San Diego vs Houston Dynamo Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 29
Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego·Serhiy Boiko 15/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel49%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
San Diego Rest
4 days
Houston Dynamo Rest
4 days
San Diego vs Houston Dynamo: the result in context
San Diego and Houston Dynamo drew 3-3 in the Major League Soccer on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.7 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
146%2.03
X26%3.70
228%3.40
Double Chance
1X72%1.30
X254%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes66%1.57
No34%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.76 + 1.48 = 3.24
Over 1.581%1.18
Over 2.560%1.64
Over 3.538%2.63
Under 1.519%4.50
Under 2.540%2.20
Under 3.562%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.8 = 10.2
Over 8.565%1.60
Over 9.554%1.94
Over 10.544%2.54
Under 8.535%2.24
Under 9.546%1.79
Under 10.556%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.562%1.47
Over 4.543%1.96
Under 3.538%2.58
Under 4.557%1.83
Match Events
4'Lawrence EnnaliFoul
18'Penalty confirmedCédric Bakambu
19'Jonathan BondFoul
20'Anders Dreyer(Penalty)
22'Cédric BakambuAssist: Onni Valakari
24'Guilherme AugustoAssist: Lawrence Ennali
33'Mateusz BoguszAssist: Guilherme Augusto
37'Guilherme Augusto
44'Guilherme AugustoFoul
45'Lyle Foster INDuncan McGuire out
53'kieran sargeantFoul
58'Alejandro Alvarado Jr INDavid Mimbang out
58'Onni Valakari INGabriel Pirani out
58'Cédric Bakambu INMarcus Ingvartsen out
76'kieran sargeant INAníbal Godoy out
76'Elias Achouri INAmahl Pellegrino out
77'Anders DreyerFoul
77'Guilherme Augusto INIbrahim Aliyu out
78'Agustín Bouzat INAgustin Resch out
79'Aníbal GodoyFoul
86'Gabriel Pirani
88'Mateusz Bogusz INDuane Holmes out
90+3'Lawrence Ennali INMarcelo Saracchi out
Lineups
San DiegoHouston Dynamo
4-2-3-1Coach: Ben OlsenAvg ratingAvg rating
1C. dos Santos
3D. Þórhallsson
97C. McVey
26M. Duah
5K. Sargeant
70A. Alvarado
6J. Tverskov
8O. Valakari
10A. Dreyer
94C. Bakambu
99E. Achouri
31J. Bond
11L. Ennali
3A. Carlos
5L. Halter
21F. Negri
6Artur
16H. Herrera
19M. Bogusz
30A. Bouzat
20Guilherme
9L. FosterSan Diego Substitutes
12Gabriel Pirani58'for Onni Valakari86'
20A. Godoy76'for kieran sargeant79'
7M. Ingvartsen58'for Cédric Bakambu
36David Mimbang58'replaced by Alejandro Alvarado Jr
25I. Pilcher
13P. Sisniega
33O. Verhoeven
14B. B. Zamble
90A. Pellegrino76'for Elias Achouri
Houston Dynamo Substitutes
22M. Arana
17N. Markanich
26B. Gillingham
14D. Holmes88'for Mateusz Bogusz
23D. McGuire45'for Lyle Foster
34A. Resch78'for Agustín Bouzat
18D. Samassékou
24A. Ibrahim77'for Guilherme Augusto
4M. Saracchi90+3'for Lawrence Ennali
Match Stats
San DiegoHouston Dynamo 62%Ball Possession38%
10Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box8
6Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots3
15Fouls12
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
664Total Passes426
602Passes Accurate365
11Free Kicks14
Team Comparison
San DiegoHouston Dynamo1554Elo Rating 1625
1.76Attack 1.44
0.01Defense 1.83
0%Hit Rate 27%
16.1Shots per Game 8.7
5.9Shots on Target 2.4
5.2Corners per Game 3.4
1.7Cards per Game 2.4
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.24 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
San Diego- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Houston Dynamo- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.5 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
San Diego1Wins · 33%Draws00%
Houston Dynamo2Wins · 67%
2Wins · 67%4.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3
Previous meetings
23/04/2026Houston DynamoSan Diego10
05/10/2025Houston DynamoSan Diego24
06/07/2025San DiegoHouston Dynamo34
Recent Form
San Diego3W2D5L
11/10/2026
New York Red BullsSan Diego
AustinSan Diego
Inter MiamiSan DiegoSan Diego
Philadelphia UnionSan Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SCSan DiegoSan Diego
Los Angeles GalaxySan Diego
Colorado Rapids
Portland TimbersSan Diego
Los Angeles FCSan Diego
New York Red BullsSan Diego41
L27/09/2026AustinSan Diego33
D21/09/2026Inter MiamiSan Diego22
D14/09/2026San DiegoPhiladelphia Union05
L10/09/2026San DiegoSan Jose Earthquakes23
L06/09/2026Orlando City SCSan Diego10
L30/08/2026San DiegoLos Angeles Galaxy31
W23/08/2026San DiegoColorado Rapids30
W20/08/2026Portland TimbersSan Diego31
L16/08/2026Los Angeles FCSan Diego01
WHouston Dynamo3W4D3L
11/10/2026
Minnesota United FCHouston DynamoHouston Dynamo
Sporting Kansas CityHouston Dynamo
FC CincinnatiSan Jose EarthquakesHouston DynamoHouston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
CharlotteHouston DynamoHouston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
Vancouver WhitecapsHouston DynamoHouston DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy
Minnesota United FCHouston Dynamo22
D27/09/2026Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City02
L20/09/2026Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati22
D13/09/2026San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo10
L10/09/2026Houston DynamoReal Salt Lake21
W06/09/2026CharlotteHouston Dynamo00
D30/08/2026Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes00
D23/08/2026St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo21
L20/08/2026Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo01
W16/08/2026Houston DynamoLos Angeles Galaxy10
WReferee Profile
4.59Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 58% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 67:33 | +34 | 58 | WLWDD |
| 2 |  FC Dallas | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 59:50 | +9 | 55 | DLWDW |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 58:48 | +10 | 51 | LLLLD |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | +3 | 51 | WDDDD |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 54:47 | +7 | 49 | DLDDD |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50:35 | +15 | 47 | DDWDL |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | +1 | 43 | DWDDD |
| 8 |  Seattle Sounders | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 41:40 | +1 | 43 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:49 | +1 | 42 | WWWDL |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 41 | DDWLW |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 57:60 | -3 | 40 | WWDLD |
| 12 | San Diego | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 57:62 | -5 | 38 | WLDDD |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 50:56 | -6 | 38 | WDWDD |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 41:59 | -18 | 34 | LWLLL |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 39:81 | -42 | 23 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 32 | 67:33 | 58 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 33 | 59:50 | 55 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 33 | 58:48 | 51 |
| 4 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 32 | 54:47 | 49 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 32 | 50:35 | 47 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 32 | 44:43 | 43 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 32 | 41:40 | 43 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 32 | 50:49 | 42 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 32 | 45:54 | 41 |
| 11 | Portland Timbers | 32 | 57:60 | 40 |
| 12 | San Diego | 33 | 57:62 | 38 |
| 13 | Minnesota United FC | 32 | 50:56 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 32 | 41:59 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 39:81 | 23 |
Promotion
Explore more predictions
This match
More Major League Soccer matches
- St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps 15/10/26
- Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City 15/10/26
- Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC 15/10/26
- Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes 15/10/26
- Los Angeles FC vs Austin 15/10/26
- Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers 15/10/26
- Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte 17/10/26
- Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City 17/10/26
About the San Diego vs Houston Dynamo forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
San Diego and Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer table
The table shows a wide gap: Houston Dynamo are 4th in the Major League Soccer, while San Diego sit 12th, 13 points behind. League goal record so far: San Diego 57-62, Houston Dynamo 42-39. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Houston Dynamo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.