Austin vs Real Salt Lake Prediction

Austin
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Real Salt Lake
Q2 Stadium, Austin·Ricardo Montero Araya 29/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel40%SurpriseHighGap-1.5%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.67
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseHighGap+11.1%
Austin Rest
4 days
Real Salt Lake Rest
3 days

Austin vs Real Salt Lake: the result in context

Real Salt Lake beat Austin 2-1 in the Major League Soccer on 29 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Real Salt Lake had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Austin.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.5 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 9.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
32%3.00
X
26%3.70
2
42%2.20
Double Chance
1X
59%1.63
X2
68%1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.50
No
38%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.47 = 3.06
Over 1.5
82%1.17
Over 2.5
61%1.58
Over 3.5
40%2.42
Under 1.5
18%4.90
Under 2.5
39%2.34
Under 3.5
60%1.53
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.8 = 10.5
Over 8.5
70%1.33
Over 9.5
59%1.58
Over 10.5
48%1.98
Under 8.5
30%3.00
Under 9.5
41%2.25
Under 10.5
52%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%1.52
Over 4.5
32%2.10
Under 3.5
49%2.44
Under 4.5
68%1.67

Match Events

35'Morgan GuilavoguiTime wasting
52'Jorge Alastuey
55'Saba LobjanidzeAssist: Juan Sanabria
61'Morgan GuilavoguiAssist: Sergi Solans
61'Damian LasFoul
64'Joseph Rosales INBrendan Hines-Ike out
64'Mikkel Desler INPrzemyslaw Płacheta out
67'Dominik Marczuk INChadwick Zachary Booth out
70'Besard Sabovic INChristian Ramirez out
74'Penalty cancelledMyrto Uzuni
76'Jon Gallagher INŽan Kolmanič out
77'Jorge AlastueyFoul
79'Morgan Guilavogui INAriath Piol out
79'Sergi Solans INDeAndre Yedlin out
79'Philip Quinton INJusten Glad out
86'Saba Lobjanidze INAlexandros Katranis out

Lineups

Austin
3-4-3Coach: D. Arnaud
Real Salt Lake
3-4-3Coach: P. Mastroeni
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating6.95
D. Las5.812D. Las
M. Desler6.73M. Desler
Ilie Sánchez7.46I. Sánchez
Guilherme Biro6.329G. Biro
J. Rosales6.230J. Rosales
B. Šabović6.314B. Šabović
Jorge Alastuey8.224J. Alastuey
J. Gallagher6.017J. Gallagher
M. Uzuni6.410M. Uzuni
B. Vázquez6.49B. Vázquez
F. Torres6.511F. Torres
Rafael Cabral7.31R. Cabral
L. De Fougerolles7.244L. De Fougerolles
P. Quinton6.926P. Quinton
K. Henry6.93K. Henry
D. Marczuk6.411D. Marczuk
N. Caliskan7.092N. Caliskan
S. Spierings7.06S. Spierings
J. Sanabria7.48J. Sanabria
S. Lobzhanidze7.612S. Lobzhanidze
S. Solans6.622S. Solans
M. Guilavogui8.29M. Guilavogui

Austin Substitutes

32M. Burton
35M. Đorđević
4B. Hines-Ike64'for Joseph Rosales6.1
23Ž. Kolmanič76'for Jon Gallagher6.5
77P. Płacheta64'for Mikkel Desler6.8
21C. Ramirez70'for Besard Sabovic6.6
1B. Stuver
5O. Svatok
2R. Thomas

Real Salt Lake Substitutes

2D. Yedlin79'for Sergi Solans6.7
31M. Stajduhar
19A. Piol79'for Morgan Guilavogui6.8
98A. Katránis86'for Saba Lobjanidze6.3
29S. Junqua
39A. Hezarkhani
25Colin Guske
15J. Glad79'for Philip Quinton6.5
23Chadwick Zachary Booth67'for Dominik Marczuk6.5

Match Stats

AustinReal Salt Lake
48%Ball Possession52%
8Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots20
5Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal11
8Shots Inside Box14
8Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots5
7Fouls10
1Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves4
397Total Passes437
339Passes Accurate378
10Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

AustinAustin
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
1542Elo Rating 1556
1.19Attack 1.73
0.50Defense 1.83
0%Hit Rate 44%
11.1Shots per Game 13.9
4.7Shots on Target 6.0
4.5Corners per Game 4.1
0.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.06 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

AustinAustin
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AustinAustin2Wins · 20%
Draws330%
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake5Wins · 50%
3.5Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer15/03/2026
Real Salt LakeAustin
21
Major League Soccer28/09/2025
Real Salt LakeAustin
31
Major League Soccer29/05/2025
AustinReal Salt Lake
11
Major League Soccer29/09/2024
AustinReal Salt Lake
22
Major League Soccer02/06/2024
Real Salt LakeAustin
51
Major League Soccer04/06/2023
AustinReal Salt Lake
12
Major League Soccer12/03/2023
Real Salt LakeAustin
12
Major League Soccer16/10/2022
AustinReal Salt Lake
3212
Major League Soccer15/09/2022
AustinReal Salt Lake
30
Major League Soccer15/05/2022
Real Salt LakeAustin
21

Referee Profile

Ricardo Montero Araya131 matches

4.35Cards per match
4.19Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ricardo Montero Araya4.35
Other referees4.22

4.35 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.22).

Cards come from 37 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
Promotion

About the Austin vs Real Salt Lake forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Austin and Real Salt Lake in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Real Salt Lake are 8th and Austin 14th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Austin 41-59, Real Salt Lake 50-49. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.