Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas Prediction

Major League SoccerUSA USA · Regular Season - 30
Derby
Houston Dynamo
2-2
Finished
HT 0-1
FC Dallas
BBVA Compass Stadium, Houston·Victor Rivas 18/10/2026
Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
2-2
Finished
FC DallasFC Dallas

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.9 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseHighGap-3.8%
Houston Dynamo Rest
2 days
FC Dallas Rest
3 days

Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas: result, form and history

Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas drew 2-2 in the Major League Soccer on 18 Oct 2026. FC Dallas had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Houston Dynamo.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.23
X
27%3.50
2
31%3.08
Double Chance
1X
69%1.36
X2
58%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.62
No
41%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.46 = 2.95
Over 1.5
78%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.77
Over 3.5
33%2.90
Under 1.5
22%3.90
Under 2.5
45%2.05
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.7 = 10.8
Over 8.5
72%1.46
Over 9.5
62%1.75
Over 10.5
50%2.23
Under 8.5
28%2.61
Under 9.5
38%2.00
Under 10.5
50%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.4 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%-
Over 4.5
46%1.66
Under 3.5
35%-
Under 4.5
54%2.19

Match Events

12'Christian CappisAssist: Daniel Job
27'Agustin ReschFoul
28'Franco NegriNot retreating
29'Petar Musa(Penalty missed)
49'Héctor HerreraAssist: Guilherme Augusto
59'Sebastien IbeaghaFoul
60'Diadie SamassekouFoul
61'Diadie Samassekou INIbrahim Aliyu out
61'Daniel Job INSantiago Moreno out
61'Patrickson Delgado INJoaquín Valiente Cioli out
69'Goal cancelledHerman Johansson
72'Lyle Foster INDuncan McGuire out
79'Herman Johansson INRan Binyamin out
87'Lawrence Ennali INDuane Holmes out
88'Guilherme Augusto INNick Markanich out
89'Bernard Kamungo INSamuel Sarver out
90'Lucas HalterFoul
90+4'Mateusz Bogusz(Penalty)
90+8'Mateusz BoguszFoul
90+11'Petar Musa(Penalty)
90+13'Samuel SarverViolent conduct

Lineups

Houston Dynamo
4-3-3Coach: Ben Olsen
FC Dallas
3-4-2-1Coach: Eric Quill
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.55
J. Bond7.731J. Bond
L. Ennali6.511L. Ennali
Lucas Halter6.15L. Halter
A. Resch6.434A. Resch
F. Negri6.221F. Negri
D. Samassékou6.218D. Samassékou
Artur6.56Artur
H. Herrera8.216H. Herrera
M. Bogusz6.819M. Bogusz
L. Foster6.39L. Foster
Guilherme7.220Guilherme
Daniel6.142Daniel
S. Moore6.718S. Moore
S. Ibeagha6.125S. Ibeagha
N. Norris6.432N. Norris
H. Johansson6.214H. Johansson
Ramiro6.617Ramiro
C. Cappis7.612C. Cappis
B. Kamungo6.377B. Kamungo
P. Delgado6.38P. Delgado
D. Job7.57D. Job
P. Musa7.19P. Musa

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

17N. Markanich88'for Guilherme Augusto6.6
14D. Holmes87'for Lawrence Ennali6.0
26B. Gillingham
30A. Bouzat
22M. Arana
3Antônio Carlos
24A. Ibrahim61'for Diadie Samassekou6.9
23D. McGuire72'for Lyle Foster6.7
4M. Saracchi

FC Dallas Substitutes

21J. Valiente61'for Patrickson Delgado6.0
5L. Abubakar
6R. Binyamin79'for Herman Johansson5.9
33C. Holstad
10S. Moreno61'for Daniel Job7.1
28Samuel Sarver89'for Bernard Kamungo90+13'6.5
40J. Sirois
27Caleb Swann
3O. Urhoghide

Match Stats

Houston DynamoFC Dallas
57%Ball Possession43%
5Corner Kicks5
5Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
11Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots6
13Fouls20
2Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves1
530Total Passes395
459Passes Accurate322
19Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
FC DallasFC Dallas
1611Elo Rating 1693
1.90Attack 1.32
0.77Defense 1.88
0%Hit Rate 39%
12.6Shots per Game 13.7
3.4Shots on Target 4.5
4.8Corners per Game 5.0
2.4Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
FC DallasFC Dallas
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
FC DallasFC Dallas4Wins · 40%
3.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer22/03/2026
FC DallasHouston Dynamo
43
Major League Soccer18/05/2025
FC DallasHouston Dynamo
02
Major League Soccer23/02/2025
Houston DynamoFC Dallas
12
Major League Soccer19/05/2024
Houston DynamoFC Dallas
11
Major League Soccer28/04/2024
FC DallasHouston Dynamo
20
Major League Soccer01/10/2023
Houston DynamoFC Dallas
00
Major League Soccer21/05/2023
FC DallasHouston Dynamo
11
Major League Soccer10/07/2022
Houston DynamoFC Dallas
22
Major League Soccer23/04/2022
FC DallasHouston Dynamo
21
Major League Soccer19/09/2021
Houston DynamoFC Dallas
32
Texas derbyFull head-to-head record

Recent Form

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
2W5D3L
15/10/2026
San DiegoHouston Dynamo
33
D11/10/2026
Minnesota United FCHouston Dynamo
22
D27/09/2026
Houston DynamoSporting Kansas City
02
L20/09/2026
Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati
22
D13/09/2026
San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo
10
L10/09/2026
Houston DynamoReal Salt Lake
21
W06/09/2026
CharlotteHouston Dynamo
00
D30/08/2026
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
00
D23/08/2026
St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
21
L20/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsHouston Dynamo
01
W
FC DallasFC Dallas
6W2D2L
15/10/2026
FC DallasSeattle Sounders
10
W11/10/2026
CharlotteFC Dallas
32
L27/09/2026
FC DallasLos Angeles FC
10
W20/09/2026
FC DallasAustin
00
D13/09/2026
FC DallasPortland Timbers
21
W10/09/2026
Minnesota United FCFC Dallas
12
W06/09/2026
FC DallasSporting Kansas City
43
W31/08/2026
St. Louis CityFC Dallas
33
D23/08/2026
Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas
50
L20/08/2026
Real Salt LakeFC Dallas
34
W

Referee Profile

Victor Rivas141 matches

4.77Cards per match
4.56Yellow cards per match
0.21Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Victor Rivas4.77
Other referees4.31

4.77 cards a match, 0.46 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.31).

Cards come from 137 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022
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About the Houston Dynamo vs FC Dallas forecast

As a derby, this Major League Soccer meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer table

In the Major League Soccer table, FC Dallas are 2nd and Houston Dynamo 5th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Houston Dynamo 41-39, FC Dallas 58-49. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Houston Dynamo have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FC Dallas have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.