Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction

Banc of California Stadium, Los Angeles·Armando Villarreal 26/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.42
SignalSOLIDModel57%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Los Angeles FC Rest
8 days
Los Angeles Galaxy Rest
7 days

Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy: the result in context

Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 26 Oct 2026. Los Angeles Galaxy had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Los Angeles FC.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8. Los Angeles FC tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 3.0 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.53
X
20%4.60
2
21%5.40
Double Chance
1X
79%1.15
X2
41%2.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.50
No
39%2.44
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.75 + 1.2 = 2.95
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
63%1.42
Over 3.5
42%2.10
Under 1.5
17%6.00
Under 2.5
37%2.76
Under 3.5
58%1.75
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.3 = 9.7
Over 8.5
62%1.31
Over 9.5
50%1.59
Over 10.5
39%1.95
Under 8.5
38%2.92
Under 9.5
50%2.19
Under 10.5
61%1.76
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.4 = 4.4
Over 3.5
64%-
Over 4.5
45%1.44
Under 3.5
36%-
Under 4.5
55%2.67

Match Events

28'Goal cancelledDenis Bouanga
34'Joseph PaintsilAssist: Robert Taylor
45'Igor Jesus INMathieu Choinière out
51'Joseph Paintsil
53'Denis Bouanga
55'Ryan PorteousFoul
62'Leo Walta
66'Marky Delgado INSergio Vasquez out
66'Ryan Porteous INNkosi Tafari out
67'Erik Thommy INLucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole out
67'Robert Taylor INLucas Felipe·Calegari out
73'Joseph Paintsil INJakob Glesnes out
82'Leo Walta INTyler Boyd out
90'Jakob Glesnes INMaya Yoshida out
90+3'Pablo RuizFoul

Lineups

Los Angeles FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Xavi Tamarit
Los Angeles Galaxy
4-2-3-1Coach: Greg Vanney
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.68
H. Lloris6.21H. Lloris
Sergi Palencia6.814S. Palencia
R. Porteous6.55R. Porteous
A. Long6.833A. Long
Y. Cheberko6.623Y. Cheberko
M. Delgado6.28M. Delgado
Igor Jesus6.76I. Jesus
L. Walta7.881L. Walta
Son Heung-Min7.17S. Heung-Min
A. Sieb6.59A. Sieb
D. Bouanga8.099D. Bouanga
J. Marcinkowski7.012J. Marcinkowski
Harbor Miller6.526H. Miller
C. Garcés6.525C. Garcés
J. Haak6.615J. Haak
J. Nelson6.314J. Nelson
P. Ruiz6.117P. Ruiz
Sergi Roberto6.86S. Roberto
R. Taylor6.921R. Taylor
E. Thommy6.627E. Thommy
J. Paintsil8.828J. Paintsil
9999Klauss

Los Angeles FC Substitutes

12T. Hasal
17J. Ebobisse
66M. Choinière45'for Igor Jesus6.4
19T. Boyd82'for Leo Walta6.7
24R. Hollingshead
4E. Segura
18J. Shaffelburg
91N. Tafari66'for Ryan Porteous6.4
20S. Vasquez66'for Marky Delgado6.1

Los Angeles Galaxy Substitutes

4M. Yoshida90'replaced by Jakob Glesnes
2Calegari67'for Robert Taylor6.4
3J. Aude
76T. Elgersma
5J. Glesnes73'for Joseph Paintsil90'for Maya Yoshida6.3
1N. Mićović
8L. Sanabria67'for Erik Thommy6.3
22E. Wynder

Match Stats

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles Galaxy
57%Ball Possession43%
12Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box6
11Shots Outside Box4
9Blocked Shots2
9Fouls7
4Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
568Total Passes426
510Passes Accurate357
7Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
1650Elo Rating 1600
1.52Attack 2.14
1.73Defense 0.73
19%Hit Rate 34%
16.5Shots per Game 12.4
5.3Shots on Target 6.3
6.3Corners per Game 3.0
1.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
🔥Derby Match

Game State Tendencies

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.2 in first half)
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC5Wins · 50%
Draws220%
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3Wins · 30%
4.1Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer18/07/2026
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles FC
03
Major League Soccer20/07/2025
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles Galaxy
33
Major League Soccer19/05/2025
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles FC
22
Major League Soccer15/09/2024
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles FC
42
Major League Soccer05/07/2024
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles FC
12
Major League Soccer07/04/2024
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles Galaxy
21
Major League Soccer17/09/2023
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles Galaxy
42
Major League Soccer05/07/2023
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles FC
21
US Open Cup24/05/2023
Los Angeles FCLos Angeles Galaxy
02
Major League Soccer16/04/2023
Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles FC
23

Referee Profile

Armando Villarreal123 matches

4.50Cards per match
4.40Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Armando Villarreal4.50
Other referees4.24

4.50 cards a match, 0.26 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.24).

Cards come from 111 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps33187872:34+3861WWLWD
2FC DallasFC Dallas331510859:50+955DLWDW
3San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes331410956:48+852WDLDD
4St. Louis CitySt. Louis City331491058:48+1051LLLLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo331491043:42+151LWDDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3312111051:38+1347LDDWD
7Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3311111149:55-644WDDWL
8Portland TimbersPortland Timbers331271460:61-143WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids331271446:47-143LDWDD
10Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3311101242:45-343LLDDL
11Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake331261551:51042LWWWD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3310111253:57-441WWDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego339111357:62-538WLDDD
14AustinAustin338101542:63-2134LLWLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City33652239:81-4223DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3372:3461
2FC DallasFC Dallas3359:5055
3San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3356:4852
4St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3358:4851
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3343:4251
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3351:3847
7Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3349:5544
8Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3360:6143
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3346:4743
10Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3342:4543
11Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3351:5142
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3353:5741
13San DiegoSan Diego3357:6238
14AustinAustin3342:6334
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3339:8123
Promotion

About the Los Angeles FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy forecast

As a derby, this Major League Soccer meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy in the Major League Soccer table

Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy are close in the Major League Soccer table, 6th and 7th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Los Angeles FC 51-38, Los Angeles Galaxy 49-55. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.