Charlotte vs CF Montreal Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 32
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalHIGHModel59%SurpriseHighGap-5.7%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseHighGap+3.1%
Charlotte Rest
3 days
CF Montreal Rest
4 days
Charlotte vs CF Montreal: the result in context
Charlotte beat CF Montreal 4-0 in the Major League Soccer on 28 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
159%1.62
X22%4.40
219%4.60
Double Chance
1X81%1.17
X241%2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes62%1.47
No38%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.95 + 1.27 = 3.22
Over 1.585%1.10
Over 2.567%1.40
Over 3.545%2.05
Under 1.515%6.04
Under 2.533%2.84
Under 3.555%1.73
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 4.5 = 11
Over 8.575%1.40
Over 9.564%1.71
Over 10.553%2.19
Under 8.525%2.63
Under 9.536%1.99
Under 10.547%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.4 = 4.1
Over 3.559%1.55
Over 4.540%2.02
Under 3.541%2.38
Under 4.560%1.75
Match Events
7'Idan Toklomati JornoAssist: Allan Saint-Maximin
45'Noah Streit INDante Sealy out
45'Victor Loturi INFabian Herbers out
63'Daniel Rios INAlexis Sanchez out
64'Efrain MoralesFoul
65'Rodolfo Aloko INLiel Abada out
67'Liel AbadaAssist: Djibril Diani
76'Gennadiy Synchuk INOlger Escobar out
76'Ashley Westwood INLuca De La Torre out
76'Allan Saint-Maximin INTyger Smalls out
79'Liel AbadaAssist: Idan Toklomati Jorno
82'Matthew Longstaff INDaniel Pereira out
83'Liel AbadaAssist: Pep Biel
84'Idan Toklomati Jorno INNathan Richmond out
84'Pep Biel INAbdoulaye Doucouré out
86'Daniel PereiraFoul
90+2'Fabian HerbersFoul
Lineups
CharlotteCF Montreal
4-3-3Coach: Philippe EullaffroyAvg ratingAvg rating
1K. Kahlina
14N. Byrne
44M. Agyemang
22H. Kessler
15H. Toffolo
8A. Westwood
28D. Diani
37R. Aloko
16P. Biel
10A. Saint-Maximin
9I. Toklomati Giorno
41S. Keita
27D. Bugaj
24E. Morales
4B. Vera
13L. Petrasso
16W. Carmona
8M. Longstaff
22V. Loturi
18H. Synchuk
14D. Ríos
23N. StreitCharlotte Substitutes
11L. Abada65'for Rodolfo Aloko67'79'83'
20B. Coulibaly
17L. de la Torre76'for Ashley Westwood
6A. Doucouré84'for Pep Biel
21T. Miller
4A. Privett
71N. Richmond84'for Idan Toklomati Jorno
23D. Schnegg
25Tyger Smalls76'for Allan Saint-Maximin
CF Montreal Substitutes
10A. Sánchez63'for Daniel Rios
17D. Sealy45'for Noah Streit
6S. Piette
7D. Pereira82'for Matthew Longstaff86'
21F. Herbers45'for Victor Loturi90+2'
28V. Radojević
29O. Escobar76'for Gennadiy Synchuk
5B. Craig
1S. Breza
Match Stats
CharlotteCF Montreal 47%Ball Possession53%
8Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box4
1Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots4
8Fouls15
0Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
449Total Passes496
374Passes Accurate444
14Free Kicks6
Team Comparison
CharlotteCF Montreal1658Elo Rating 1473
1.63Attack 0.56
1.08Defense 1.26
34%Hit Rate 0%
12.3Shots per Game 10.6
4.1Shots on Target 4.3
5.0Corners per Game 5.2
2.3Cards per Game 2.0
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+185 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.22 goals
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Charlotte- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CF Montreal- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Charlotte3Wins · 33%Draws111%
CF Montreal5Wins · 56%
5Wins · 56%2.3Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
44%3+ goals4 of 9
Previous meetings
10/09/2026CF MontrealCharlotte12
28/09/2025CharlotteCF Montreal14
13/04/2025CF MontrealCharlotte01
06/10/2024CharlotteCF Montreal20
15/09/2024CF MontrealCharlotte21
16/07/2023CF MontrealCharlotte20
25/06/2023CharlotteCF Montreal00
26/06/2022CF MontrealCharlotte21
15/05/2022CharlotteCF Montreal02
Recent Form
Charlotte4W3D3L
25/10/2026
Portland TimbersCharlotte
Philadelphia UnionCharlotte
Columbus CrewCharlotteCharlotte
FC DallasCharlotte
Chicago Fire
DC UnitedCharlotte
FC CincinnatiCharlotteCF MontrealCharlotteCharlotte
Houston Dynamo
Atlanta United FCCharlotte
Portland TimbersCharlotte32
L17/10/2026Philadelphia UnionCharlotte22
D15/10/2026Columbus CrewCharlotte31
L11/10/2026CharlotteFC Dallas32
W27/09/2026CharlotteChicago Fire01
L20/09/2026DC UnitedCharlotte12
W13/09/2026FC CincinnatiCharlotte33
D10/09/2026CF MontrealCharlotte12
W06/09/2026CharlotteHouston Dynamo00
D30/08/2026Atlanta United FCCharlotte02
WCF Montreal2W1D7L
24/10/2026CF Montreal
Nashville SC
Seattle SoundersCF MontrealCF MontrealAtlanta United FC
Toronto FCCF MontrealCF MontrealFC CincinnatiCF MontrealColumbus Crew
Colorado RapidsCF MontrealCF MontrealCharlotte
CF MontrealNashville SC02
L22/10/2026CF Montreal
Forge
18/10/2026CF MontrealForge2141
LSeattle SoundersCF Montreal11
D15/10/2026CF MontrealAtlanta United FC03
L10/10/2026Toronto FCCF Montreal21
L27/09/2026CF MontrealFC Cincinnati31
W20/09/2026CF MontrealColumbus Crew02
L17/09/2026CF Montreal
Vancouver Whitecaps
13/09/2026CF MontrealVancouver Whitecaps21
WColorado RapidsCF Montreal10
L10/09/2026CF MontrealCharlotte12
LReferee Profile
3.92Cards per match
3.64Yellow cards per match
0.28Red cards per match
27.3Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.92 cards a match, 0.42 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.34).
Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 66:23 | +43 | 71 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 32 | 18 | 4 | 10 | 54:44 | +10 | 58 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 75:55 | +20 | 56 | DLWWW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 57:48 | +9 | 52 | DWLLW |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 50 | WLDLW |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 62:50 | +12 | 47 | DLDWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 62:74 | -12 | 43 | DDWDW |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 66:73 | -7 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 52:49 | +3 | 41 | WWWWL |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 43:59 | -16 | 39 | LWLLW |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 50:60 | -10 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 12 |  New York City FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 47:44 | +3 | 38 | WDDLL |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 | LLLLW |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:56 | -16 | 30 | LLLWL |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 36:66 | -30 | 25 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 32 | 66:23 | 71 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 32 | 54:44 | 58 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 32 | 75:55 | 56 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 57:48 | 52 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 32 | 59:48 | 50 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 32 | 62:50 | 47 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 32 | 62:74 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 32 | 66:73 | 43 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 32 | 52:49 | 41 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 32 | 43:59 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 32 | 50:60 | 39 |
| 12 | New York City FC | 32 | 47:44 | 38 |
| 13 | DC United | 32 | 39:57 | 33 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 32 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 32 | 36:66 | 25 |
Promotion
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This match
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- Real Salt Lake vs St. Louis City 25/10/26
- San Diego vs Seattle Sounders 25/10/26
- Portland Timbers vs Charlotte 25/10/26
- Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy 26/10/26
- Inter Miami vs FC Cincinnati 29/10/26
- New York City FC vs Atlanta United FC 29/10/26
- New England Revolution vs New York Red Bulls 29/10/26
- Toronto FC vs DC United 29/10/26
About the Charlotte vs CF Montreal forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Charlotte and CF Montreal in the Major League Soccer table
In the Major League Soccer table, Charlotte are 5th and CF Montreal 15th, 25 points apart. League goal record so far: Charlotte 59-48, CF Montreal 36-66. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.