Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC Prediction

Soldier Field, Chicago·Marcos De Oliveira 29/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.21
SignalHIGHModel59%SurpriseHighGap-4.3%
Chicago Fire Rest
4 days
Orlando City SC Rest
4 days

Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC: the result in context

Chicago Fire and Orlando City SC drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 29 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Referee Marcos De Oliveira averages 3.83 cards a game, 0.55 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.50
X
20%5.00
2
21%5.00
Double Chance
1X
79%1.15
X2
41%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%1.31
No
32%3.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 1.34 = 3.03
Over 1.5
89%1.05
Over 2.5
73%1.21
Over 3.5
54%1.58
Under 1.5
11%9.65
Under 2.5
27%4.15
Under 3.5
46%2.32
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.3 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.40
Over 9.5
55%1.66
Over 10.5
43%2.10
Under 8.5
34%2.80
Under 9.5
45%2.10
Under 10.5
57%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.4
Over 3.5
63%1.67
Over 4.5
44%2.33
Under 3.5
37%2.10
Under 4.5
56%1.59

Match Events

6'Iván AnguloAssist: Antoine Griezmann
30'Sergio OregelFoul
35'Antoine GriezmannAssist: Vinicius Nogueira
45'Sergio Oregel INJonathan Bamba out
45'Jack ElliottFoul
45+1'Card upgrade confirmedJustin Ellis
45+3'Justin EllisArgument
57'Jonathan BambaAssist: Leonardo Barroso
69'Maren Haile-SelassieAssist: Jonathan Bamba
76'Justin Ellis INDaryl Dike out
76'David BrekaloFoul
82'Andrew Gutman INNoah Allen out
82'Leonardo Barroso INJonathan Dean out
83'Martin Ojeda INMarco Pašalić out
83'Vinicius Nogueira INAdrián Marín out
90+1'Philip Zinckernagel INPuso Dithejane out
90+3'Braian Ojeda INWilder Cartagena out

Lineups

Chicago Fire
4-3-3Coach: G. Berhalter
Orlando City SC
4-4-2Coach: M. Perelman
Avg rating6.75
Avg rating6.56
C. Brady6.51C. Brady
Leonardo Barroso6.92L. Barroso
A. Hanche-Olsen6.721A. Hanche-Olsen
J. Elliott6.33J. Elliott
A. Gutman6.715A. Gutman
S. Oregel6.335S. Oregel
A. Mekvabishvili6.823A. Mekvabishvili
A. Salétros6.66A. Salétros
P. Zinckernagel6.811P. Zinckernagel
R. Lewandowski6.49R. Lewandowski
M. Haile-Selassie8.27M. Haile-Selassie
M. Crépeau6.071M. Crépeau
Z. Taifi6.719Z. Taifi
D. Brekalo6.64D. Brekalo
Iago6.357Iago
Vinícius Nogueira6.127V. Nogueira
Justin Ellis5.622J. Ellis
B. Ojeda6.78B. Ojeda
Luis Otávio6.45L. Otávio
I. Angulo7.577I. Angulo
A. Griezmann8.67A. Griezmann
M. Ojeda6.310M. Ojeda

Chicago Fire Substitutes

32N. Allen82'for Andrew Gutman6.2
19J. Bamba45'for Sergio Oregel57'7.9
44J. Cohen
24J. Dean82'for Leonardo Barroso6.1
12P. Dithejane90+1'for Philip Zinckernagel
18J. Gómez
22M. Pineda
29D. Poręba
10André Franco

Orlando City SC Substitutes

44Bernardo Rhein Goncalves
87Marco Pasalic83'for Martin Ojeda6.5
12Javier Otero
21N. Miller
3Adrián Marín83'for Vinicius Nogueira6.2
35Joran Gerbet
9D. Dike76'for Justin Ellis6.4
16W. Cartagena90+3'for Braian Ojeda
11Tiago

Match Stats

Chicago FireOrlando City SC
58%Ball Possession42%
8Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
23Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal5
11Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box4
8Shots Outside Box5
7Blocked Shots1
14Fouls9
2Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves3
507Total Passes376
444Passes Accurate304
8Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Chicago FireChicago Fire
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
1652Elo Rating 1631
1.67Attack 2.70
1.17Defense 1.03
37%Hit Rate 34%
15.9Shots per Game 12.2
4.7Shots on Target 5.6
6.1Corners per Game 2.8
2.7Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Chicago FireChicago Fire
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Chicago FireChicago Fire3Wins · 30%
Draws330%
Orlando City SCOrlando City SC4Wins · 40%
2.8Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer20/08/2026
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
12
Major League Soccer23/10/2025
Chicago FireOrlando City SC
31
Major League Soccer01/06/2025
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
13
Major League Soccer04/05/2025
Chicago FireOrlando City SC
00
Major League Soccer23/06/2024
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
42
Major League Soccer30/05/2024
Chicago FireOrlando City SC
11
Major League Soccer21/08/2023
Chicago FireOrlando City SC
13
Major League Soccer02/07/2023
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
31
Major League Soccer09/04/2022
Orlando City SCChicago Fire
10
Major League Soccer06/03/2022
Chicago FireOrlando City SC
00

Referee Profile

Marcos De Oliveira114 matches

3.83Cards per match
3.76Yellow cards per match
0.07Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marcos De Oliveira3.83
Other referees4.38

3.83 cards a match, 0.55 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.38).

Cards come from 109 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC33228369:25+4474WDWDW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution321841054:44+1058WWWWL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami321511675:55+2056DLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire331671061:50+1155WDWLL
5CharlotteCharlotte331581063:48+1553WWLDL
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union331381262:51+1147LDLDW
7FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3312101167:73-646WDWWL
8Columbus CrewColumbus Crew331351555:49+644WWWWW
9Orlando City SCOrlando City SC331271462:78-1643LDDWD
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls331161645:62-1739LLWLL
11New York City FCNew York City FC339121248:45+339DWDDL
12Toronto FCToronto FC339121251:63-1239LWLWD
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC33961843:57-1433WLLLW
14DC UnitedDC United337121439:60-2133LLLLL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal33681937:67-3026DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3369:2574
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3254:4458
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3275:5556
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3361:5055
5CharlotteCharlotte3363:4853
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3362:5147
7FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3367:7346
8Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3355:4944
9Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3362:7843
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3345:6239
11New York City FCNew York City FC3348:4539
12Toronto FCToronto FC3351:6339
13Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3343:5733
14DC UnitedDC United3339:6033
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3337:6726
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About the Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC forecast

The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Chicago Fire and Orlando City SC in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Chicago Fire are 4th and Orlando City SC 9th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Chicago Fire 61-50, Orlando City SC 62-78. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Orlando City SC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.