Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego Prediction

Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles·Rubiel Vazquez 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.33
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Los Angeles Galaxy Rest
3 days
San Diego Rest
3 days

Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego: result, form and history

Los Angeles Galaxy and San Diego drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 18 Oct 2026. Los Angeles Galaxy had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for San Diego.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.20
X
25%3.92
2
33%2.80
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
58%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.30
No
29%3.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.33 = 3.16
Over 1.5
87%1.08
Over 2.5
69%1.33
Over 3.5
49%1.80
Under 1.5
13%7.70
Under 2.5
31%3.28
Under 3.5
51%1.96
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.6 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.49
Over 9.5
55%1.85
Over 10.5
44%2.37
Under 8.5
33%2.46
Under 9.5
45%1.87
Under 10.5
56%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.5 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%1.33
Over 4.5
46%1.79
Under 3.5
35%3.12
Under 4.5
54%1.95

Match Events

4'KlaussAssist: Sergi Roberto
10'Anders Dreyer(Penalty)
14'Goal cancelledKlauss
17'Erik ThommyAssist: Harbor Miller
35'Aníbal GodoyFoul
39'Gabriel Pirani
45+1'KlaussFoul
66'Robert Taylor INJoseph Paintsil out
66'Carlos Emiro Garces Torres INJakob Glesnes out
66'Alejandro Alvarado Jr INJeppe Tverskov out
66'Cédric Bakambu INMarcus Ingvartsen out
73'Sergi Roberto INLucas Agustin·Sanabria Magole out
78'Gabriel Pirani INOnni Valakari out
81'Harbor Miller INLucas Felipe·Calegari out
83'kieran sargeant INDagur Dan Þórhallsson out
83'Elias Achouri INAmahl Pellegrino out
90+3'Marco ReusArgument

Lineups

Los Angeles Galaxy
4-2-3-1Coach: Greg Vanney
San Diego
4-3-3Coach: Mikey Varas
Avg rating6.56
Avg rating6.70
J. Marcinkowski6.312J. Marcinkowski
Harbor Miller6.826H. Miller
C. Garcés6.525C. Garcés
J. Haak6.515J. Haak
J. Nelson6.114J. Nelson
P. Ruiz6.617P. Ruiz
Sergi Roberto6.86S. Roberto
R. Taylor6.421R. Taylor
M. Reus6.318M. Reus
E. Thommy7.427E. Thommy
9999Klauss
P. Sisniega7.813P. Sisniega
O. Verhoeven7.233O. Verhoeven
C. McVey6.497C. McVey
M. Duah6.626M. Duah
Kieran Sargeant6.75K. Sargeant
A. Alvarado6.670A. Alvarado
A. Godoy6.820A. Godoy
Gabriel Pirani8.112G. Pirani
A. Dreyer6.910A. Dreyer
C. Bakambu6.294C. Bakambu
E. Achouri6.399E. Achouri

Los Angeles Galaxy Substitutes

3J. Aude
2Calegari81'for Harbor Miller6.1
76T. Elgersma
5J. Glesnes66'for Carlos Emiro Garces Torres6.2
1N. Mićović
28J. Paintsil66'for Robert Taylor6.7
8L. Sanabria73'for Sergi Roberto6.0
22E. Wynder
4M. Yoshida

San Diego Substitutes

7M. Ingvartsen66'for Cédric Bakambu6.5
90A. Pellegrino83'for Elias Achouri6.5
1C. dos Santos
36David Mimbang
25I. Pilcher
8O. Valakari78'for Gabriel Pirani6.0
6J. Tverskov66'for Alejandro Alvarado Jr6.7
14B. B. Zamble
3D. Þór­halls­son83'for kieran sargeant6.1

Match Stats

Los Angeles GalaxySan Diego
31%Ball Possession69%
5Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots15
9Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal3
5Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots5
11Fouls10
2Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves7
341Total Passes789
282Passes Accurate726
10Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
San DiegoSan Diego
1595Elo Rating 1572
2.31Attack 2.20
0.68Defense 0.22
54%Hit Rate 0%
13.7Shots per Game 14.3
6.8Shots on Target 5.5
4.3Corners per Game 4.8
1.9Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.16 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
San DiegoSan Diego
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
San DiegoSan Diego3Wins · 100%
3.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer30/08/2026
San DiegoLos Angeles Galaxy
31
Major League Soccer24/05/2025
San DiegoLos Angeles Galaxy
21
Major League Soccer24/02/2025
Los Angeles GalaxySan Diego
02

Referee Profile

Rubiel Vazquez138 matches

4.01Cards per match
3.81Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rubiel Vazquez4.01
Other referees4.32

4.01 cards a match, 0.31 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.32).

Cards come from 129 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
Promotion

About the Los Angeles Galaxy vs San Diego forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Los Angeles Galaxy and San Diego in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, Los Angeles Galaxy are 10th and San Diego 13th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Los Angeles Galaxy 45-54, San Diego 55-58. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.