Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin Prediction

Los Angeles Galaxy
4-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Austin
Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles·Lukasz Szpala 31/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalGOODModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-2.1%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.67
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+9.1%
Los Angeles Galaxy Rest
5 days
Austin Rest
2 days

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin: the result in context

Los Angeles Galaxy beat Austin 4-1 in the Major League Soccer on 31 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Austin tend to win more corners, 5.5 a game to 3.0 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.47
X
22%4.85
2
19%5.50
Double Chance
1X
81%1.14
X2
41%2.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.50
No
38%2.48
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 1.23 = 3.07
Over 1.5
85%1.10
Over 2.5
68%1.36
Over 3.5
47%1.98
Under 1.5
15%6.57
Under 2.5
32%3.03
Under 3.5
53%1.83
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.6 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.39
Over 9.5
56%1.66
Over 10.5
44%2.10
Under 8.5
33%2.85
Under 9.5
44%2.15
Under 10.5
56%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
50%1.66
Over 4.5
31%2.12
Under 3.5
50%2.17
Under 4.5
69%1.67

Match Events

10'KlaussAssist: Harbor Miller
23'Besard SabovicFoul
38'Hirving LozanoAssist: Marco Reus
45'Hirving Lozano INRobert Taylor out
48'Robert TaylorAssist: Marco Reus
54'Ervin TorresAssist: Micah Burton
58'Pablo Ruiz INLucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole out
63'Przemyslaw Płacheta INŽan Kolmanič out
66'Sergi RobertoAssist: Marco Reus
72'Carlos Emiro Garces Torres INJakob Glesnes out
72'Sergi Roberto INErik Thommy out
75'Ilie Sánchez INOleksandr Svatok out
75'Micah Burton INJoseph Rosales out
82'Harbor Miller INLucas Felipe·Calegari out
86'Guilherme Biro INRiley Thomas out
86'Besard Sabovic INFacundo Daniel Torres Perez out
87'Marco Reus
90+5'Žan KolmaničAbusive Language

Lineups

Los Angeles Galaxy
4-3-3Coach: Greg Vanney
Austin
3-4-3Coach: D. Arnaud
Avg rating7.23
Avg rating6.35
J. Marcinkowski6.512J. Marcinkowski
Harbor Miller6.926H. Miller
J. Haak6.815J. Haak
C. Garcés6.825C. Garcés
J. Nelson7.114J. Nelson
P. Ruiz7.317P. Ruiz
M. Reus9.118M. Reus
Sergi Roberto8.26S. Roberto
H. Lozano7.811H. Lozano
9999Klauss
J. Paintsil6.628J. Paintsil
D. Las6.712D. Las
M. Desler6.23M. Desler
Ilie Sánchez6.46I. Sánchez
Guilherme Biro6.729G. Biro
M. Burton6.932M. Burton
B. Šabović6.014B. Šabović
Ervin Torres7.738E. Torres
Jorge Alastuey6.924J. Alastuey
P. Płacheta6.377P. Płacheta
C. Ramirez6.121C. Ramirez
J. Gallagher6.817J. Gallagher

Los Angeles Galaxy Substitutes

27E. Thommy72'for Sergi Roberto6.9
22E. Wynder
3J. Aude
7K. Furuhashi
5J. Glesnes72'for Carlos Emiro Garces Torres6.6
2Calegari82'for Harbor Miller6.4
1N. Mićović
8L. Sanabria58'for Pablo Ruiz6.4
21R. Taylor45'for Hirving Lozano48'8.0

Austin Substitutes

25Stefan Dobrijevic
4B. Hines-Ike
23Ž. Kolmanič63'for Przemyslaw Płacheta90+5'4.9
30J. Rosales75'for Micah Burton6.1
1B. Stuver
5O. Svatok75'for Ilie Sánchez5.8
2R. Thomas86'for Guilherme Biro5.8
11F. Torres86'for Besard Sabovic6.5
35M. Đorđević

Match Stats

Los Angeles GalaxyAustin
56%Ball Possession44%
7Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots12
10Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal9
14Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots1
5Fouls8
1Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves6
554Total Passes415
504Passes Accurate368
7Free Kicks4

Team Comparison

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
AustinAustin
1600Elo Rating 1539
2.14Attack 1.23
0.73Defense 0.78
34%Hit Rate 23%
12.4Shots per Game 13.2
6.3Shots on Target 5.5
3.0Corners per Game 5.5
1.8Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AustinAustin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
AustinAustin4Wins · 40%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer11/04/2026
AustinLos Angeles Galaxy
12
Major League Soccer17/07/2025
Los Angeles GalaxyAustin
12
Major League Soccer19/04/2025
AustinLos Angeles Galaxy
10
Major League Soccer06/10/2024
Los Angeles GalaxyAustin
21
Major League Soccer27/04/2024
AustinLos Angeles Galaxy
20
Major League Soccer25/09/2023
AustinLos Angeles Galaxy
33
Major League Soccer23/04/2023
Los Angeles GalaxyAustin
20
Major League Soccer30/05/2022
Los Angeles GalaxyAustin
41
Major League Soccer09/05/2022
AustinLos Angeles Galaxy
01
Major League Soccer27/09/2021
AustinLos Angeles Galaxy
20

Referee Profile

Lukasz Szpala120 matches

4.28Cards per match
4.12Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
23.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lukasz Szpala4.28
Other referees4.41

4.28 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.41).

Cards come from 99 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps33187872:34+3861WWLWD
2FC DallasFC Dallas331510859:50+955DLWDW
3San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes331410956:48+852WDLDD
4St. Louis CitySt. Louis City331491058:48+1051LLLLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo32149942:39+351WDDDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3311111149:55-644WDDWL
8Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids331271446:47-143LDWDD
9Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3311101242:45-343LLDDL
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake331261551:51042LWWWD
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12San DiegoSan Diego339111357:62-538WLDDD
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
14AustinAustin338101542:63-2134LLWLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City33652239:81-4223DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3372:3461
2FC DallasFC Dallas3359:5055
3San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3356:4852
4St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3358:4851
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3242:3951
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3349:5544
8Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3346:4743
9Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3342:4543
10Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3351:5142
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12San DiegoSan Diego3357:6238
13Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
14AustinAustin3342:6334
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3339:8123
Promotion

About the Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Los Angeles Galaxy and Austin in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Los Angeles Galaxy are 7th and Austin 14th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Los Angeles Galaxy 49-55, Austin 42-63. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.