Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers Prediction

Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles·Christopher Penso 15/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.67
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy Rest
3 days
Portland Timbers Rest
4 days

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers: result, form and history

Los Angeles Galaxy beat Portland Timbers 2-0 in the Major League Soccer on 15 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Los Angeles Galaxy had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Portland Timbers.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.6 goals, and both sides scored in 9 of them. Referee Christopher Penso averages 4.88 cards a game, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.08
X
25%3.90
2
31%3.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.35
X2
56%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.35
No
33%3.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.82 + 1.21 = 3.03
Over 1.5
85%1.09
Over 2.5
66%1.36
Over 3.5
44%1.94
Under 1.5
15%6.95
Under 2.5
34%3.02
Under 3.5
56%1.83
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
60%1.36
Over 9.5
48%1.65
Over 10.5
36%2.02
Under 8.5
40%3.00
Under 9.5
52%2.17
Under 10.5
64%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.34
Over 4.5
37%1.72
Under 3.5
44%3.05
Under 4.5
63%2.07

Match Events

17'Marco ReusAssist: Robert Taylor
29'Pablo RuizFoul
31'Sergi RobertoTime wasting
38'Jímer ForyFoul
47'Justin HaakFoul
62'Kristoffer VeldeFoul
63'Jímer Fory INIan Smith out
72'Sergi Roberto INLucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole out
72'Robert Taylor INErik Thommy out
72'Joseph Paintsil INHarbor Miller out
74'Vincent Janssen INAlexander Aravena out
74'Jose Caicedo INEric Izoita out
80'Justin HaakAssist: Marco Reus
81'Ariel Lassiter INOmir Fernandez out
81'Julio Joao Ortiz Landazuri INDiego Chará out
82'David Da CostaFoul
82'Marco Reus INElijah Wynder out
86'Carlos Emiro Garces Torres INMaya Yoshida out

Lineups

Los Angeles Galaxy
4-2-3-1Coach: Greg Vanney
Portland Timbers
4-3-3Coach: Martí Cifuentes
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.42
J. Marcinkowski7.012J. Marcinkowski
Calegari6.72Calegari
J. Haak7.515J. Haak
C. Garcés7.125C. Garcés
J. Nelson6.714J. Nelson
P. Ruiz6.917P. Ruiz
Sergi Roberto6.66S. Roberto
M. Reus8.818M. Reus
J. Paintsil6.628J. Paintsil
R. Taylor7.721R. Taylor
9999Klauss
J. Pantemis6.441J. Pantemis
R. Hernández6.612R. Hernández
J. Waterman6.92J. Waterman
K. Miller6.54K. Miller
J. Fory6.027J. Fory
J. Ortiz6.380J. Ortiz
J. Caicedo6.530J. Caicedo
David Pereira da Costa6.410D. Pereira da Costa
A. Lassiter6.87A. Lassiter
V. Janssen6.714V. Janssen
K. Velde6.699K. Velde

Los Angeles Galaxy Substitutes

3J. Aude
76T. Elgersma
5J. Glesnes
1N. Mićović
26Harbor Miller72'for Joseph Paintsil6.8
8L. Sanabria72'for Sergi Roberto6.6
27E. Thommy72'for Robert Taylor6.6
22E. Wynder82'for Marco Reus6.5
4M. Yoshida86'for Carlos Emiro Garces Torres6.4

Portland Timbers Substitutes

23Ian Smith63'for Jímer Fory6.1
25T. Muse
15E. Miller
73Eric Izoita74'for Jose Caicedo5.9
22O. Fernandez81'for Ariel Lassiter6.2
21D. Chará81'for Julio Joao Ortiz Landazuri6.6
17C. Bassett
28A. Aravena74'for Vincent Janssen6.3
11Antony

Match Stats

Los Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers
46%Ball Possession54%
2Corner Kicks5
3Yellow Cards3
9Total Shots12
5Shots on Goal3
1Shots off Goal8
6Shots Inside Box8
3Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots1
7Fouls11
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves3
473Total Passes546
408Passes Accurate498
9Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
1595Elo Rating 1548
2.31Attack 0.75
0.68Defense 1.32
54%Hit Rate 0%
13.7Shots per Game 13.1
6.8Shots on Target 4.2
4.3Corners per Game 3.8
1.9Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3Wins · 30%
Draws550%
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2Wins · 20%
3.6Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer22/03/2026
Portland TimbersLos Angeles Galaxy
11
Major League Soccer28/04/2025
Los Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers
24
Major League Soccer16/03/2025
Portland TimbersLos Angeles Galaxy
11
Major League Soccer19/09/2024
Portland TimbersLos Angeles Galaxy
42
Major League Soccer21/07/2024
Los Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers
32
Major League Soccer01/10/2023
Los Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers
33
Major League Soccer25/03/2023
Portland TimbersLos Angeles Galaxy
00
Major League Soccer18/06/2022
Los Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers
11
Major League Soccer03/04/2022
Portland TimbersLos Angeles Galaxy
13
Major League Soccer17/10/2021
Los Angeles GalaxyPortland Timbers
21

Referee Profile

Christopher Penso113 matches

4.88Cards per match
4.67Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
22.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Christopher Penso4.88
Other referees4.34

4.88 cards a match, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.34).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
Promotion

About the Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers in the Major League Soccer table

Los Angeles Galaxy and Portland Timbers are close in the Major League Soccer table, 10th and 11th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Los Angeles Galaxy 45-54, Portland Timbers 57-60. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.