UEFA Champions League on 21 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.7 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them. Lask Linz tend to win more corners, 6.7 a game to 4.2 for Sporting CP.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.27
X
17%6.45
2
10%9.75
Double Chance
1X
90%1.06
X2
27%3.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.68
No
46%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.02 + 1.03 = 3.05
Over 1.5
85%1.06
Over 2.5
68%1.35
Over 3.5
47%1.93
Under 1.5
15%6.88
Under 2.5
32%3.10
Under 3.5
53%1.91
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.42
Over 9.5
43%1.74
Over 10.5
33%2.20
Under 8.5
45%2.62
Under 9.5
57%2.01
Under 10.5
67%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%1.81
Over 4.5
31%2.57
Under 3.5
50%1.93
Under 4.5
69%1.47

Match Events

5'Luis Suárez(Penalty)
15'Christoph LangAssist: Kasper Jorgensen
33'Christoph LangFoul
45'Sascha HorvathFoul
52'Lukas Jungwirth INTobias Schützenauer out
63'Sasa KalajdzicAssist: Robert Ljubicic
64'Issa DoumbiaDissent
65'João SimõesDissent
65'Sascha Horvath INAlessandro Schöpf out
65'Christoph Lang INSamuel Adeniran out
67'João Simões INFlávio Gonçalves out
68'Krystof DanekAssist: Samuel Adeniran
72'Sasa KalajdzicFoul
79'Geny Catamo INLuís Guilherme out
79'Nestory Irankunda INJesse Derry out
80'Issa Doumbia INFotis Ioannidis out
83'Sasa Kalajdzic INMoses Usor out
83'Kasper Jorgensen INFlorian Flecker out
89'Luis Suárez
89'Tobias SchützenauerDissent
90+1'Krystof DanekTime wasting

Lineups

Sporting CP
4-3-3Coach: Rui Borges
Lask Linz
3-4-3Coach: D. Kühbauer
Avg rating6.47
Avg rating6.67
Kaique6.730Kaique
Iván Fresneda6.222I. Fresneda
Eduardo Quaresma6.272E. Quaresma
Gonçalo Inácio6.725G. Inácio
M. Araújo5.920M. Araújo
João Simões6.18J. Simões
Sergi Altimira6.65S. Altimira
I. Doumbia5.977I. Doumbia
Geny Catamo6.510G. Catamo
L. Suárez8.297L. Suárez
N. Irankunda6.419N. Irankunda
L. Jungwirth5.51L. Jungwirth
X. Mbuyamba7.04X. Mbuyamba
Alemão6.543Alemão
A. Andrade6.316A. Andrade
K. Jørgensen6.620K. Jørgensen
R. Ljubičić7.310R. Ljubičić
S. Horvath6.530S. Horvath
Y. Dibango6.025Y. Dibango
K. Daněk7.79K. Daněk
S. Kalajdzic7.811S. Kalajdzic
C. Lang7.527C. Lang

Sporting CP Substitutes

1Rui Silva
55Ibrahima Ba
28J. Derry79'for Nestory Irankunda6.1
58Flávio Gonçalves67'for João Simões6.5
9Rafael Ferreira Nel
7F. Ioannidis80'for Issa Doumbia6.3
21Pedro Lima
31Luis Guilherme79'for Geny Catamo6.8
4S. Andersen
13G. Vagiannidis
73Eduardo Felicíssimo
50Rodrigo Dias

Lask Linz Substitutes

21M. Verhaeghe
7S. Adeniran65'for Christoph Lang6.6
6M. Bogarde
23Daniel Elfadli
29F. Flecker83'for Kasper Jorgensen6.9
3M. Freckleton
45N. Kane
39Christof Katzmayr
18A. Schöpf65'for Sascha Horvath6.1
33T. Schützenauer52'for Lukas Jungwirth89'5.5
8M. Usor83'for Sasa Kalajdzic6.8

Match Stats

Sporting CPLask Linz
62%Ball Possession38%
7Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards5
16Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box9
6Shots Outside Box2
5Blocked Shots2
10Fouls22
3Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves2
571Total Passes354
507Passes Accurate292
22Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Sporting CPSporting CP
Lask LinzLask Linz
1894Elo Rating 1760
2.05Attack 2.73
1.52Defense 0.54
42%Hit Rate 50%
12.5Shots per Game 14.5
4.0Shots on Target 6.0
4.2Corners per Game 6.7
2.1Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+135 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.05 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sporting CPSporting CP
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Lask LinzLask Linz
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Sporting CPSporting CP1Wins · 33%
Draws00%
Lask LinzLask Linz2Wins · 67%
3.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

UEFA Europa League01/10/2020
Sporting CPLask Linz
14
UEFA Europa League12/12/2019
Lask LinzSporting CP
30
UEFA Europa League03/10/2019
Sporting CPLask Linz
21

Recent Form

Sporting CPSporting CP
7W3D0L
13/10/2026
LensSporting CP
02
W
09/10/2026
SC BragaSporting CP
13
W
19/09/2026
Sporting CPArouca
22
D13/09/2026
FamalicaoSporting CP
11
D09/09/2026
Sporting CPGalatasaray
31
W05/09/2026
Sporting CPNacional
20
W28/08/2026
Rio AveSporting CP
04
W22/08/2026
Sporting CPAlverca
31
W14/08/2026
Sporting CPVitória SC
32
W08/08/2026
EstrelaSporting CP
22
D
Lask LinzLask Linz
5W1D4L
17/10/2026
Austria LustenauLask Linz
04
W14/10/2026
Lask LinzLiverpool
36
L11/10/2026
Lask LinzRapid Vienna
02
L
02/10/2026
Lask LinzFirst Vienna
21
W
20/09/2026
TSV HartbergLask Linz
33
D13/09/2026
Sturm GrazLask Linz
21
L
08/09/2026
AEK Athens FCLask Linz
10
L
05/09/2026
Deutschlandsberger SCLask Linz
16
W
01/09/2026
Wolfsberger ACLask Linz
13
W29/08/2026
Lask LinzSCR Altach
30
W

Referee Profile

Nick Walsh216 matches

4.17Cards per match
3.97Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nick Walsh4.17
Other referees3.99

4.17 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.99).

Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Champions League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain330014:5+99WWW
2Aston VillaAston Villa330012:3+99WWW
3LiverpoolLiverpool330012:7+59WWW
4Real MadridReal Madrid330010:5+59WWW
5Real BetisReal Betis33007:4+39WWW
6VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart32107:2+57DWW
7ArsenalArsenal32106:2+47DWW
8BarcelonaBarcelona320111:6+56LWW
9ComoComo320110:5+56WLW
10Manchester CityManchester City32019:5+46WLW
11Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV32019:6+36WWL
12Sporting CPSporting CP32017:4+36LWW
13Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund32015:4+16WLW
14Bayern MünchenBayern München312010:5+55DDW
15AS RomaAS Roma31118:5+34WLD
16Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid31114:3+14DWL
17Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk31114:3+14LWD
18PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven31112:204WLD
19VillarrealVillarreal31028:803LWL
20InterInter31025:6-13WLL
21Manchester UnitedManchester United31025:6-13LLW
22NapoliNapoli31025:7-23WLL
23GalatasarayGalatasaray31026:9-33WLL
24Lask LinzLask Linz31026:9-33WLL
25Sabah FASabah FA31023:6-33LWL
26FeyenoordFeyenoord31024:8-43LWL
27LensLens31023:7-43LLW
28Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt31024:9-53LWL
29AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC31023:8-53LLW
30RB LeipzigRB Leipzig31023:8-53LWL
31FenerbahçeFenerbahçe30213:9-62DLD
32Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha30124:7-31DLL
33VikingViking30125:9-41LDL
34FC PortoFC Porto30032:6-40LLL
35LilleLille30034:10-60LLL
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava30031:13-120LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain314:59
2Aston VillaAston Villa312:39
3LiverpoolLiverpool312:79
4Real MadridReal Madrid310:59
5Real BetisReal Betis37:49
6VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart37:27
7ArsenalArsenal36:27
8BarcelonaBarcelona311:66
9ComoComo310:56
10Manchester CityManchester City39:56
11Club Brugge KVClub Brugge KV39:66
12Sporting CPSporting CP37:46
13Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund35:46
14Bayern MünchenBayern München310:55
15AS RomaAS Roma38:54
16Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid34:34
17Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk34:34
18PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven32:24
19VillarrealVillarreal38:83
20InterInter35:63
21Manchester UnitedManchester United35:63
22NapoliNapoli35:73
23GalatasarayGalatasaray36:93
24Lask LinzLask Linz36:93
25Sabah FASabah FA33:63
26FeyenoordFeyenoord34:83
27LensLens33:73
28Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt34:93
29AEK Athens FCAEK Athens FC33:83
30RB LeipzigRB Leipzig33:83
31FenerbahçeFenerbahçe33:92
32Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha34:71
33VikingViking35:91
34FC PortoFC Porto32:60
35LilleLille34:100
36Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava31:130

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About the Sporting CP vs Lask Linz forecast

This is a UEFA Champions League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sporting CP and Lask Linz in the UEFA Champions League table

In the UEFA Champions League table, Sporting CP are 12th and Lask Linz 24th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Sporting CP 7-4, Lask Linz 6-9. The full standings are on the UEFA Champions League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.