Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas Prediction

Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City·Fotis Bazakos 31/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Sporting Kansas City Rest
2 days
FC Dallas Rest
2 days

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas: the result in context

Sporting Kansas City and FC Dallas drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer on 31 Oct 2026. FC Dallas had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for Sporting Kansas City.

FC Dallas have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.9 goals a game. FC Dallas tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 4.4 for Sporting Kansas City.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
24%3.72
X
24%4.00
2
52%1.85
Double Chance
1X
49%1.92
X2
76%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.44
No
37%2.60
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.79 = 2.95
Over 1.5
82%1.13
Over 2.5
62%1.44
Over 3.5
41%2.15
Under 1.5
18%5.83
Under 2.5
38%2.70
Under 3.5
59%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 5.8 = 10.6
Over 8.5
71%1.33
Over 9.5
59%1.62
Over 10.5
48%2.01
Under 8.5
29%2.88
Under 9.5
41%2.15
Under 10.5
52%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%1.72
Over 4.5
44%2.38
Under 3.5
37%2.10
Under 4.5
56%1.54

Match Events

19'Herman JohanssonAssist: Ran Binyamin
26'Lalas AbubakarDissent
39'Jacob BartlettFoul
45'Santiago Moreno INPetar Musa out
45+2'Jansen MillerAssist: Owen Wolff
52'Sebastien IbeaghaFoul
58'Owen WolffFoul
61'Ruben Ramos Jr INStephen Afrifa out
61'Osvaldo Pedro Capemba INCalvin Harris out
61'Owen Wolff INLasse Berg Johnsen out
64'Jacob DavisFoul
69'Herman Johansson INBernard Kamungo out
69'Ramiro INChristian Cappis out
79'Daniel Job INSamuel Sarver out
83'Osaze UrhoghideFoul
83'Emir Karic INJayden Reid out
89'Samuel SarverFoul
90+2'Jacob Bartlett INIan James out
90+3'Joaquín Valiente Cioli INAnderson Julio out
90+5'Penalty confirmedAnderson Julio
90+7'Petar Musa(Penalty missed)

Lineups

Sporting Kansas City
4-4-2Coach: R. Wicky
FC Dallas
3-4-2-1Coach: Eric Quill
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating6.59
S. Cleveland6.530S. Cleveland
J. Davis6.38J. Davis
Jansen Miller7.515J. Miller
Wyatt Meyer6.028W. Meyer
E. Karić6.818E. Karić
André Luiz6.411A. Luiz
J. Bartlett6.416J. Bartlett
O. Wolff7.333O. Wolff
Capita6.27Capita
T. Calheira6.319T. Calheira
R. Ramos6.124R. Ramos
J. Sirois7.140J. Sirois
S. Ibeagha6.325S. Ibeagha
O. Urhoghide6.63O. Urhoghide
L. Abubakar6.75L. Abubakar
H. Johansson7.514H. Johansson
Kaick6.255Kaick
Ramiro6.417Ramiro
R. Binyamin7.16R. Binyamin
J. Valiente6.521J. Valiente
D. Job6.37D. Job
S. Moreno6.410S. Moreno

Sporting Kansas City Substitutes

17S. Afrifa61'for Ruben Ramos Jr6.7
23E. Bartlow
14C. Harris61'for Osvaldo Pedro Capemba6.6
2I. James90+2'for Jacob Bartlett
4L. Johnsen61'for Owen Wolff6.8
1J. Pulskamp
99J. Reid83'for Emir Karic5.9
93M. Suleymanov
42Alexander Cunningham

FC Dallas Substitutes

9P. Musa45'for Santiago Moreno6.7
28Samuel Sarver79'for Daniel Job89'6.1
27Caleb Swann
77B. Kamungo69'for Herman Johansson6.0
11A. Julio90+3'for Joaquín Valiente Cioli
8P. Delgado
42Daniel
12C. Cappis69'for Ramiro6.8
22Alvaro Augusto

Match Stats

Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas
55%Ball Possession45%
3Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards4
8Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal2
2Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box0
2Blocked Shots2
17Fouls17
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
506Total Passes416
449Passes Accurate351
17Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
FC DallasFC Dallas
1412Elo Rating 1680
1.12Attack 1.52
0.06Defense 1.65
0%Hit Rate 39%
11.8Shots per Game 15.0
3.1Shots on Target 5.1
4.4Corners per Game 6.4
1.7Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC DallasFC Dallas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
FC DallasFC Dallas6Wins · 60%
3.9Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored10 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer06/09/2026
FC DallasSporting Kansas City
43
Major League Soccer15/06/2025
Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas
24
Major League Soccer30/03/2025
FC DallasSporting Kansas City
21
Major League Soccer20/10/2024
FC DallasSporting Kansas City
21
US Open Cup11/07/2024
Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas
2111
Major League Soccer08/07/2024
Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas
32
Major League Soccer01/06/2023
Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas
21
Major League Soccer19/03/2023
FC DallasSporting Kansas City
21
Major League Soccer09/10/2022
FC DallasSporting Kansas City
21
US Open Cup11/05/2022
Sporting Kansas CityFC Dallas
4222

Referee Profile

Fotis Bazakos100 matches

4.21Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fotis Bazakos4.21
Other referees4.32

4.21 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.32).

Cards come from 97 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps33187872:34+3861WWLWD
2FC DallasFC Dallas331510859:50+955DLWDW
3San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes331410956:48+852WDLDD
4St. Louis CitySt. Louis City331491058:48+1051LLLLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo331491043:42+151LWDDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3312111051:38+1347LDDWD
7Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3311111149:55-644WDDWL
8Portland TimbersPortland Timbers331271460:61-143WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids331271446:47-143LDWDD
10Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3311101242:45-343LLDDL
11Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake331261551:51042LWWWD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3310111253:57-441WWDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego339111357:62-538WLDDD
14AustinAustin338101542:63-2134LLWLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City33652239:81-4223DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3372:3461
2FC DallasFC Dallas3359:5055
3San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3356:4852
4St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3358:4851
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3343:4251
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3351:3847
7Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3349:5544
8Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3360:6143
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3346:4743
10Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3342:4543
11Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3351:5142
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3353:5741
13San DiegoSan Diego3357:6238
14AustinAustin3342:6334
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3339:8123
Promotion

About the Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sporting Kansas City and FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer table

The table shows a wide gap: FC Dallas are 2nd in the Major League Soccer, while Sporting Kansas City sit 15th, 32 points behind. League goal record so far: Sporting Kansas City 39-81, FC Dallas 59-50. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.