Portland Timbers vs Charlotte Prediction

Portland Timbers
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Charlotte
Providence Park, Portland·Rosendo Mendoza 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.33
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-5.0%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseMediumGap+4.4%
Portland Timbers Rest
7 days
Charlotte Rest
7 days

Portland Timbers vs Charlotte: result, form and history

Portland Timbers beat Charlotte 3-2 in the Major League Soccer on 25 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Charlotte had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Portland Timbers.

Referee Rosendo Mendoza averages 4.80 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.91
X
24%4.10
2
29%3.38
Double Chance
1X
71%1.30
X2
53%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.33
No
34%3.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.29 = 2.77
Over 1.5
85%1.07
Over 2.5
66%1.33
Over 3.5
45%1.87
Under 1.5
15%7.43
Under 2.5
34%3.21
Under 3.5
55%1.90
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.7 = 10
Over 8.5
65%1.31
Over 9.5
54%1.57
Over 10.5
42%1.93
Under 8.5
35%3.00
Under 9.5
46%2.21
Under 10.5
58%1.79
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%1.36
Over 4.5
46%1.75
Under 3.5
34%2.96
Under 4.5
54%2.00

Match Events

3'Pep BielAssist: Ashley Westwood
11'Ariel LassiterAssist: Eric Izoita
17'Eric IzoitaFoul
40'Ariel LassiterAssist: Eric Izoita
45'Nathan ByrneFoul
62'Liel Abada INLuca De La Torre out
64'Jímer Fory INIan Smith out
64'Eric Izoita INCole Bassett out
69'Idan Toklomati JornoAssist: Luca De La Torre
71'Rodolfo Aloko INTyger Smalls out
71'David Schnegg INHarry Toffolo out
83'Vincent Janssen INAlexander Aravena out
83'Ariel Lassiter INOmir Fernandez out
85'Ashley Westwood INBaye Coulibaly out
90+6'Cole BassettAssist: Ian Smith

Lineups

Portland Timbers
4-3-3Coach: Martí Cifuentes
Charlotte
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Smith
Avg rating6.95
Avg rating6.54
J. Pantemis6.141J. Pantemis
R. Hernández6.612R. Hernández
J. Waterman6.82J. Waterman
K. Miller7.14K. Miller
J. Fory6.727J. Fory
Eric Izoita8.373E. Izoita
J. Caicedo6.630J. Caicedo
David Pereira da Costa6.710D. Pereira da Costa
A. Lassiter9.27A. Lassiter
V. Janssen6.414V. Janssen
K. Velde6.999K. Velde
K. Kahlina7.81K. Kahlina
N. Byrne5.714N. Byrne
M. Agyemang6.844M. Agyemang
H. Kessler6.622H. Kessler
D. Schnegg6.023D. Schnegg
A. Westwood7.38A. Westwood
D. Diani6.428D. Diani
R. Aloko6.137R. Aloko
Pep Biel7.516P. Biel
L. Abada5.911L. Abada
I. Toklomati Giorno7.69I. Toklomati Giorno

Portland Timbers Substitutes

21D. Chará
22O. Fernandez83'for Ariel Lassiter6.5
28A. Aravena83'for Vincent Janssen6.5
17C. Bassett64'for Eric Izoita90+6'7.7
15E. Miller
80J. Ortiz
23Ian Smith64'for Jímer Fory6.2
26H. Sulte
20F. Surman

Charlotte Substitutes

25Tyger Smalls71'for Rodolfo Aloko6.4
15H. Toffolo71'for David Schnegg6.0
4A. Privett
21T. Miller
17L. de la Torre62'for Liel Abada6.2
71N. Richmond
20B. Coulibaly85'for Ashley Westwood5.8
83H. Mbongue
39J. Neeley

Match Stats

Portland TimbersCharlotte
56%Ball Possession44%
9Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
27Total Shots6
13Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal2
20Shots Inside Box5
7Shots Outside Box1
9Blocked Shots1
10Fouls9
3Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves9
570Total Passes458
528Passes Accurate394
93%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
CharlotteCharlotte
1548Elo Rating 1658
0.75Attack 1.63
1.32Defense 1.08
0%Hit Rate 34%
13.1Shots per Game 12.3
4.2Shots on Target 4.1
3.8Corners per Game 5.0
1.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CharlotteCharlotte
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Portland TimbersPortland Timbers0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
CharlotteCharlotte1Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer05/05/2024
CharlottePortland Timbers
20

Referee Profile

Rosendo Mendoza129 matches

4.80Cards per match
4.57Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rosendo Mendoza4.80
Other referees4.28

4.80 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.28).

Cards come from 126 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026

Western Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps31167863:32+3155LWDDL
2FC DallasFC Dallas32159858:49+954LWDWL
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City32149958:47+1151LLLDW
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes31139952:45+748LDDDW
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo31139941:39+248DDDDL
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC321211950:35+1547DDWDL
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3111101041:39+243DDLWW
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake321261450:49+142WWWDL
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids311261342:41+142WDDDL
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3210111145:54-941DDWLW
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers321171457:60-340WWDLD
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC329111250:56-638WDWDD
13San DiegoSan Diego318111255:58-335DDDLD
14AustinAustin328101441:59-1834LWLLL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City32642238:80-4222LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3163:3255
2FC DallasFC Dallas3258:4954
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3258:4751
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3152:4548
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3141:3948
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3250:3547
7Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3141:3943
8Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3250:4942
9Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3142:4142
10Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3245:5441
11Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3257:6040
12Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3250:5638
13San DiegoSan Diego3155:5835
14AustinAustin3241:5934
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3238:8022

Eastern Conference

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nashville SCNashville SC32218366:23+4371DWDWW
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution321841054:44+1058WWWWL
3Inter MiamiInter Miami321511675:55+2056DLWWW
4Chicago FireChicago Fire321571057:48+952DWLLW
5CharlotteCharlotte321481059:48+1150WLDLW
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union321381162:50+1247DLDWW
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC321271362:74-1243DDWDW
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3211101166:73-743DWWLL
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew321251552:49+341WWWWL
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls321161543:59-1639LWLLW
11Toronto FCToronto FC329121150:60-1039WLWDW
12New York City FCNew York City FC329111247:44+338WDDLL
13DC UnitedDC United327121339:57-1833LLLLW
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC32861840:56-1630LLLWL
15CF MontrealCF Montreal32671936:66-3025LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nashville SCNashville SC3266:2371
2New England RevolutionNew England Revolution3254:4458
3Inter MiamiInter Miami3275:5556
4Chicago FireChicago Fire3257:4852
5CharlotteCharlotte3259:4850
6Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union3262:5047
7Orlando City SCOrlando City SC3262:7443
8FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati3266:7343
9Columbus CrewColumbus Crew3252:4941
10New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls3243:5939
11Toronto FCToronto FC3250:6039
12New York City FCNew York City FC3247:4438
13DC UnitedDC United3239:5733
14Atlanta United FCAtlanta United FC3240:5630
15CF MontrealCF Montreal3236:6625
Promotion

About the Portland Timbers vs Charlotte forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Major League Soccer

More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Portland Timbers and Charlotte have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.